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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Queen Didob 2y 19 | E A Lagan — 19% R74 W14 P39 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 58 | 76 (2) | 79 (3) | 63 (4) | 93 (1) | 85 (2) | 82 (2) | 89 (1) | 60 (5) | 51 (6) | 77 (2) | 63 | 71 | 26 | 53 | 57 | 59 | 6 | 2/1F | |
| 2 | ▶ Santiago Gogod 2y 26 | C Jackson — 25% R92 W23 P58 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 41 | 86 (1) | 69 (3) | 35 (6) | 66 (4) | 76 (2) | 74 (3) | 84 (1) | 62 (5) | 61 (4) | 51 (4) | 29 | 37 | - | 37 | 56 | 48 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Liberty Jessb 2y 15 | S Linley — 17% R373 W65 P191 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 58 | 30 (5) | 58 (5) | 96 (3) | 45 (1) | 88 (5) | 64 (1) | 55 (5) | 52 (5) | 77 (6) | - | 52 | 56 | 38 | 41 | 68 | 62 | 3 | 9/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Trevorfootd 2y 17 | M K Bulmer — 20% R238 W47 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 45 | 50 (4) | 62 (5) | 78 (2) | 72 (4) | 89 (1) | 73 (2) | 72 (2) | 64 (4) | 80 (2) | 83 (1) | 39 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 72 | 59 | 2 | 5/2 | |
| 5 | ▶ Moyvane Aliceb 2y 7 | P Miller — 17% R501 W87 P263 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 56 | 74 (2) | 82 (5) | 61 (1) | 44 (4) | 73 (6) | 70 (2) | 47 (3) | 78 (5) | 71 (3) | - | 48 | 43 | 40 | 41 | 68 | 60 | 1 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Eviesteel Hopeb 2y 16 | M K Bulmer — 20% R238 W47 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 39 | 56 (4) | 67 (2) | 60 (3) | 64 (3) | 73 (2) | 55 (5) | 59 (4) | 53 (5) | 57 (3) | 59 (4) | 28 | 31 | - | 33 | 61 | 50 | 4 | 16/1 | |
Moyvane Alice lands in the structurally dominant T5 position, which wins 21.51% at Sunderland 450m A2 from 265 runs — comfortably the best trap in the field. She's a Front Runner (EP 56, PaceCon 91) with elite pace consistency, meaning she sustains her effort through all four bends rather than burning out. Her performance average of 68 is joint-second in the field, and the broader form of P47→P78→P71→P68→P69→P88 shows a dog capable of high-70s performances with an 88 peak. The recent P47 is a concern — a significant dip from the 68-78 range she'd been operating in — but a single off-day doesn't negate the underlying trajectory. Suitability scores are balanced (track 43, distance 41, trap 48, class 40) confirming she handles this venue at this level. Trainer P Miller at 20% is moderate but competent. With Queen Dido certain to fade and Liberty Jess inconsistent, Moyvane Alice's combination of structural advantage (dominant trap) and sustainable pace (91 PaceCon) makes her the most likely winner. The key question is whether she can hold off Trevorfoot's late closing speed.
Field's best performer at 72 with genuine closing ability. Needs honest pace and a clean run through the bends but has the class to overcome a moderate trap draw. Primary danger.
Extreme Fader with unreliable trial form. Will lead early and weaken — not a factor in the finish.
Outclassed at A2 with declining form and trial-contaminated recent runs. Jackson's 44% WR noted but insufficient to overcome the class gap.
Talented but wildly inconsistent Front Runner. Capable of winning on her day but the volatility and 12% trainer WR make her unreliable.
Consistent Closer but outclassed at A2 with the weakest suitability profile in the field. Needs too much to go wrong ahead to feature.
T5 is structurally dominant at A2 grade. R1 wins 22.99% — the composite model separates well at this grade. Front Runners win at a healthy rate at Sunderland 450m, and the dominant T5 combines with a genuine Front Runner pace profile to create a strong structural alignment.
T1:19.19% T2:16.06% T3:18.37% T4:17.03% T5:21.51% T6:18.64%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Queen Dido | 100 | 0 | Fader |
2Santiago Gogo | 44 | 51 | All-Rounder |
3Liberty Jess | 55 | 48 | Front Runner |
4Trevorfoot | 45 | 74 | Closer |
5Moyvane Alice | 56 | 49 | Front Runner |
6Eviesteel Hope | 45 | 69 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.