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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Derrygrath Freyab 3yREP 14 | K L Windebank — 16% R553 W90 P305 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 48 | 51 (4) | 73 (2) | 35 (6) | 63 (4) | 68 (4) | 49 (5) | 60 (4) | 56 (4) | 61 (2) | 62 (3) | 57 | 43 | 42 | 45 | 65 | 59 | 1 | 5/2F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Plain Virtueb 3y 16 | V K Thom — 22% R137 W30 P90 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 58 | 47 (5) | 74 (1) | 69 (1) | 50 (3) | 61 (3) | 48 (2) | 54 (2) | 47 (5) | 36 (6) | 53 (4) | 47 | 38 | 18 | 38 | 56 | 51 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Dromana Juniord 4y 17 | V K Thom — 22% R137 W30 P90 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 49 | 84 (1) | 72 (2) | 79 (1) | 69 (3) | 78 (1) | 59 (2) | 43 (4) | 63 (2) | 59 (4) | 55 (4) | 12 | 27 | 21 | 20 | 61 | 47 | 5 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Crypto Walletd 3y 7 | E G Samuels — 16% R639 W102 P358 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 45 | 62 (3) | 57 (4) | 55 (4) | 74 (2) | 55 (1) | 62 (4) | 77 (4) | 58 (4) | 63 (3) | - | 29 | 31 | 19 | 22 | 61 | 49 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Solid Lunab 3y 5 | J E Craske — 20% R91 W18 P54 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 51 | 51 (4) | 71 (2) | 63 (3) | 52 (5) | 15 (2) | 94 (3) | 52 (1) | 62 (4) | 63 (3) | - | 29 | 42 | - | 27 | 65 | 54 | 2 | 11/4 | - | |
Solid Luna brings the strongest class credentials in the race — an Open Race winner at Suffolk Downs over 388 metres (performance rating 94) represents a genuine mark of elite ability. Her decision to step down into A4 suggests a strategic placement, and her recent Yarmouth form of positions 3 and 4 in A4 company shows she is competing at this level, if not dominating. Trainer Craske boasts the highest strike rate on the card at 34 percent, and track suitability of 42 is respectable. However, she draws the sixth trap (13.82 percent win rate from 1,405 runs at this track and grade), which carries a pronounced structural disadvantage. The Open Race win was at a different track and distance, and her actual Yarmouth 462 metre A4 form has yielded only minor placings. The pick is a class bet, but the trap is a genuine concern.
The form-forward runner. Recent winning sequence, rising grade, best trap, three-week freshness. Leading danger to the pick.
Structural underlay. Can be opposed with confidence.
Reliable but unspectacular. Strong consistency and highest average performance, but trap suitability concern limits upside. A fair value dog but unlikely to surprise.
A capable middle-distance runner with recent form credentials and the best trainer strike rate on the card. A fair price but lacking the rising trajectory or structural advantage of Plain Virtue.
Solid Luna's Open Race win at Suffolk Downs 388 metres does not translate directly to Yarmouth 462 metre A4 form — her last five Yarmouth A4 runs show only positions 3 and 4 (never worse, never first). Plain Virtue shows the rising trajectory (consecutive wins, promotion) and trap advantage. The pick is underpinned by class but undermined by dead trap and middling condition form; Plain Virtue is the value angle.
Clear sixth trap weakness at 13.82% win rate; third trap dominates at 21.81%. First trap (15.24%) and fifth trap (17.24%) are below average. Fourth trap (21.40%) is second-best.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Derrygrath Freya | 42 | 65 | Closer |
3Plain Virtue | 58 | 24 | Fader |
4Dromana Junior | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
5Crypto Wallet | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Solid Luna | 64 | 39 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 388m | 462m | 659m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Derrygrath Freya | — | 0.620 | — |
| 3 | Plain Virtue | — | 0.623 | — |
| 4 | Dromana Junior | — | 0.617 | — |
| 5 | Crypto Wallet | — | 0.617 | 0.641 |
| 6 | Solid Luna | 0.617 | 0.621 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.