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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Winehouse Dreamb 4y 34 | J D T Allen — 11% R210 W24 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 50 | 45 (4) | 18 (6) | 27 (6) | 20 (2) | 22 (5) | 23 (1) | 20 (4) | 40 (6) | 39 (5) | - | 33 | 25 | 45 | 38 | 27 | 29 | 5 | 11/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Triangle Trikarid 2y 13 | D R Jinks — 16% R534 W85 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 41 | 45 (4) | 43 (4) | 20 (2) | 46 (4) | 48 (4) | 46 (3) | 33 (5) | 56 (2) | 23 (4) | 50 (3) | 25 | 24 | 26 | 19 | 45 | 35 | 6 | 6/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Tommys Birdyb 2y 16 | C Wilson — 15% R26 W4 P14 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 49 | 48 (2) | 27 (3) | 19 (6) | 25 (3) | 11 (6) | 46 (3) | 54 (3) | 39 (4) | 64 (1) | 57 (2) | 41 | 31 | 25 | 27 | 48 | 42 | 3 | 9/4JF | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballintine Tend 2y 16 | D R E Ellerker — 20% R684 W138 P359 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 48 | 30 (5) | 43 (5) | 35 (6) | 37 (4) | 14 (4) | 22 (1) | 55 (2) | 15 (4) | 18 (3) | 11 (5) | 54 | 40 | 48 | 48 | 46 | 47 | 1 | 9/4JF | |
| 5 | ▶ Estefans Tuneb 4y 34 | J D T Allen — 11% R210 W24 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 50 | 21 (1) | 45 (4) | 45 (4) | 58 (2) | 44 (2) | 53 (2) | 46 (4) | 35 (5) | 44 (4) | 13 (5) | 25 | 13 | 25 | 39 | 46 | 36 | 4 | 7/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Badminton Shadowd 5y 25 | D R Jinks — 16% R534 W85 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 67 | 22 (4) | 30 (1) | 41 (4) | 28 (6) | 13 (5) | 13 (5) | 56 (2) | 22 (3) | 21 (5) | 19 (6) | 34 | 25 | 38 | 38 | 28 | 30 | 2 | 4/1 | |
Predicted winner via the h3 model with a score of 69.2, the highest in the field by a clear margin. Won two starts back with a performance of 65 in A7 company over this course and distance, proving class at the level. The intervening runs are less inspiring — 43 and 43 in consecutive mid-pack finishes before a trial run of just 15 last time. That trial form is deceptive though: the low performance number reflects the nature of introductory trials rather than the dog's true ability, and the second-place finish behind Winehouse Dream at least confirms fitness. The suitability profile is the best in the field by some distance: trap suitability 54, distance suitability 48, track suitability 40, class suitability 48. Those numbers reflect genuine course-and-distance ability confirmed across multiple runs. Speed rating of 47 is mid-pack but the bend rating of 48 is workable on this tight track. Trap four is a neutral 17.6% draw but the combination of highest h3 score, best suitability profile, and proven A7-winning form makes this the logical selection.
Danger runner. Has the highest ceiling in the field when right, but the inconsistency introduces risk. The 32% trainer strike rate adds a touch of confidence.
Danger runner. Best recent form (56 last time), highest bend rating, and near-dominant trap draw. The composite underrates this dog at 415m.
Has the best trap draw in the race but the weakest overall profile. Could place if the pace falls apart but hard to make a winning case.
Consistent placer but lacks the speed and bend ability to win on a tight circuit. Likely to fill a place at best.
Has shown A7-winning ability but desperately inconsistent. The low track suitability and 10% trainer strike rate weigh against.
At A7 415m, this is a low-separation grade where trap position and pace profile matter more than marginal rating differences. The rail advantage through four tight bends gives trap one a structural edge, but trap four sits in a neutral zone with the field's best suitability scores.
Trap one dominates at 21.5% from 726 runs — a structurally advantaged draw on this tight four-bend circuit. Trap six also shows 19.7% from 856 runs — close to dominant territory. The middle traps are tightly bunched between 16.5% and 17.9%, offering no real edge.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 415m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Winehouse Dream | 50 | 55 | Closer |
2Triangle Trikari | 39 | 76 | Closer |
3Tommys Birdy | 47 | 64 | Closer |
4Ballintine Ten | 50 | 44 | All-Rounder |
5Estefans Tune | 50 | 45 | All-Rounder |
6Badminton Shadow | 68 | 29 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.