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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Put Things Rightd 2y 18 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 54 | 62 (5) | 62 (1) | 58 (1) | 49 (2) | 61 (3) | 46 (1) | 53 (3) | 44 (2) | 40 (4) | - | 49 | 46 | - | 44 | 51 | 49 | 4 | 2/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Maybe Sydneyd 3yN/R 15 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 39 (5) | 67 (4) | 83 (1) | 63 (4) | 57 (3) | 85 (1) | 81 (1) | 67 (2) | 85 (1) | 38 (5) | 42 | 57 | 50 | 51 | 60 | 57 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Killduff Sashab 4y 23 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 44 | 41 (5) | 50 (2) | 41 (4) | 60 (1) | 85 (6) | 69 (2) | 50 (3) | 72 (4) | 87 (2) | - | 64 | 53 | 25 | 47 | 63 | 60 | 1 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballymac Levid 4y 26 | J W Gaskin — 23% R318 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 49 | 48 (3) | 51 (2) | 60 (1) | 48 (3) | 62 (4) | 46 (2) | 50 (2) | 61 (1) | 38 (5) | 61 (1) | 63 | 62 | 56 | 61 | 52 | 56 | 3 | 9/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Gotacrushonyoub 3yN/R 5 | J W Gaskin — 23% R318 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 39 (5) | 47 (4) | 49 (2) | 61 (1) | 67 (2) | 83 (1) | 73 (2) | 71 (2) | 75 (2) | 84 (1) | 36 | 58 | - | 51 | 63 | 58 | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Absurdb 3y 15 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 66 | 32 (5) | 30 (5) | 59 (1) | 46 (4) | 54 (2) | 61 (1) | 58 (1) | 69 (4) | 43 (5) | 51 (2) | 64 | 47 | 31 | 47 | 54 | 54 | 2 | 6/5F | |
Joint-highest AP in the field at 63 alongside Killduff Sasha, but with crucially more consistent form. The trajectory has been a gradual decline from twin 84s to 59→54→53, but even the recent 53s represent a higher floor than most of this field's ceilings. A confirmed Closer (EP 27, CS 100) — the ideal profile at Doncaster's fair track where coming from behind is entirely viable. Track suitability 58 and distance suitability 51 are both strong, confirming proven form at this venue and trip. Field speed 51 and bend 49 are both mid-pack, suggesting she won't be last to the first bend despite the Closer tag. The race shape sets up well: two Faders (T1 and T6) will set a strong pace that will bring the Closers into play, and Gotacrushonyou has the consistency advantage over the other Closers.
DANGER: Last-run 85 is far and away the best recent individual performance in this field. If that form is genuine and repeatable, nothing else can live with her. But four sub-60 runs from the previous five means trusting it requires a leap of faith.
DANGER: The trap statistics are undeniable — T6 wins nearly a third of B1 450m races. Combined with the best bend rating and early pace, she'll lead. The question is whether the Fader profile holds at Doncaster. If the Closers are slow to close, the draw does the rest.
Trap draw is strong and trainer is on form, but the declining performance trajectory (five consecutive drops from peak) and Fader profile at a track that rewards Closers make him vulnerable. Mid-pack candidate.
Strong Closer profile for a fair track but trapped in the worst draw at this grade and distance. Too inconsistent to trust despite the class suitability edge.
High suitability, low performance and awful consistency. The conditions are right but the dog isn't producing. Hard to include despite the venue familiarity.
T6 wins 31.6% — dominant trap at this grade. T1 also strong at 27.5%. T2 a graveyard at 12.9%. R2 nearly matches R1 (22.9% vs 24.4%) so upsets common at B1.
T1:27.5% (120) T2:12.9% (101) T3:22.9% (96) T4:16.4% (140) T5:16.9% (172) T6:31.6% (139)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Put Things Right | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Maybe Sydney | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Killduff Sasha | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Ballymac Levi | 73 | 0 | Fader |
5Gotacrushonyou | 27 | 100 | Closer |
6Absurd | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.