| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Mercia Stiorrab 3y 17 | K S Harrison — 18% R345 W62 P184 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 47 | 31 (6) | 42 (6) | 57 (3) | 57 (3) | 54 (2) | 58 (6) | 61 (1) | 57 (1) | 53 (2) | 56 (1) | 39 | 40 | 16 | 43 | 53 | 52 | 4 | 9/4 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Moulton Maxineb 2y 7 | M T Field — 20% R229 W46 P119 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 53 | 43 (5) | 59 (1) | 40 (4) | 43 (4) | 25 (6) | 46 (4) | 20 (6) | 37 (1) | 75 (3) | 70 (1) | 22 | 21 | 5 | 17 | 48 | 36 | 2 | 2/1F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Ashtons Bingob 2y 7 | S W Deakin — 15% R507 W78 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 41 | 52 (2) | 30 (6) | 66 (1) | 34 (5) | 38 (6) | 28 (6) | - | - | - | - | 24 | 22 | 19 | 19 | 40 | 35 | 3 | 13/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Edial Tonyd 2y 6 | S J Cull — 12% R109 W13 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 47 | 53 (2) | 44 (5) | 41 (6) | 48 (4) | 32 (6) | 46 (5) | 57 (2) | 59 (4) | 37 (3) | - | 6 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 46 | 38 | 5 | 11/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Pennys Mawub 2yN/R 26 | G B Ballentine — 13% R102 W13 P61 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 54 | 42 (5) | 41 (4) | 41 (4) | 56 (3) | 53 (2) | 48 (4) | 51 (4) | 66 (1) | 44 (5) | 36 (6) | 12 | 14 | 25 | 13 | 47 | 33 | - | - | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Lynnia Maisieb 2y 8 | M T Field — 20% R229 W46 P119 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 61 | 49 (3) | 53 (2) | 42 (6) | 40 (5) | 44 (4) | 61 (3) | 35 (6) | 70 (1) | 67 (1) | 46 (4) | 32 | 33 | 40 | 29 | 50 | 49 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercia Stiorra | 29.29 | 29.46 | 29.45 | 55 | +0.16 | Top-rated, outstanding course & distance record | |
| 2 | Moulton Maxine | 29.66 | 29.80 | 29.79 | 38 | +0.13 | ||
| 3 | Ashtons Bingo | 29.45 | 29.84 | 30.05 | 36 | +0.60 | Worst trap on the card, out of form | |
| 4 | Edial Tony | 29.24 | 29.55 | 29.74 | 49 | +0.50 | Placed last time out | |
| 5 | Pennys Mawu | 29.27 | 29.52 | 29.63 | 52 | +0.36 | ||
| 6 | Lynnia Maisie | 29.22 | 29.50 | 29.47 | 55 | +0.25 | Fastest, best trap on the card |
The final 480 metre race of the night and trap 6 has been the standout box at this grade, winning close to one in four compared to barely one in eight from trap 3 — one of the bigger trap swings on the card. Lynnia Maisie combines that favoured draw with the fastest recorded time in the field and a composite score close behind the market leader, a genuine three-way alignment of speed, draw and rating. Mercia Stiorra rates highest on the composite score itself and has an outstanding record at this course and distance, making her the clear danger from a middling box. Ashtons Bingo carries the worst draw on the card to go with out-of-form figures.
The fastest dog in the field on recorded times and drawn in trap 6, comfortably the best-performing box at this grade and trip. Second on the composite score, just behind the market leader, and placed second last time out. Two wins and four places from ten runs at this course and distance rounds out a genuinely well-supported case. When the fastest dog in the race also holds the best draw and rates close to the top on the composite score, that combination carries real weight.
Top-rated dog in the race on the composite score and rated best on recent average performance too. Three wins and five places from eight runs at this course and distance is an outstanding record — the best in the field by some distance. Sixth last time out, but that came over a much longer stayers' trip, so it's forgivable back at this standard distance. Trainer Harrison has a strong 22% strike rate.
Fifth last time out and the recent figures have been fairly modest. One win and one place from six runs at this course and distance. Fast away but tends to fade in the closing stages, and drawn in one of the weaker boxes at this grade and trip.
Well beaten in sixth last time out and the performance and speed figures are both the weakest in this field. One win and one place from five runs at this course and distance. Drawn in the weakest box at this grade and trip too, which compounds the poor recent form.
Placed second last time out and has been racing consistently at this level. No wins yet from ten runs at this course and distance, though two places shows he's not far away. A strong finisher who needs the race to develop his way.
Fifth last time out and the recent form has been steady without standing out. One win and two places from ten runs at this course and distance. A fair, unspectacular runner who's hard to make a strong case for over the leading contenders.
Key insight: Trap 6 is the standout box at A6 over 480m (22.9% from 131 runs), trap 3 the weakest (13.2%). The fastest dog in the field wins 24.4% of the time here, well clear of the composite score's 17.9% — one of the weaker composite showings on the card.
T1:17.5% T2:14.0% T3:13.2% T4:17.4% T5:19.6% T6:22.9%
855 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Mercia Stiorra | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Moulton Maxine | 57 | 0 | Fader |
3Ashtons Bingo | 45 | 63 | Closer |
4Edial Tony | 45 | 87 | Closer |
5Pennys Mawu | 55 | 37 | Fader |
6Lynnia Maisie | 63 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 480m | 525m | 660m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mercia Stiorra | — | 0.614 | — | 0.635 |
| 2 | Moulton Maxine | 0.614 | 0.621 | 0.555 | — |
| 3 | Ashtons Bingo | — | 0.620 | — | — |
| 4 | Edial Tony | — | 0.616 | — | — |
| 6 | Lynnia Maisie | — | 0.615 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.