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WATCH PGR ON SKY SPORTS RACING
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Headford Jaked 4y 55 | J R Hall — 18% R308 W54 P161 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 31 | 67 (2) | 67 (4) | 37 (3) | 43 (1) | 38 (4) | 39 (2) | 34 (4) | 42 (1) | 39 (2) | 35 (2) | 32 | 45 | 39 | 29 | 67 | 46 | 3 | 10/11F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Cockney Marveld 2y 27 | S J Cull — 12% R109 W13 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 39 | 62 (2) | 46 (5) | 68 (1) | 41 (5) | 48 (3) | 65 (2) | 58 (3) | 57 | 47 (4) | - | 16 | 22 | 39 | 31 | 55 | 36 | 1 | 6/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Blazeaway Rocketd 3y 16 | S W Deakin — 15% R507 W78 P241 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 35 | 58 | 40 (4) | 28 (6) | 27 (6) | 77 (1) | 70 (1) | 49 (6) | 26 (4) | 66 (6) | 55 (2) | - | 31 | 34 | 27 | 32 | 46 | 34 | 2 | 9/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Soap Box Headsd 2y 26 | R Short — 25% R134 W33 P72 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 46 | 47 (4) | 56 (3) | 59 (3) | 38 (5) | 62 (1) | 40 (5) | 72 (1) | 68 (1) | 47 (5) | 65 (2) | 24 | 17 | 17 | 13 | 54 | 32 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Wifeb 2y 7 | K S Harrison — 18% R345 W62 P184 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 55 | 59 (2) | 57 (3) | 70 (1) | 59 (5) | 57 (3) | 53 (4) | 56 (3) | 68 (1) | 35 (6) | 46 (5) | 28 | 25 | 16 | 33 | 58 | 48 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Tea And Toastb 3y 18 | S A Aveline — 4% R68 W3 P30 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 57 (3) | 58 (5) | 54 (4) | 57 (2) | 60 (2) | 55 (2) | 56 (4) | 53 (3) | 54 (5) | 67 (2) | 25 | 25 | 48 | 30 | 57 | 44 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Headford Jake | 28.87 | 28.95 | 29.02 | 63 | +0.15 | Fastest in the field, best recent form | |
| 2 | Cockney Marvel | 29.16 | 29.38 | 29.16 | 47 | 0.00 | Steady but needs more | |
| 3 | Blazeaway Rocket | 28.92 | 29.63 | 29.89 | 35 | +0.97 | Well below best lately | |
| 4 | Soap Box Heads | 29.18 | 29.44 | 29.64 | 39 | +0.46 | Trainer in good form | |
| 5 | Swift Wife | 29.03 | 29.29 | 29.03 | 53 | 0.00 | Top-rated, best trap on the card | |
| 6 | Tea And Toast | 28.93 | 29.22 | 29.29 | 52 | +0.36 | Worst trap on the card |
Dunstall Park at 480 metres continues to play as a fair test with a mild draw bias — trap 5 has been the best box at this grade so far (19.1%) and trap 6 the weakest by some distance (10.8%). The composite model has struggled to pick winners here too, landing under one in five, so this looks a race to lean on raw ability. Headford Jake stands out on that front — the fastest recorded time in the field and a performance rating well clear of everything else here off the back of two strong runs in a row. Swift Wife, drawn in the best box with the top composite score, is the obvious danger, while Tea And Toast drops in from a much longer trip carrying the worst draw on the card.
The fastest dog in the field on recorded times and comfortably the best recent performance rating too — nine points clear of the next best in this race. Second last time out and matched that figure the run before, so this is a dog hitting a real peak right now. A strong finisher who should have plenty to aim at if the pace up front is honest. Limited experience at this exact course and distance, but the raw form on show elsewhere is streets ahead of this field.
Top-rated dog in the race on the composite score and drawn in trap 5, which has been the best-performing box at this grade and trip. Second last time out and ran back to her fastest recorded time doing it. Two wins and three places from nine runs at this course and distance, and trainer Harrison has a healthy 22% strike rate. A well-rounded runner who can race any way the pace dictates.
Second last time out and has been racing consistently at this level without quite finding the win. One win and three places from ten runs at this course and distance is a fair record. Fast away but tends to fade late, which could be an issue if this race turns into a stayer's battle in the closing stages.
Dropping down after a run of races at the grade above and the recent times have been well below his best. Two wins and four places from ten runs at this course and distance is a decent record from earlier in his campaign, showing he does handle the conditions when in form. Fourth last time out and needs to find a lot more speed than he's shown in his last few starts to be involved here.
Trainer Short has the best strike rate of any handler in this race at 26%, which is worth noting even if the dog's own recent form is unremarkable. Fourth last time out and one win and one place from five runs at this course and distance. Versatile enough to race handy or come from off the pace, but the raw figures put him behind most of this field.
Steps down sharply in distance tonight after running over 660 metres last time out, finishing fifth. No wins from nine runs at this course and distance, though four places shows she's not far away. Drawn in trap 6, which has been comfortably the weakest box at this grade and trip — a big ask on top of the distance switch.
Key insight: Trap 5 is the best box at A5 over 480m (19.1% from 152 runs), trap 6 is a clear outlier as the weakest (10.8% from 148 runs). The composite top pick wins only 18.1% here, below the sport-wide baseline, so genuine standout form matters more than the raw ranking.
T1:18.9% T2:18.4% T3:16.9% T4:17.4% T5:19.1% T6:10.8%
898 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Headford Jake | 44 | 100 | Closer |
2Cockney Marvel | 96 | 0 | Fader |
3Blazeaway Rocket | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Soap Box Heads | 56 | 100 | All-Rounder |
5Swift Wife | 0 | 47 | All-Rounder |
6Tea And Toast | 0 | 53 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 450m | 476m | 480m | 660m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Headford Jake | 0.598 | — | — | 0.603 | — |
| 2 | Cockney Marvel | — | — | — | 0.612 | — |
| 3 | Blazeaway Rocket | — | — | — | 0.617 | — |
| 4 | Soap Box Heads | — | 0.613 | 0.625 | 0.613 | — |
| 5 | Swift Wife | — | — | — | 0.610 | 0.630 |
| 6 | Tea And Toast | — | — | — | 0.609 | 0.631 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.