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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Timmys Duod 2y 15 | S Linley — 18% R370 W65 P188 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 51 | 40 (6) | 56 (5) | 86 (1) | 84 (1) | 62 (2) | 59 (3) | 81 (1) | 78 (1) | 40 (5) | 53 (5) | 39 | 60 | - | 51 | 65 | 60 | 1 | 9/4 | ||
| 2 | ▶ Dairyhill Suzib 4y 34 | D Blackbird — 17% R1091 W185 P588 Trainer form — last 3 months | 54 | 36 | 60 (2) | 49 (5) | 49 (6) | 76 (3) | 76 (2) | 71 (3) | 79 (3) | 54 (5) | 78 (3) | 92 (1) | 63 | 34 | 51 | 34 | 62 | 56 | 4 | 13/8F | ||
| 3 | ▶ Sunny Tabd 2y 26 | J Sutherst — 13% R97 W13 P49 Trainer form — last 3 months | 36 | 51 | 46 (5) | 59 (2) | 34 (6) | 72 (1) | 70 (1) | 32 (5) | 57 (2) | 64 (1) | 31 (6) | 72 (1) | 66 | 61 | - | 55 | 52 | 55 | 2 | 16/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Dashing Elvisd 2y 5 | G Strike — 18% R413 W75 P226 Trainer form — last 3 months | 40 | 38 | 36 (6) | 46 (6) | 77 (1) | 58 (4) | 61 (3) | 52 (5) | 50 (5) | - | - | - | 7 | 14 | - | 14 | 50 | 37 | 6 | 9/2 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Brenval Elleb 2y 26 | C Jackson — 24% R95 W23 P60 Trainer form — last 3 months | 52 | 52 | 60 (4) | 55 (4) | 74 (4) | 61 (1) | 59 (6) | 45 (2) | 54 (2) | 59 (6) | - | - | 38 | 25 | - | 20 | 59 | 48 | 5 | 7/2 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Mascot Samsond 2y 10 | D Blackbird — 17% R1091 W185 P588 Trainer form — last 3 months | 49 | 58 | 72 (1) | 60 (2) | 51 (4) | 53 (3) | 47 (4) | 43 (6) | 49 (4) | 57 (3) | 74 (1) | 57 (3) | 34 | 41 | 9 | 41 | 57 | 51 | 3 | 7/1 | ||
Timmys Duo leads the field on composite (60) and performance (65) from the inside rail at T1, which wins a respectable 18.96% from 269 runs — not dominant but above the expected 16.7%. He's an All-Rounder (EP 51, CS 52, PaceCon 90) with excellent pace consistency, meaning he sustains his effort evenly through all four bends without fading or needing to close from behind. Track suitability is strong at 60 and distance suit at 51 confirms proven C&D form. The concern is the CRITICAL trial warning — 3 of his last 6 races are trials, making the form trajectory P53→P75→P69→P13→P17→P24 unreliable. His last competitive race produced a P53 which is below his 65 average, though the P75 two runs back is more encouraging. Trainer Linley at 12% is the joint-weakest in the field. In a LOW SEPARATION race where the model can barely pick between these dogs, Timmys Duo's inside rail advantage through Sunderland's difficult first bend and his consistency-based pace profile give him the structural edge. But this is a marginal pick — the trial-contaminated form and low trainer WR mean confidence is limited.
DOMINANT trap (23.47%) with the field's best trap suit (63) and class suit (51). Extreme Closer profile (EP 0, CS 100) adds execution risk but the structural case is too strong to ignore.
Best suitability scores in the field but lowest speed rating and inconsistent form. Needs her P72 version to show up, not the P34 from last time.
Only one competitive race (P50) with trial-dominated career. Weakest suitability profile in the field. Too little data to back with any confidence.
Balanced All-Rounder with the field's best trainer WR (Jackson 44%) but moderate suitability and class suit 0 limit her ceiling at A4.
Field's best early pace and bend rating but Fader at 450m from the weakest trap. Will lead early and weaken — place chance if he builds enough lead through bend 1.
LOW SEPARATION — composite ranks predict nearly randomly at A4 Sunderland (2.5pp gap). T2 is massively dominant at 23.47% from 311 runs. In low-separation races, trap bias and suitability should lead the analysis over performance ratings. However, T2's occupant (Dairyhill Suzi) has EP 0 and PaceCon 0, which undermines the structural advantage.
T1:18.96% T2:23.47% T3:17.09% T4:16.36% T5:17.79% T6:16.07%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Timmys Duo | 51 | 52 | All-Rounder |
2Dairyhill Suzi | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Sunny Tab | 49 | 38 | All-Rounder |
4Dashing Elvis | 38 | 62 | Closer |
5Brenval Elle | 52 | 48 | All-Rounder |
6Mascot Samson | 58 | 41 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.