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Suffolk Downs Vs Yarmouth Intertrack
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Browns Swiftiesb 2y 5 | M P Brown — 21% R416 W88 P240 Trainer form — last 3 months | 44 | 50 | 26 (4) | 25 (6) | 39 (1) | 28 (4) | 33 (1) | 27 (3) | 64 (4) | 80 (3) | 77 (2) | 63 (2) | 48 | 30 | 40 | 30 | 70 | 58 | 2 | 5/1 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Savana Bo Peepb 3y 6 | J M Ray — 15% R259 W39 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | - | 40 (1) | 25 (6) | 34 (3) | 40 (1) | 35 (1) | 28 (4) | 26 (1) | 40 (5) | 44 (2) | - | 56 | 30 | - | 30 | 39 | 39 | 3 | 15/8 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Wachovia Blazed 4y 26 | R D Copping — 11% R82 W9 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | 60 | 51 | 27 (2) | 16 (5) | 29 (4) | 14 (6) | 28 (3) | 26 (4) | 27 (3) | 23 (4) | 25 (3) | 19 (6) | 58 | 35 | - | 4 | 26 | 28 | 5 | 7/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Savana Spriteb 3y 36 | J M Ray — 15% R259 W39 P149 Trainer form — last 3 months | 50 | 21 | 87 (1) | 55 (5) | 32 (2) | 34 (3) | 29 (4) | 33 (3) | 15 (5) | 87 (2) | 72 (4) | 69 (4) | 44 | 18 | - | 18 | 83 | 63 | 1 | 4/5F | ||
| 5 | ▶ Wachovia Locketb 4y 26 | R D Copping — 11% R82 W9 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 56 | 27 (4) | 14 (5) | 22 (4) | 34 (6) | 30 (5) | 50 (2) | 53 (1) | 22 (4) | 43 (2) | 25 (4) | 39 | 47 | 30 | 24 | 34 | 35 | 4 | 22/1 | ||
Savana Sprite carries by far the strongest elite credentials in the field: an Open Race victory at 220 metres with a performance rating of 100 (the highest recorded in this analysis) and a career arc that includes placings in Open Race company at distances up to 548 metres. Her average performance rating of 83 is substantially ahead of the second-placed runner (Browns Swifties at 70) — a 13-point gap that represents genuine class separation. She was narrowly beaten in the Yarmouth 277 metre trial by Savana Bo Peep (16.98 vs 16.99), suggesting she is fully competitive over sprint distances despite her closer profile (0 early pace score, 100 closer score). The closer profile in a 277 metre sprint is theoretically a concern — sprints reward early pace and break speed, where closers are typically disadvantaged — but her elite class may simply be sufficient to overcome this profile mismatch. She steps down dramatically in grade to Introductory Trial level.
Form danger. Recent trial win (17.11), second-best average performance (70), early pace profile suits sprint. The most legitimate threat to the system pick.
Trial star. Won by 7 lengths at fastest speed (16.99). Lowest average performance (39) is the only concern, but trial dominance may transcend grading systems. Dangerous.
Pace horse with no wins. Fastest speed (60) offset by lowest average performance (26). Overmatched against elite trial winners. Minor threat.
Trial winner but limited credentials. Average performance (34) places her fourth of five. Trial win is positive, but lacks the dominance or consistency to threaten the system pick or form dangers.
This race is decided by ability and form trajectory, not track condition statistics. Savana Sprite (Open Race winner at P100 over 220 metres, 83 average performance) is the elite dog; her closer profile in a sprint is the only question mark. Browns Swifties is a legitimate danger with 70 average performance and fresh trial win. Savana Bo Peep won her trial by 7 lengths at superior speed (16.99 vs 16.98 for Savana Sprite). Wachovia Blaze has the fastest recorded speed (60) but has never won a race — minor placings only. Confidence is speculative due to limited data and trial-to-graded racing uncertainty.
Insufficient data (8 runs only). No trap pattern is reliable.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 277m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.