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ASHWELLS GREYHOUND RETIREMENT HOME
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Allowdale Chloeb 3y 6 | P W Young — 18% R1322 W243 P772 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 44 | 45 (3) | 53 (3) | 32 (6) | 38 (6) | 36 (5) | 31 (5) | 63 (1) | 53 (3) | 34 (6) | 68 (1) | 36 | 39 | - | 31 | 48 | 43 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Jays Brunod 2y 25 | K M O'flaherty — 19% R329 W64 P174 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 33 | 40 | 38 (4) | 50 (2) | 40 (5) | 53 (3) | 39 (4) | 30 (6) | 35 (5) | - | - | - | 30 | 43 | - | 18 | 32 | 32 | 6 | 5/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Rough Ronand 3y 6 | P W Young — 18% R1322 W243 P772 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 67 | 64 (1) | 34 (5) | 38 (6) | 46 (4) | 52 (3) | 54 (3) | 61 (2) | 64 (1) | 58 (3) | 49 (4) | 19 | 38 | 36 | 32 | 49 | 39 | 2 | 5/2 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ashwood Linksb 2y 19 | M E Westwood — 14% R250 W34 P117 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 56 | 41 (3) | 36 (5) | 37 (4) | 41 (4) | 45 (4) | 46 (4) | 49 (2) | 42 (5) | 53 (3) | 63 (3) | 19 | 35 | 30 | 30 | 52 | 40 | 3 | 11/4 | |
| 5 | ▶ Binksy Dobbied 2y 7 | D W Lee — 20% R231 W46 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 59 | 48 (4) | 64 (1) | 51 (3) | 59 (1) | 35 (4) | 50 (2) | 30 (6) | 33 (6) | 50 (2) | 47 (3) | 36 | 39 | 45 | 39 | 55 | 47 | 1 | 13/8F | |
| 6 | ▶ The Other Rafad 3y 26 | D Mullins — 17% R363 W61 P219 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 42 | 21 (4) | 41 (4) | 20 (2) | 55 (1) | 40 (2) | 29 (5) | 47 (6) | 30 (2) | 47 (6) | - | 21 | 20 | 10 | 21 | 46 | 35 | 5 | 25/1 | |
Binksy Dobbie carries Pred=1 but this selection is problematic for multiple structural reasons. T5 is the dead trap at A7 (14.45%, lowest in field)—a 6pp structural disadvantage versus T1-T3. Fader pace profile (EP 63, CS 30) is textbook Romford 400m hazard; CS 30 predicts gradual fade through bends 2-4. However, composite (47) is highest in field and form line (p2→p3→p2→p2→p1, perfs 50→47→54→54→64) shows recent p1 breakthrough (perf 64, elevated from 54 average). The improving trajectory and recent form breakthrough suggest genuine momentum. The structural contradiction: Pred=1 dog has the best composite (47) and improving form (perf 64) but arrives from the worst trap (T5, 14.45%) with a Fader pace profile (CS 30). This is a high-volatility pick. The case for Dobbie: recent form breakthrough and highest composite. The case against: dead trap (14.45%), Fader pace profile (CS 30). The pick is model-driven but structurally risky.
Form-strong with recent perf 69 and improving trajectory. T3 dominant trap. Fader profile (CS 25) is red flag but recent breakthrough suggests form momentum. Primary structural alternative to Pred=1 pick.
Dominant trap with above-average composite but highly volatile form (mostly 6ths with one p1 outlier perf 68). Closer profile. Structural trap advantage undermined by form unpredictability.
Dominant trap but lowest composite in field (32). Form shows low-grade p1s only (perfs 19, 24). Materially outclassed at A7 grade. Trainer quality can't compensate for form gap.
Consistent 3rd-place form but suitability weak across all conditions. Perf trending from 63 peak to 48. All-Rounder durability noted but structural indicators suggest place horse, not winner.
Pure Closer from outside draw in 400m, weak suitability across conditions. Composite 35 below average. Form volatile with p1 outlier (perf 60). Unlikely winner.
T5 is unusually weak at A7 (14.45%), suggesting this trap is structurally disadvantaged at this grade/distance. Two Faders in the field (Rough Ronan T3, Binksy Dobbie T5) with opposite trap luck; this creates a structural paradox where Pred=1 (T5 Fader) contradicts trap logic.
T1: 20.99% | T2: 21.56% | T3: 20.93% | T4: 16.55% | T5: 14.45% | T6: 17.09%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Allowdale Chloe | 47 | 67 | Closer |
2Jays Bruno | 46 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Rough Ronan | 58 | 25 | Fader |
4Ashwood Links | 53 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Binksy Dobbie | 63 | 30 | Fader |
6The Other Rafa | 0 | 100 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.