Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Droopys Trendyb 1yN/R 26 | J W Gaskin — 23% R318 W73 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 100 | 100 | 48 (3) | 59 (1) | 51 (3) | 43 (4) | 30 (3) | 36 (1) | 25 (4) | 36 (1) | 43 (3) | 39 (4) | 52 | 45 | - | - | 45 | 46 | - | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Amelias Jetd 5yN/R 32 | A L Steels — 17% R47 W8 P27 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 26 | 50 (2) | 48 (3) | 51 (3) | 45 (3) | 45 (3) | 59 (1) | 53 (2) | 41 (3) | 53 (2) | 54 (2) | 41 | 41 | 38 | 37 | 50 | 46 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bangon Teddyd 4y 23 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 49 | 42 (6) | 62 (6) | 56 (2) | 53 (4) | 66 (3) | 50 (2) | 66 (3) | 49 (4) | 48 (2) | - | 24 | 24 | 27 | 25 | 56 | 45 | 3 | 4/5F | |
| 4 | ▶ Millhouse Lend 3y 14 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 49 | 47 (3) | 62 (3) | 48 (2) | 62 (3) | 49 (4) | 50 (4) | 62 (5) | 77 (3) | 63 (4) | 65 (2) | 41 | 39 | 29 | 36 | 58 | 51 | 2 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Stoneparkfortuned 2y 5 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 52 | 55 (4) | 69 (3) | 83 (1) | 67 (2) | 80 (1) | 74 (2) | 63 (3) | 49 (6) | 65 (4) | 71 (5) | 27 | 27 | 25 | 25 | 66 | 52 | 1 | 6/4 | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballymac Alexisb 3y 15 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 55 | 46 (3) | 47 (2) | 46 (5) | 81 (1) | 60 (2) | 37 (5) | 51 (5) | 44 (5) | 47 (4) | 39 (5) | 35 | 31 | 24 | 29 | 52 | 45 | 4 | 5/1 | |
The class of the field and the standout pick on the card. AP 66 is 8 points clear of the nearest rival (Millhouse Len at 58) — a decisive gap at A2 level. Form is outstanding: 66→63→71→61→75, with a latest run of 75 that is comfortably the best individual performance in the entire field. The consistency is remarkable — the lowest of the last five is 61, which is higher than most rivals' peaks. A pure Closer (EP 0, CS 100) which is the perfect profile for 483m at Doncaster — this is a staying trip on a fair track where the two Faders up front will set a pace that brings the Closer into play. Field speed 56 is the highest in the field. Track suitability 27 and distance 25 suggest some venue unfamiliarity (like Bangon Teddy), but the class gap is large enough to override this. T5 is the weakest trap (15.1% from 139 runs) but at A2 level, R1 wins 26.4% — quality prevails over draw.
DANGER: The trap statistics (34.1%) and pace metrics (triple 100) are impossible to ignore. If the 483m trip plays tighter than expected, or if the closers are slow to organise, she could hang on. But the form is in freefall (18 last) and distance suitability is zero. More likely to set it up for the closers than win herself.
Fader in the worst trap at a staying trip. The recent 59 is solid but the Fader profile at 483m with CS 0 means she'll weaken when it matters. Mid-pack finish likely.
Right profile (Closer) but wrong venue knowledge. AP 56 and consistent mid-60s form are solid but the bottom-of-the-field suitability scores are a significant concern at an unfamiliar track.
Strong form (74, 65) but the Fader profile at a staying trip on a fair track will be her undoing. Should be in the mix early but will weaken. Place prospect at best.
Right profile and decent draw but the class gap to Stoneparkfortune (14 points of AP) is too large. Consistent enough to pick up a minor placing but not to win.
T1 dominates at A2 483m with 34.1% from 91 runs. T5 worst at 15.1%. But R1 only wins 26.4% — at A2 level, quality matters more than trap. This is a class race where the best dog should prevail if the race shape allows it.
T1:34.1% (91) T2:16.4% (122) T3:20.1% (139) T4:20.7% (121) T5:15.1% (139) T6:22.6% (124)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 483m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Droopys Trendy | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Amelias Jet | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Bangon Teddy | 26 | 100 | Closer |
4Millhouse Len | 74 | 0 | Fader |
5Stoneparkfortune | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Ballymac Alexis | 4 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.