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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Cockneys Elsab 2y 5 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | - | 36 (1) | 30 (3) | 29 (2) | 32 (2) | 36 (1) | 36 (1) | 24 (5) | 25 (4) | 28 (3) | 30 (2) | 14 | 31 | 31 | 31 | 28 | 27 | 4 | 4/9F | |
| 2 | ▶ Romantic Sunb 3y 8 | S A Birks — 16% R217 W35 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 31 (1) | 22 (5) | 26 (4) | 25 (3) | 34 (1) | 25 (3) | 26 (4) | 23 (5) | 36 (1) | 32 (2) | 48 | 39 | 45 | 44 | 28 | 33 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Fond Favouriteb 3y 16 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | - | 20 (5) | 20 (4) | 24 (5) | 59 (1) | 37 (4) | 58 (1) | 52 (2) | 54 (1) | 31 (2) | 25 (4) | 52 | 46 | 18 | 41 | 45 | 45 | 1 | 16/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Links Batmand 3y 5 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 38 (1) | 24 (5) | 33 (3) | 26 (4) | 26 (5) | 25 (5) | 26 (5) | 27 (5) | 42 (1) | 37 (1) | 27 | 23 | 29 | 29 | 24 | 25 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Reluctant Debb 2y 26 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | - | 10 (5) | 30 (3) | 23 (5) | 33 (1) | 28 (3) | 32 (1) | 30 (2) | 19 (5) | 30 (2) | 30 (2) | 38 | 35 | 25 | 30 | 28 | 30 | 2 | 4/1 | |
Stands out in this field like a sore thumb. AP 45 is nearly double the field average of 25 — a class apart. The only runner with a defined pace profile: Fader (EP 100, CS 0, PC 60). In a sprint over 275m, the Fader concern is minimal — there's not enough distance for the fade to kick in. She'll break fastest from T3, reach the first bend in front, and the opposition simply doesn't have the early pace to challenge her. Field speed 46 is actually mid-range (the others have comparable raw speed) but none of them can deploy it from the traps. Suitability is the best — track 46, distance 41, trap 52, class 18. The class suitability of 18 suggests she's well above D3 level, which is both a positive (she's the class act) and context (she may be dropping in grade). Form has been erratic: 18→17→16→24→18, which is an apparent contradiction with AP 45. But the performance ratings show she's been running in tougher company — the raw numbers don't tell the whole story at D-grades.
DANGER: Only because the rest of the non-Fond Favourite field is so weak. Most consistent minor runner. If the pick fails, this is the likeliest alternative — but it would require a significant upset.
Best trap statistically but lowest trap suitability in the field — a clear disconnect between the draw and this dog's ability to use it. No early pace in a sprint is a dealbreaker.
Best suitability in the field but form in terminal decline. Two sub-20 runs makes this an obvious oppose.
Weakest runner in the field by AP and suitability. Flat 21-25 form with no pace data. Cannot be considered.
T1 best at 26.9% from 171 runs, T3 mid at 18.2%. But R3 nearly matches R2 (21.9% vs 20.4%) suggesting upsets are common at D3 sprints. The field quality matters more than trap at this grade.
T1:26.9% (171) T2:23.8% (252) T3:18.2% (275) T4:21.1% (251) T5:17.9% (196) T6:21.9% (233)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.