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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Galinismb 2y 18 | K L Windebank — 15% R504 W76 P264 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 41 | 63 (2) | 61 (2) | 58 (4) | 69 (3) | 50 (6) | 55 (4) | 59 (5) | 80 (1) | 67 (2) | 71 (2) | 27 | 35 | 47 | 30 | 61 | 43 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Thunder Clapd 1y 5 | V K Thom — 22% R107 W24 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 50 | 48 (4) | 74 (1) | 60 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 31 | 47 | - | 43 | 60 | 46 | 4 | 5/2F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Swift Illinoisb 3y 47 | P I Cross — 17% R139 W23 P77 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 70 | 68 (4) | 52 (6) | 71 (2) | 83 (2) | 64 (3) | 68 (2) | 81 (1) | 66 (2) | 50 (5) | 66 (3) | 32 | 42 | 25 | 29 | 67 | 33 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Booksellerd 2y 8 | C R Morris — 27% R302 W82 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 55 | 61 (4) | 56 (3) | 45 (5) | 74 (1) | 40 (6) | 67 (1) | 53 (2) | 43 (5) | 62 (1) | 59 (1) | 53 | 43 | 5 | 37 | 55 | 45 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Ardera Dameb 2y 17 | L Brown — 9% R103 W9 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 53 | 68 (2) | 60 (4) | 49 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 15 | 14 | 12 | 16 | 60 | 36 | 6 | 10/3 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Digby Girlb 1yREP 6 | C R Morris — 27% R302 W82 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 37 | 63 (3) | 72 (1) | 57 (3) | 63 (2) | 44 (5) | 65 (1) | 45 (3) | 58 (2) | 48 (3) | 40 (5) | 37 | 21 | - | 35 | 58 | 47 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Swift Illinois | 28.00 | 28.33 | 28.24 | 65 | +0.24 | Long layoff, best trap | |
| 1 | Galinism | 28.17 | 28.49 | 28.70 | 55 | +0.53 | Placed last time | |
| 2 | Thunder Clap | 28.42 | 28.57 | 28.68 | 49 | +0.26 | Model pick, best trainer | |
| 5 | Ardera Dame | 28.50 | 28.61 | 28.69 | 48 | +0.19 | Limited form, only 3 runs | |
| 4 | Bookseller | 28.43 | 28.77 | 28.75 | 45 | +0.32 | Slow away last time | |
| 6 | Swift Engine | 28.29 | 28.64 | 29.38 | 38 | +1.09 | Worst draw, slowest rated |
Yarmouth's 462 metres is a fair, well-cambered galloping track that produces the fewest all-the-way winners of any circuit in the country, and the long home straight here regularly reels in dogs who lead too soon. At this grade box three is clearly the best draw at over 23 in every hundred runners, while box six is a long way back at under 13 - one of the bigger gaps seen across today's card. Swift Illinois, drawn in that favoured box three, is easily the fastest dog in the race on the clock and shows real early pace, but he hasn't raced in a long time and arrives off a lengthy layoff. Thunder Clap, the top-rated runner and the model's pick, finishes strongly from off the pace, which suits a track where the closers so often do their best work in the final furlong.
Limited recent form to go on with only three races recorded, but the pattern is encouraging - two wins from those three starts, including victories at the two grades below this one, before finishing midfield last time out stepping up to today's level. Finishes strongly from off the pace rather than leading, a running style that suits a track where the long home straight regularly catches out early leaders. The draw here is only moderate at this exact grade and trip, sitting below the best boxes. What stands out is the trainer angle - V K Thom has won close to a third of runners sent out in these exact conditions, the strongest trainer figure of anyone in this race by some margin. Top of the ratings on the back of that trainer strength as much as raw speed.
Returning after a lengthy spell off the track - his last recorded run came the best part of a year ago - so freshness and race sharpness are both genuine questions here. What he showed before that absence was real quality at a notably higher grade than tonight's, with a string of competitive placed efforts and one particularly sharp performance that stands out clearly above this field. He's easily the fastest dog in this race on the clock, both on his best and average times, and shows quick early pace that should suit the favoured box he's drawn in - comfortably the strongest draw at this exact grade and trip. His trainer's record here is respectable too. If the layoff hasn't blunted him, the class and the speed both make him a big danger.
Placed last time out without winning, continuing a run of competitive but not victorious form across his last six starts, with a peak performance a few races back that shows he has more in the tank than his recent finishes suggest. Finishes strongly from off the pace, and the draw here is fair without being outstanding at this exact grade and trip. His trainer's record in these conditions is a shade below the pick's but still a reasonable positive. A consistent type who keeps knocking on the door without quite getting there recently.
Modest last time out after a slow start hampered his chances, though the form before that includes a win at the grade below and a genuine peak performance that puts him firmly in this conversation. Runs a balanced race without a clear leading or closing tendency, and the draw here is a positive at this exact grade and trip, one of the better boxes on offer. His trainer's record in these conditions is solid without being exceptional. The recent slow start is the main concern, but the underlying form and a good draw both work in his favour.
Limited form to go on with only three recorded races, but a placed effort last time out and a clear leading role two starts back both hint at genuine early ability. Runs a balanced race and the draw here is poor at this exact grade and trip, one of the weaker boxes on offer. Her trainer's record in these exact conditions is actually the best in the entire field by percentage, albeit from a small sample, which offers some encouragement despite the modest overall figures. A sparse form line makes her hard to assess with full confidence either way.
Struggling for form, finishing in the bottom half of the field in each of his last six starts without ever really threatening the front end. Races wide rather than sticking to the rail, which at a track where wide running features prominently in the comments is a further disadvantage over this trip. Drawn in the weakest box at this exact grade and trip by a clear margin, and his clock times are the slowest of anyone in this field. His trainer has a fair overall record, but nothing here suggests a turnaround is imminent.
Key insight: The pick's own trap figure is only modest, but his trainer's 31% strike rate in these exact conditions is the strongest trainer record in the entire race and the main reason he holds top spot in the ratings.
Trap 3 strongest at 23.3%, trap 6 weakest at 12.8%
1,621 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Galinism | 36 | 78 | Closer |
2Thunder Clap | 47 | 54 | All-Rounder |
3Swift Illinois | 62 | 46 | Front Runner |
4Bookseller | 54 | 29 | All-Rounder |
5Ardera Dame | 53 | 42 | All-Rounder |
6Digby Girl | 34 | 75 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.