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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Nolas Bigfootd 4y 24 | D R Jinks — 17% R539 W89 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 39 | 27 (2) | 37 (4) | 30 (1) | 13 (6) | 19 (5) | 26 (2) | 30 (1) | 43 (5) | 48 (3) | 22 (4) | 31 | 27 | 22 | 34 | 29 | 30 | 2 | 11/2 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Badminton Rachelb 4y 34 | D R Jinks — 17% R539 W89 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | - | 13 (6) | 25 (2) | 22 (5) | 31 (1) | 23 (3) | 19 (5) | 30 (1) | 24 (2) | 22 (2) | 24 (2) | 32 | 36 | 39 | 35 | 22 | 27 | 3 | 7/4 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Footfield Magpieb 4y 27 | J D T Allen — 11% R213 W24 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | 32 | - | 24 (3) | 19 (3) | 40 (4) | 22 (2) | 14 (5) | 20 (4) | 21 (2) | 20 (3) | 20 (4) | 20 (3) | 35 | 28 | 28 | 28 | 21 | 26 | 6 | 25/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Rising Islandd 2y 27 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R676 W134 P356 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | - | 17 (6) | 23 (4) | 18 (6) | 21 (5) | 32 (1) | 18 (3) | 11 (6) | 19 (4) | 18 (5) | - | 18 | 32 | 25 | 21 | 21 | 22 | 5 | 5/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Tobergal Poppyb 3y 15 | D R Jinks — 17% R539 W89 P293 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 62 | 20 (4) | 30 (6) | 19 (5) | 26 (2) | 18 (2) | 22 (4) | 49 (3) | 54 (3) | 24 (2) | 20 (5) | 46 | 39 | 23 | 19 | 32 | 35 | 1 | 11/8F | ||
| 6 | ▶ Old Fort Mickmacd 5y 25 | J D T Allen — 11% R213 W24 P104 Trainer form — last 3 months | 51 | - | 26 (2) | 22 (3) | 12 (6) | 25 (3) | 18 (6) | 23 (2) | 14 (5) | 30 (1) | 19 (4) | 20 (5) | 33 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 23 | 25 | 4 | 8/1 | ||
The predicted winner with a h3 score of 66.5, clear of the field. The class edge is the main selling point — average performance of 32 is the highest in the race, and recent A7 415m placed efforts with performances of 49 and 53 show ability at two grades above this D5 level. The 238m sprint form is more modest though: 22 for fourth last time out and 24 for second before the A7 runs. Speed rating of 53 is joint-second-highest, and the bend rating of 62 is the best sprint-bend figure in the field. Track suitability of 39 and trap suitability of 46 are both the highest, reflecting a versatile Harlow profile. The significant concern is the draw: trap five at 15.8% from 882 runs is the weakest structural position in D5 238m races. Distance suitability of 19 is also low, suggesting the 238m trip isn't the dog's strongest suit. Trainer at 26% is a positive.
Danger. D5 238m winning form from the rail draw and a 26% trainer strike rate make this a genuine threat.
D5 winning form exists but the steep recent decline (31 to 13 over three runs) makes this hard to support. Needs to bounce back significantly.
Remarkable consistency but at a level that doesn't win. The structural trap advantage is real but the speed deficit is crippling for a sprint.
In a run of poor form with the lowest trap suitability in the field. Difficult to make any case.
The dominant trap draw gives a structural chance but the dog's own profile is mid-pack at best. A place is the realistic target.
Another D5 238m where ratings barely separate the field and trap position becomes critical. The pick sits in the weakest structural draw at 15.8% — a genuine headwind. The class edge from A7 form is the pick's main asset, but D5 is a grade where class advantages from longer distances don't always translate to sprint success.
Trap six dominates at 22.8% from 870 runs. Trap three is second-best at 19.6% from 961 runs. Trap five — where the pick is drawn — is the weakest structural position at 15.8% from 882 runs, nearly a full percentage point below expected.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.