Loading...
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ivys Hollyb 3y 23 | D T Smith — 15% R383 W58 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 59 (4) | 80 (1) | 41 (6) | 61 (3) | 30 (6) | 79 (3) | 81 (1) | 54 (5) | 19 (2) | 51 (3) | 30 | 36 | 28 | 28 | 58 | 42 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Lynnia St Davidd 3y 15 | R Williams — 15% R296 W43 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 52 | 55 (4) | 34 (2) | 77 (1) | 52 (5) | 39 (6) | 54 (5) | 79 (1) | 76 (1) | 53 (4) | 58 (4) | 31 | 31 | 11 | 37 | 61 | 49 | 4 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Scarborough Lucyb 2y 16 | R Short — 25% R134 W33 P72 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 49 | 61 (4) | 68 (2) | 27 (4) | 53 (4) | 77 (1) | 46 (6) | 72 (1) | 40 (6) | 28 (4) | 32 (2) | 27 | 32 | 27 | 37 | 61 | 44 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Catunda Fayeb 2y 25 | K S Harrison — 18% R345 W62 P184 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 44 | 62 (3) | 57 (4) | 65 (3) | 45 (6) | 45 (5) | 61 (3) | 59 (4) | 52 (5) | 53 (6) | 62 (4) | 27 | 18 | 14 | 7 | 57 | 42 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Sister Graceb 2y 16 | R L Hill — 9% R65 W6 P31 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 37 | 69 (2) | 69 (2) | 72 (2) | 61 (5) | 65 (6) | 68 (4) | 69 (4) | 82 (4) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 1 | 31 | 36 | 34 | 72 | 49 | 1 | 7/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Dapper Chunkyd 3y 17 | I E Walker — 16% R223 W35 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 60 | 75 (1) | 66 (2) | 33 (5) | 49 (4) | 61 (4) | 60 (2) | 69 (2) | 58 (4) | 45 (5) | 68 (2) | 23 | 25 | 17 | 38 | 63 | 48 | 6 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivys Holly | 28.78 | 29.29 | 29.06 | 48 | +0.28 | ||
| 2 | Lynnia St David | 28.85 | 29.19 | 28.85 | 52 | 0.00 | Best trap, strong C&D form | |
| 3 | Scarborough Lucy | 28.86 | 29.13 | 29.34 | 46 | +0.48 | Worst trap on the card by a distance | |
| 4 | Catunda Faye | 28.88 | 29.04 | 29.00 | 52 | +0.12 | Fastest, but no course & distance form | |
| 5 | Sister Grace | 29.01 | 29.05 | 29.10 | 49 | +0.09 | Top-rated, streets clear on form | |
| 6 | Dapper Chunky | 28.95 | 29.13 | 29.07 | 49 | +0.12 | Won last time out, stepping up in grade |
The best race on the card so far and it comes with a striking trap split — trap 2 has won 22.4% at this grade while trap 3 has been a near-write-off, winning barely one in eleven. Scarborough Lucy carries that unfortunate draw tonight despite decent form. Sister Grace is the story of this race though — her recent performance figures are streets clear of anything else in this field, having raced at A2 and open-race class in her last few starts before dropping back in. When a dog is this far above the rest on raw form, the pace concerns become secondary. Lynnia St David, drawn in the best box with a strong course and distance record, is the closest thing to a natural danger.
Top-rated dog in the race on the composite score and her recent performance figures are well clear of the rest of this field — nine points ahead of the next best. She's been racing at A2 and open-race level over her last few starts, well above tonight's grade, and drops back in on the back of two runs rated 69. A strong finisher who should have runners to work with if the pace is honest. When the gap in proven ability is this wide, it matters more than any single running-style concern.
Drawn in trap 2, which has been the best-performing box at this grade and trip, and boasts an excellent course and distance record — three wins and four places from nine runs. Placed second last time out at a lower grade before returning here. Fast away with sharp early pace, and has shown career-best form recently. The best draw on the card allied to strong course and distance form makes her the clear danger.
Fourth last time out and the form has been up and down across her last six runs. Two wins and two places from eight runs at this course and distance is a fair record. A strong finisher who needs the race to develop her way, but the raw figures put her behind the leading contenders tonight.
Trainer Short carries the best strike rate in the race at 26%, and two wins and three places from six runs at this course and distance is a decent record. Fourth last time out. The major concern is the draw — trap 3 has been a near-disaster at this grade and trip, winning barely one in eleven, and that's a tough box to overcome regardless of the underlying form.
The fastest dog in the field on recorded times, though he's yet to place from seven runs at this course and distance. Recent grades have mostly come at open-race class, a big step above tonight's level, which may explain the lack of course and distance success so far — the ability is there, it just hasn't translated at this specific track and trip. Third last time out.
Won last time out at the grade below and steps up to face tougher opposition tonight. Trainer Walker has a strong 24% strike rate. One win and five places from nine runs at this course and distance shows he handles the conditions well. Fast away but tends to fade late, which could be an issue if the strong finishers elsewhere get organised.
Key insight: Trap 3 is a major outlier at A3 over 480m, winning just 9.0% from 122 runs — the weakest single trap figure anywhere on tonight's card. Trap 2 is the best box at 22.4%. Composite top pick wins 20.3% here.
T1:21.9% T2:22.4% T3:9.0% T4:17.1% T5:18.2% T6:17.2%
698 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ivys Holly | 35 | 92 | Closer |
2Lynnia St David | 65 | 8 | Fader |
3Scarborough Lucy | 86 | 0 | Fader |
4Catunda Faye | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Sister Grace | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Dapper Chunky | 71 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 260m | 270m | 450m | 480m | 500m | 630m | 650m | 847m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ivys Holly | 0.645 | — | — | 0.610 | 0.614 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Lynnia St David | — | 0.599 | — | 0.609 | — | — | — | — |
| 3 | Scarborough Lucy | — | 0.607 | 0.635 | 0.607 | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Catunda Faye | — | — | — | 0.605 | 0.620 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Sister Grace | — | — | — | 0.605 | — | 0.619 | 0.614 | 0.636 |
| 6 | Dapper Chunky | — | 0.603 | — | 0.607 | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.