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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Shockwave Sekanib 4y 24 | D R Jinks — 16% R534 W85 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 64 (2) | 60 (3) | 78 (1) | 77 (1) | 58 (3) | 59 (2) | 75 (1) | 29 (4) | 34 (1) | 29 (2) | 46 | 37 | 51 | 64 | 38 | 42 | 3 | 7/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Anna Bellab 2yN/R 24 | J J Gornall — 18% R73 W13 P46 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | 51 | 37 (6) | 20 (3) | 79 (2) | 64 (3) | 74 (1) | 75 (1) | 62 (3) | 44 (4) | 27 (3) | 29 (4) | 11 | 40 | - | 35 | 55 | 41 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Barrington Chapd 1y 25 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 44 (4) | 78 (1) | 24 (5) | 24 (4) | 54 (3) | 34 (2) | 39 (1) | 39 (1) | 39 (2) | - | 42 | 31 | - | 46 | 47 | 44 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Ever So Tenderd 2y 6 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 20 (6) | 22 (6) | 18 (6) | 47 (5) | 57 (3) | 18 (2) | 47 (5) | 31 (3) | 23 (1) | 24 (5) | 52 | 39 | 40 | 61 | 32 | 40 | 1 | 11/8F | |
| 6 | ▶ Tommys Cland 2y 8 | C Wilson — 15% R26 W4 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 63 | 20 (3) | 30 (3) | 30 (3) | 27 (4) | 34 (2) | 25 (5) | 38 (1) | 31 (2) | 24 (5) | 27 (4) | 54 | 42 | 42 | 45 | 33 | 40 | 2 | 6/4 | |
The predicted winner via h3 model despite a score of just 46.4 — the lowest h3 in the field, reflecting the overall weakness of this contest. The selection is based on proven sprint form: three wins from the last five starts over this course and distance at D3 level, plus a trial win last time out. The average performance of 32 sounds modest but the consistency is the key — 39, 32, 38, 39 in the four D3 runs with wins and a second from those efforts. This is a dog that knows exactly what is required at this trip and grade. Distance suitability of 61 is second-best in the field and trap suitability of 52 is strong. The concern is the trap draw: trap five wins just 16.0% of D3 238m races from 319 runs, below expected, and nearly thirteen percentage points behind the trap six rate. Speed rating of 53 is joint-highest which at least gives the raw pace to compete, though no bend data is available for the sprint trip.
AI PICK. The structural case for trap six is overwhelming at 28.5%, and this dog has the individual metrics to capitalise. The most dangerous runner in the field.
Honest sprinter stepping up in grade. The distance suitability is a plus but needs to prove D3 ability.
Highest raw ability in the field but completely unproven over this sprint trip. The dead trap draw and zero class suitability make this a speculative runner at best.
Solid 415m form but unproven over the sprint. Trap four is a reasonable draw and the suitability profile suggests latent sprint ability.
Trap six dominance at D3 238m is the strongest single-trap signal in any Harlow sprint condition. Any runner drawn in six with reasonable form has a structural edge over the rest of the field. The pick is drawn in trap five at 16.0% — below expected — which introduces genuine risk despite strong individual form.
Trap six dominates emphatically at 28.5% from 253 runs — nearly twelve percentage points above expected. Trap two shows 19.4% and trap four 18.6%, both healthy. Trap three is the dead draw at just 13.9% from 266 runs. Trap five sits below expected at 16.0% from 319 runs.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.