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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Redbrick Roseb 3y 8 | J W Gaskin — 23% R325 W74 P227 Trainer form — last 3 months | 68 | 51 | 53 | 51 (2) | 52 (2) | 44 (3) | 38 (5) | 57 (1) | 38 (4) | 59 (1) | 36 (5) | 48 (2) | 44 (3) | 40 | 41 | 43 | 39 | 44 | 43 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Fagans Petuniab 4y 26 | M Haythorne — 19% R83 W16 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 44 | 60 (1) | 50 (2) | 45 (3) | 43 (3) | 45 (3) | 58 (1) | 42 (3) | 57 (1) | 51 (2) | 43 (3) | 34 | 35 | 37 | 34 | 48 | 43 | 2 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballyrobin Lizb 2y 18 | S Watson — 31% R421 W129 P297 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 49 | 33 (5) | 47 (3) | 45 (4) | 59 (1) | 44 (3) | 16 (3) | 59 (1) | 57 (1) | 43 (4) | 43 (3) | 41 | 39 | 48 | 39 | 48 | 45 | 1 | 7/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Drumcrow Baled 4y 35 | D Calvert — 17% R552 W93 P317 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 52 | 39 (5) | 49 (2) | 32 (5) | 44 (2) | 58 (1) | 37 (5) | 35 (5) | 39 (5) | 33 (5) | 52 (4) | 34 | 32 | 34 | 30 | 45 | 40 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Cockneyalfitnessb 2y 16 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R328 W59 P194 Trainer form — last 3 months | 46 | 51 | 53 | 36 (5) | 40 (4) | 35 (5) | 42 (4) | 50 (3) | 40 (4) | 50 (2) | 59 (1) | 41 (3) | 42 (1) | 9 | 26 | - | 30 | 32 | 28 | 5 | 5/6F | |
Joint-highest AP at 48, and the form has the strongest upward trajectory in the field: 57→43→43→50→63. That latest 63 is comfortably the best individual performance anyone in this race has produced recently. A Closer (EP 47, CS 68) which suits Doncaster perfectly, and she has more early pace than a pure Closer — EP 47 means she won't be last to the first bend. The trainer win rate at 32% is strong-tier, the highest in the field. T4 wins 21.1% from 175 runs — solid mid-range. Suitability is the best in the field — track 39, distance 39, trap 41, class 48 — with the class suitability suggesting she's well-graded for B4. The improving form combined with a strong trainer and the right pace profile for this track makes her the selection.
DANGER: Consistent mid-50s performer with the ideal Closer profile for Doncaster. The T2 draw is problematic (worst trap at 17.1%) but if she overcomes it, the form and consistency are there.
Reliable low-40s performer who'll set the pace but won't hold it. The consistent form floor of 41 means she won't embarrass but the ceiling of 47 isn't enough.
Best raw speed in the field but declining form and the worst trap draw. The All-Rounder profile means he'll be involved but probably not at the business end.
Lowest-rated runner with zero class experience and the worst trap suitability in the field despite having one of the better statistical draws. Can be opposed with confidence.
T3 dominates at 28.9% from 211 runs — vacant in this race. T4 and T6 next best. T5 weakest at 16.6%. Relatively open field with R2 matching R3.
T1:20.9% (134) T2:17.1% (158) T3:28.9% (211) T4:21.1% (175) T5:16.6% (199) T6:22.3% (197)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Redbrick Rose | 55 | 0 | Fader |
2Fagans Petunia | 38 | 100 | Closer |
4Ballyrobin Liz | 47 | 68 | Closer |
5Drumcrow Bale | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Cockneyalfitness | 57 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.