THE FUTURE OF RACING: PGR TV
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Holeinmybucketb 3y 7 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 32 | 36 (5) | 48 (4) | 54 (2) | 70 (4) | 39 (5) | 56 (2) | 35 (5) | 67 (4) | 61 (1) | 55 (1) | 26 | 25 | 25 | 31 | 54 | 45 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Crokers Dawnb 1y 23 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 50 | 42 (4) | 44 (3) | 32 (6) | 29 (2) | 36 (1) | 15 (4) | 23 (3) | 20 (4) | - | - | 1 | 27 | - | - | 40 | 28 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ My Midnitespotond 1y | J R Hall — 18% R308 W54 P161 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | - | - | - | - | 25 | 3 | 12/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Racecourse Patd 1y 15 | I E Walker — 16% R223 W35 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 36 (1) | 26 (3) | 30 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 31 | 37 | - | - | 31 | 36 | 1 | 10/11F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Motherlandb 2y 16 | R Williams — 15% R296 W43 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 50 | 18 (6) | 23 (5) | 21 (6) | 55 (1) | 54 (1) | 36 (4) | 30 (5) | - | - | - | 24 | 28 | 11 | 36 | 39 | 38 | 6 | 25/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Lightfoot Sinbadd 4y 17 | K S Harrison — 18% R345 W62 P184 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 56 | 51 (2) | 55 (2) | 49 (2) | 40 (4) | 36 (4) | 34 (6) | 19 (5) | 21 (4) | 14 (6) | 27 (2) | 28 | 29 | 31 | 36 | 46 | 47 | 5 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holeinmybucket | 29.39 | 29.60 | 29.51 | 63 | +0.12 | Fastest, best recent form | |
| 2 | Crokers Dawn | 29.78 | 29.91 | 29.86 | 46 | +0.08 | ||
| 3 | My Midnitespoton | Unraced — no recorded form despite the statistically best box on the card. A complete unknown. | — | No recorded form | ||||
| 4 | Racecourse Pat | Recent form all over the 270m sprint trip — no data at this much longer distance. | — | Stepping up sharply in trip | ||||
| 5 | Motherland | 29.73 | 29.97 | 30.24 | 39 | +0.51 | Well below best last time out | |
| 6 | Lightfoot Sinbad | 29.46 | 29.82 | 29.75 | 54 | +0.29 | Top-rated but worst trap on the card | |
Trap 3 has been a huge angle at this grade and trip at Dunstall Park, winning close to one in three compared to barely one in ten from trap 6 — one of the biggest trap swings anywhere on this card. The catch tonight is that My Midnitespoton, drawn in that very box, arrives with no recorded form at all, so that statistical edge can't be leaned on with a completely unknown quantity. That leaves this race to be decided on genuine form, and Holeinmybucket stands out — fastest in the field, the best recent performance rating, and an outstanding record at this course and distance. Lightfoot Sinbad rates highest on the composite score but carries the worst draw on the card, while Racecourse Pat and Motherland both step up sharply from recent sprint racing and are unproven at this longer trip.
The fastest dog in the field on recorded times and rated the best on recent average performance too. Two wins and four places from seven runs at this exact course and distance is an outstanding record — the strongest in the race by a distance. Fourth last time out but that came at a stiffer level, and once raced at open-race class which shows there's real quality in there. A strong finisher who should be doing his best work in the closing stages.
Top-rated dog in the race on the composite score and placed second last time out. Trainer Harrison has a strong 22% strike rate. Three places from six runs at this course and distance is a fair record without a win yet. The big concern is the draw — trap 6 has been by some distance the weakest box at this grade and trip, winning barely one in ten.
Fourth last time out and the recent figures have been fairly modest. No course and distance form to speak of from three runs, all without troubling the frame. A versatile runner who can race handy or come from off the pace, but there's little in the recent form to suggest she can trouble the leading pair here.
No recorded form to assess — this looks to be a first outing or a return from a long absence. Drawn in trap 3, which has been a huge angle at this grade and trip, winning close to one in three historically. Ordinarily that draw would be a serious plus, but with absolutely nothing to go on for this individual dog it's impossible to know if that translates into a real chance tonight.
Won last time out, but that was over the minimum sprint trip and every recent run has come at that shorter distance. Stepping up to 480 metres here is a big unknown — there's no evidence either way whether the extra distance will suit. Trainer Walker has a decent 24% strike rate, which is worth noting, but the distance jump is the dominant factor in this assessment.
Fifth last time out over the sprint trip and the times at this longer distance have been below the pace of this field when last tried. Two wins and two places from five runs at this course and distance from earlier in her campaign shows she has handled the conditions before. Slowest recorded time of those with data in this field right now.
Key insight: Trap 3 is a major outlier at A7 over 480m, winning 30.2% from 96 runs against trap 6's 10.8% — one of the widest trap gaps on the card. Unfortunately the trap 3 runner tonight has no form to assess, so the bias can't be used as evidence for this specific dog.
T1:19.1% T2:18.4% T3:30.2% T4:20.6% T5:13.2% T6:10.8%
610 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Holeinmybucket | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Crokers Dawn | 51 | 40 | All-Rounder |
3My Midnitespoton | — | — | No data |
4Racecourse Pat | — | — | No data |
5Motherland | 49 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Lightfoot Sinbad | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 270m | 480m | 645m | 660m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Holeinmybucket | — | — | 0.617 | 0.655 | 0.628 |
| 2 | Crokers Dawn | 0.659 | 0.608 | 0.623 | — | — |
| 3 | My Midnitespoton | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Racecourse Pat | — | 0.616 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Motherland | — | 0.628 | 0.624 | — | — |
| 6 | Lightfoot Sinbad | — | 0.629 | 0.621 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.