Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Always Believingb 3y 7 | J W Gaskin — 23% R318 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 41 | 37 (1) | 40 (4) | 46 (2) | 56 (1) | 42 (3) | 33 (5) | 45 (2) | 60 (1) | 44 (3) | 40 (4) | 51 | 46 | 41 | 47 | 48 | 48 | 1 | 13/8JF | |
| 2 | ▶ Duggies Danceb 3y 5 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 36 | 36 (5) | 50 (3) | 44 (4) | 30 (5) | 44 (4) | 44 (3) | 47 (3) | 35 (5) | 48 (3) | 42 (4) | 28 | 34 | 25 | 32 | 42 | 38 | 3 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Late Lolab 4y 34 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 51 | 52 (2) | 53 (6) | 41 (4) | 42 (5) | 77 (3) | 38 (5) | 82 (3) | 89 (1) | 61 (1) | 37 (1) | 41 | 40 | 23 | 33 | 47 | 44 | 2 | 13/8JF | |
| 4 | ▶ Keefill Seleneb 2y 9 | J W Gaskin — 23% R318 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 53 | 36 (5) | 61 (1) | 45 (2) | 44 (2) | 37 (5) | 60 (1) | 36 (5) | 53 (2) | 41 (4) | 29 (3) | 42 | 44 | 37 | 37 | 34 | 36 | 5 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Franco Eveb 3y 4 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 50 | 50 (3) | 50 (2) | 52 (2) | 49 (2) | 45 (4) | 44 (3) | 38 (4) | 34 (5) | 40 (5) | - | 25 | 25 | 27 | 28 | 43 | 37 | 4 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Rolo Twixd 2yN/R 4 | D M Verner — 33% R27 W9 P18 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 56 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 39 | 40 | - | 40 | - | 14 | - | - | |
Only three career runs to date (form 19→16→22, AP 0) which makes this a speculative selection based on raw athletic data and trainer confidence rather than proven form. But the numbers are striking: field speed 64 is the highest in the race by 8 points — a massive gap at this level. Bend rating 56 is also best in field. A Closer (EP 14, CS 100) drawn in T6 which is the best trap at B2 450m (23.4% from 307 runs). The trainer win rate of 42% is elite-tier — the highest in the field by a wide margin and well into the 'strong' category that historically correlates with 43%+ actual win rates when they're the best trainer in the race. Suitability scores are limited (track 40, distance 40) due to the small sample, and class suitability is 0 as the dog is untested at this grade. The trainer is placing this dog here deliberately — a 42% strike rate trainer doesn't waste entries on dogs that can't compete.
DANGER: Best-proven AP with consistent recent form (56-60 range) and the right profile for Doncaster. The inside draw helps. But modest ceiling at B2 means this is a place rather than win candidate if the unproven Rolo Twix runs to trainer expectations.
Consistent but at too low a level for this grade. The Closer profile is right but the performance ceiling of 46 isn't enough when rivals are hitting 55-60.
Improving form (latest 59) and best field speed among proven runners. But the worst trap draw at B2 limits her chances. One to watch if the form continues to progress but not a confident selection today.
In freefall — form has collapsed from 41 to 9 across five runs. Can be confidently opposed regardless of draw or suitability.
Too inconsistent and lacks venue knowledge. The occasional good run (60, 55) can't be trusted when it's interspersed with 15s and 31s.
Relatively flat trap bias at B2 — T6 marginally best at 23.4%, T1 close at 22.2%. R1 wins 25.2% from 1,805 runs — composite ranking is a moderate signal at this grade.
T1:22.2% (315) T2:19.4% (340) T3:17.9% (229) T4:18.5% (303) T5:19.0% (311) T6:23.4% (307)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Always Believing | 48 | 88 | Closer |
2Duggies Dance | 40 | 100 | Closer |
3Late Lola | 52 | 12 | All-Rounder |
4Keefill Selene | 58 | 0 | Fader |
5Franco Eve | 53 | 0 | All-Rounder |
6Rolo Twix | 14 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.