Loading...
Doncaster 483 Standard
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Odind 3y 34 | L B Pruhs — 13% R149 W20 P79 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 91 | 87 | 62 (3) | 71 (3) | 65 (5) | 66 (4) | 91 (1) | 58 (5) | 67 (4) | 60 (4) | 52 (5) | 63 (4) | 13 | - | 16 | - | 67 | 39 | 3 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ballymac Lawlessd 3y 15 | E O Driver — 22% R301 W66 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 28 | 38 | 75 (2) | 90 (1) | 78 (2) | 60 (5) | 75 (2) | 71 (2) | 70 (3) | 65 (4) | 74 (3) | 60 (4) | 52 | 34 | 46 | 40 | 74 | 43 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sir Chancealotd 2y 25 | L J Stephenson — 22% R238 W52 P147 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 93 | 64 | 48 (3) | 64 (4) | 89 (1) | 45 (4) | 40 (4) | 89 (1) | 64 (3) | 62 (4) | 68 (3) | 29 (6) | 44 | - | - | - | 61 | 60 | 2 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Grouchos Champd 2y 18 | R A Draper — 27% R278 W76 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 35 | 69 (2) | 72 (2) | 69 (3) | 72 (3) | 75 (3) | 88 (1) | 64 (5) | 64 (4) | 62 (4) | - | 1 | 29 | 23 | 40 | 71 | 43 | 6 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Epic Rebeld 2y 15 | P Milner — 25% R36 W9 P21 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 24 | 30 | 69 (4) | 48 (6) | 92 (1) | 71 (2) | 67 (3) | 56 (5) | 66 (4) | 67 (4) | 77 (2) | 73 (2) | 42 | 49 | 31 | 43 | 68 | 40 | 5 | 13/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Our Big Billd 3y 34 | D P Brabon — 19% R304 W59 P180 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 100 | 69 (4) | 63 (5) | 77 (2) | 66 (3) | 62 (5) | 65 (5) | 79 (2) | 77 (2) | 91 (1) | - | 43 | 37 | 34 | 14 | 70 | 52 | 1 | 8/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymac Odin | No prior form at this course and distance. | — | tied fastest, closer | ||||
| 2 | Ballymac Lawless | 29.58 | 29.65 | 29.71 | 28 | +0.13 | runner-up LTO | |
| 3 | Sir Chancealot | No prior form at this course and distance. | — | tied fastest, fader | ||||
| 4 | Grouchos Champ | 29.39 | 29.61 | 29.47 | 35 | +0.08 | 8 C&D runs, steady | |
| 5 | Epic Rebel | 29.32 | 29.77 | 30.05 | 24 | +0.73 | slowest, C&D win | |
| 6 | Our Big Bill | 28.72 | 28.98 | 29.02 | 64 | +0.30 | best bend, fader | |
Two runners share by far the fastest recorded time in this field, and how they're built to race makes all the difference over this staying trip. Ballymac Odin is a genuine closer with the best first-bend figures of the six, a combination that should suit Doncaster's fair galloping test perfectly, even though he arrives with no prior course and distance form. Sir Chancealot matches him on the clock but is a fader who goes quickly early and can lose ground late, a pattern less suited to this distance. Our Big Bill also has eye-catching pace at the bend but fades late too. Grouchos Champ and Epic Rebel both have deep books of course and distance form without the raw pace to trouble the fastest pair, while Ballymac Lawless looks held on the clock.
Shares by far the fastest recorded time in this field and backs it up with the best first-bend figures of the six. He's a genuine closer, finishing strongly from off the pace, which is exactly the profile that tends to suit Doncaster's fair galloping test at the staying trip. No prior form at this course and distance is the one unknown, and the trainer's overall strike rate is modest, but the raw pace and running style combination make him the one to beat.
Matches the fastest recorded time in the field, arriving from a good level of form having contested one of the higher intermediate grades. He's a fader who goes fast early but can lose ground late, a pattern that isn't ideally suited to this staying trip, but the raw speed on show can't be ignored. If he settles into a truer test he's the biggest threat to the selection.
Was runner-up last time out over this course and distance and has a fair record locally from limited experience. Comfortably held on the clock by the leading pair. Place claims rather than winning claims on the pace shown.
Deep book of course and distance form with eight runs producing consistent minor placings, mostly at the tougher OR3 grade. A closer by running style, but his recorded pace is well behind the fastest pair in this field. More likely to pick up places than challenge for the win.
Solid course and distance record including a recent win, and the trainer strike rate is one of the best in this field. Slowest of the six on the clock though, which is hard to overlook against this pace. Capable of featuring if the leaders fade but unlikely to be fast enough to win outright.
Boasts the best first-bend figures of anyone in this field and decent pace overall, but he's a fader whose pattern of going quickly early and fading late doesn't play to his strengths at this staying distance. No prior course and distance form. An each-way interest rather than a confident selection.
Key insight: Doncaster's 483m trip is one of the most reliable composite distances in the country; trap 2 leads OR company here at 21.6% while trap 4 is the weak draw at under 14%.
T1:19.3% T2:21.6% T3:20.0% T4:13.7% T5:15.4% T6:20.3%
429 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballymac Odin | 53 | 84 | Closer |
2Ballymac Lawless | 49 | 9 | All-Rounder |
3Sir Chancealot | 58 | 30 | Fader |
4Grouchos Champ | 22 | 100 | Closer |
5Epic Rebel | 51 | 70 | Closer |
6Our Big Bill | 0 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 483m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (483m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 450m | 480m | 483m | 491m | 500m | 592m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymac Odin | 0.605 | — | — | — | 0.589 | — |
| 2 | Ballymac Lawless | 0.621 | 0.605 | 0.614 | — | 0.591 | — |
| 3 | Sir Chancealot | — | 0.581 | — | — | 0.595 | — |
| 4 | Grouchos Champ | — | — | 0.613 | — | 0.595 | — |
| 5 | Epic Rebel | — | 0.587 | 0.616 | — | 0.586 | — |
| 6 | Our Big Bill | — | — | — | 0.600 | — | 0.679 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.