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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballinabola Irisb 2y 7 | L Brown — 15% R125 W19 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 39 | 47 | 72 (2) | 65 (2) | 14 (5) | 52 (4) | 68 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | 40 | 51 | - | 44 | 59 | 54 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 2 | ▶ Swift Carlod 4y 17 | J G Mullins — 18% R125 W23 P75 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 52 | 82 (1) | 66 (4) | 61 (3) | 55 (5) | 82 (5) | 64 (2) | 65 (3) | 30 (3) | 62 (5) | - | 36 | 25 | 28 | 39 | 57 | 49 | 5 | 11/4 | |
| 3 | ▶ Good Twlightb 3y 15 | L Brown — 15% R125 W19 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 72 | 82 (2) | 81 (1) | 32 (3) | 36 (2) | 28 (4) | 58 (6) | 63 (5) | 59 (5) | 56 (5) | 100 (1) | 88 | 62 | 30 | 71 | 44 | 54 | 2 | 9/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Epic Fired 3y 15 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 30 | 24 | 69 (5) | 80 (1) | 47 (3) | 58 (3) | 61 (3) | 74 (4) | 63 (5) | 58 (4) | 37 (4) | 83 (1) | 34 | 32 | 9 | 27 | 64 | 52 | 4 | 10/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Ballycowen Harryd 3y 6 | E G Samuels — 16% R633 W101 P354 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 51 | 61 (4) | 61 (4) | 54 (5) | 64 (5) | 86 (6) | 72 (4) | 67 (1) | 59 (3) | - | - | 39 | 35 | 18 | 29 | 72 | 59 | 1 | 15/8F | |
The class act in this field and the selection, despite the handicap of trap six. This dog has been competing at A1 level with stunning recent form: a win at A1 at P90 two runs back and an A2 victory at P88 before that, representing genuine A1-class form. He is dropping down in grade to A2, making him by far the highest-rated runner on pedigree alone. The form line (P67, P59, P90 win, P75, P78, P88 win) is dominated by A1 and top A2 competition. Trainer Samuels holds a respectable 24% win rate. The only genuine concern is trap six's historical strike rate of just 13.33% at Yarmouth from 1,557 runs—a dead trap. However, class will out. Ballycowen Harry's quality is sufficient to overcome a poor draw.
The danger horse in the race with exceptional trap positioning and trial form, but Fader profile and wildly inconsistent racing (consistency 7) create serious doubt at Yarmouth.
Competitive minor player, likely to run his race but without serious winning aspirations.
Useful closer with track advantage, but lacks the form profile to trouble the pick.
Inconsistent closer with too many variables against him; capable but outclassed.
Yarmouth's 462m is exceptionally fair, conferring no advantage to trap or running style. Only 20% of winners are all-the-way types. The long home straight frequently catches prominent runners late, punishing early pace and favouring patients closers. T3's dominance is marginal and trap advantage is minimal; form and consistency matter more here than trap draw.
T1:16.13% T2:22.44% T3:25.09% T4:16.85% T5:16.13% T6:13.33%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballinabola Iris | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Swift Carlo | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Good Twlight | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Epic Fire | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Ballycowen Harry | 53 | 48 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.