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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Moanteen Oscard 1y 14 | E G Samuels — 15% R598 W90 P319 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 36 | 42 | 51 (5) | 46 (4) | 77 (1) | 51 (4) | 70 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | 35 | 44 | - | 34 | 60 | 30 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Savana Pepsid 3yN/R 25 | M Lewis — 16% R248 W39 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 53 | 66 (2) | 56 (5) | 73 (2) | 74 (2) | 73 (2) | 63 (4) | 80 (1) | 63 (2) | 70 (2) | 74 (1) | 40 | 50 | 29 | 47 | 68 | 46 | - | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Decoy Oolab 2y 28 | K J Cobbold — 26% R203 W53 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 54 | 61 (3) | 58 (4) | 65 (3) | 72 (1) | 64 (4) | 46 (1) | 61 (3) | - | - | - | 26 | 25 | - | 23 | 61 | 38 | 2 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Goldcash Wildb 2y 27 | K J Cobbold — 26% R203 W53 P132 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 60 | 59 | 70 (2) | 71 (2) | 73 (3) | 88 (1) | 78 (2) | 61 (4) | 77 (3) | 55 (5) | 63 (4) | 90 (1) | 36 | 44 | 46 | 43 | 73 | 49 | 1 | 11/8F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Dromana Juniord 4y 34 | V K Thom — 22% R107 W24 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 42 | 49 (5) | 64 (3) | 84 (1) | 72 (2) | 79 (1) | 69 (3) | 78 (1) | 54 (4) | 59 (2) | 43 (4) | 32 | 35 | 23 | 34 | 66 | 33 | 5 | 14/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Fastnet Freezed 1y 27 | C R Morris — 27% R302 W82 P201 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 46 | 82 (1) | 72 (3) | 59 (5) | 68 (3) | 84 (4) | 63 (1) | 76 (4) | 60 (1) | - | - | - | 48 | 10 | 35 | 68 | 43 | 3 | 15/8 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Goldcash Wild | 27.86 | 28.25 | 28.31 | 60 | +0.45 | Model pick, fastest in field | |
| 6 | Fastnet Freeze | 28.10 | 28.39 | 28.39 | 53 | +0.29 | Best trainer in race | |
| 3 | Decoy Oola | 28.13 | 28.51 | 28.39 | 50 | +0.26 | Best draw here | |
| 2 | Savana Pepsi | 28.07 | 28.39 | 28.62 | 50 | +0.55 | 0 wins from 6 | |
| 5 | Dromana Junior | 28.16 | 28.54 | 28.91 | 41 | +0.75 | Weak trainer record here | |
| 1 | Moanteen Oscar | 28.00 | 28.62 | 29.28 | 36 | +1.28 | Slowest in field |
Yarmouth's 462 metres remains a fair, well-cambered galloping track, producing fewer all-the-way winners than anywhere else in the country because the long home straight so often catches the leaders. At this grade box three is the strongest draw at close to 25 in every hundred runners, with box six weakest at just over 15. Goldcash Wild sits clear of this field on the numbers - fastest on the clock, top of the ratings and with a trainer in excellent recent touch - and having raced at a considerably higher level not long ago, he arrives with real class in hand. Fastnet Freeze finishes strongly from off the pace and is trained by the standout handler in these conditions, giving him the best chance of running the pick closest if the gap at the bend allows it.
Placed in both of his last two starts without quite getting his head in front, and further back the form line includes a clear win at a considerably higher grade than tonight's - real class in the pedigree even if recent finishes have been narrow. Fastest dog in the field on both best and average time, and top of the ratings to match, a genuine alignment of the two most important numbers in the race. The draw is only middling at this exact grade and trip, but his trainer is in excellent recent touch under these exact conditions, winning close to a quarter of runners sent out. Runs a balanced race rather than relying purely on pace, which should serve him well over this trip. Three separate signals - the clock, the ratings, and the trainer - all point the same way.
Placed last time out continuing a pattern of consistent if unspectacular form, with a win a few starts back at this same grade showing he's capable when things fall right. Steps down after facing tougher opposition recently, which is a mild positive against this field. Finishes strongly from off the pace and holds the second-fastest clock time in this race behind only the pick. The draw is a genuine drawback, sitting in the weakest box at this exact grade and trip. What compensates is the trainer - C R Morris boasts the best record of anyone in this race under these exact conditions, comfortably clear of the field. If he can overcome the poor draw, he's the most dangerous runner here.
Placed without winning across his last three starts at this grade, with earlier form at lower levels showing he can get his head in front when conditions suit. Runs a balanced race and holds a decent bend rating that should help him into that first turn. Drawn in the strongest box at this exact grade and trip, the best-performing draw of the six, which is a genuine structural positive. His trainer's record in these conditions is solid, not far off the pick's own figure. The draw gives him a real chance if he can find the improvement his recent finishes have been just short of.
Consistent without winning recently, placed in three of her last four starts at this grade but unable to convert any of them into a win, and her last outing was her weakest of the sequence. Runs a balanced race without a clear leading or closing tendency. The draw is a below-average one at this exact grade and trip, and her trainer's record here is modest from a small sample. There's clearly ability given how often she's been in the frame, but she needs to find the finishing kick that's been missing to trouble this field.
Struggling for form, finishing well back last time out after a modest run of placed efforts before that, though a win two starts back at a lower grade shows some underlying ability. Finishes from off the pace rather than leading. The draw is below-average at this exact grade and trip, and his trainer's record here is the weakest in the entire field. Little in the recent data points strongly in his favour tonight, and he has plenty to find against a field with more going for it structurally.
Modest last time out after a spell campaigning at lower grades, including two wins at that easier level before stepping back up to face tougher opposition tonight. Runs a balanced race without a clear leading or closing tendency, and he's the slowest dog in this field on the clock by a distance. The draw is a fair one at this exact grade and trip, but his trainer's record here is one of the weaker figures in the race. The step back up to this level looks a stiff ask on the pace he's shown recently.
Key insight: The pick stacks three separate signals - top rating, fastest clock time, and a trainer in strong recent form in these conditions - a rare alignment even though his own trap is only middling.
Trap 3 strongest at 24.5%, trap 6 weakest at 15.2%
1,691 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Moanteen Oscar | 38 | 49 | All-Rounder |
2Savana Pepsi | 53 | 45 | All-Rounder |
3Decoy Oola | 53 | 39 | All-Rounder |
4Goldcash Wild | 53 | 51 | All-Rounder |
5Dromana Junior | 41 | 59 | Closer |
6Fastnet Freeze | 47 | 58 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Moanteen Oscar | — | 0.620 |
| 3 | Decoy Oola | — | 0.617 |
| 4 | Goldcash Wild | — | 0.611 |
| 5 | Dromana Junior | — | 0.618 |
| 6 | Fastnet Freeze | — | 0.614 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.