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WELCOME TO ROMFORD STAKES
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Two Sterlingb 2y 7 | J S J Simpson — 18% R136 W25 P62 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 44 | 85 (2) | 84 (2) | 91 (1) | 87 (1) | 69 (3) | 81 (1) | 48 (6) | 38 (5) | 51 (5) | 63 (5) | 62 | 57 | 54 | 55 | 66 | 63 | 2 | 10/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Brindle Moond 3y 34 | M E Wiley — 19% R510 W99 P262 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 62 | 54 (4) | 83 (1) | 65 (3) | 57 (5) | 57 (5) | 61 (6) | 59 (4) | 69 (5) | 90 (3) | - | 43 | 52 | 47 | 45 | 65 | 56 | 1 | 13/8F | |
| 3 | ▶ Ten Foldd 3y 6 | D Mullins — 17% R363 W61 P219 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 45 | 53 (6) | 47 (6) | 83 (1) | 54 (5) | 62 (2) | 82 (4) | 54 (1) | 81 (2) | - | - | 48 | 34 | 33 | 44 | 68 | 57 | 4 | 4/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Bubbly Alaskad 3y 33 | P W Young — 18% R1322 W243 P772 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 51 | 55 (5) | 50 (6) | 56 (4) | 66 (4) | 68 (4) | 87 (1) | 47 (6) | 71 (2) | 63 (5) | 64 (4) | 31 | 48 | 23 | 41 | 63 | 52 | 5 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Vinegarhill Lard 3y 16 | M E Wiley — 19% R510 W99 P262 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 55 | 62 (3) | 64 (2) | 58 (5) | 50 (6) | 56 (4) | 51 (5) | 45 | 75 (6) | 82 (2) | - | 20 | 39 | 11 | 39 | 69 | 51 | 6 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Gallant Kingd 4y 15 | G E Evans — 23% R291 W66 P152 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 49 | 67 (2) | 68 (2) | 50 (5) | 68 (2) | 50 (6) | 51 (5) | 66 (3) | 67 (3) | 68 (2) | 66 (3) | 42 | 47 | 16 | 36 | 67 | 56 | 3 | 7/2 | |
Brindle Moon from T2 (17.16%, below dominant trio) carries composite (56) and is flagged Pred=1, but this selection is structurally problematic. Fader pace profile (EP 64, CS 11) is the critical concern: CS 11 is the lowest stamina reserve in the field by far, lower than any other runner, and predicts severe fade through bends 2-4 at highest grade (A2). High EP 64 creates false confidence—flashy early pace masked by catastrophic stamina (CS 11). Form line (p5→p5→p1→p6→p4, perfs 57→59→23→61→59) is volatile with a p1 result (perf 23, well below grade standard) at lower grade and a p6 result (perf 61, finishing last) recently. The p1 win (perf 23) is a form peak but occurred at lower grade where CS 11 is less exposed. At A2 Romford 400m, the CS 11 vulnerability is severe. Suitability is adequate across track (52), distance (45), trap (43), class (47) but not exceptional. The structural argument against: CS 11 (lowest in field) at highest grade is a documented hazard. The Fader is masked by Pred=1 status and adequate suitability, but the stamina reserve (11) is disqualifying.
Dominant trap (T3 21.63%) with pure Closer identity and full stamina (CS 100). Recent perf 84 is highest in field. Form volatile but recent p1 breakthrough is credible. Primary danger if early Fader (Brindle Moon) fades.
Form trajectory and suitability exceptional; perf trending from 51→65 shows grade readiness. Closer profile from T1 is tactical mismatch at Romford 400m. Place horse in strong form but unlikely early winner.
Highest recent perf (87) and improving form trajectory (50→87), but from neutral trap (T4) with weak class suitability (23). All-Rounder durability noted. Running above comfort zone at A2; credible place horse but form peak may not be sustainable.
Highest avg perf (69) but from weakest trap (T5) with weak class suitability (11). Form declining with recent p5 (perf 49). At A2, structural disadvantages offset avg perf advantage. Unlikely winner.
Dominant trap (T6 20.22%) and strong composite (56) masked by weak class suitability (16) and declining form (85→58). Recent p4. At A2, class fit weakness is significant liability. Earlier peak form (perfs 85, 83) not sustained.
This is A2 (highest grade observed today). Separation is NORMAL (8pp gap R1-R3), indicating competitive depth and form quality matters. T3 dominates at 21.63%. Fader profile concern is acute at highest grade where pace stamina is tested more severely.
T1: 20.14% | T2: 17.16% | T3: 21.63% | T4: 17.73% | T5: 16.34% | T6: 20.22%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Two Sterling | 46 | 64 | Closer |
2Brindle Moon | 64 | 11 | Fader |
3Ten Fold | 0 | 100 | Closer |
4Bubbly Alaska | 54 | 42 | All-Rounder |
5Vinegarhill Lar | 53 | 34 | All-Rounder |
6Gallant King | 47 | 58 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.