Saturday 21st March
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swift Megab 1y 18 | S C Oxley — 18% R143 W26 P88 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 55 | 64 (3) | 56 (3) | 53 (4) | 47 (4) | 56 (3) | 44 (5) | 54 (3) | 38 (5) | 68 (2) | 45 (4) | - | 57 | 30 | 37 | 58 | 54 | 1 | 4/6F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Wholovesyed 4y 24 | D L Fretwell — 15% R160 W24 P97 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 39 | 61 (2) | 54 (6) | 62 (5) | 49 (2) | 49 (5) | 65 (4) | 52 (2) | 53 (4) | 60 (4) | - | 24 | 30 | 27 | 30 | 59 | 48 | 2 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Get Up Paddyd 4y 18 | J Sharp — 23% R87 W20 P48 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 44 | 76 (1) | 49 (5) | 54 (5) | 51 (5) | 70 (2) | 70 (1) | 29 (6) | 49 (4) | 67 (1) | 49 (3) | 36 | 33 | 25 | 32 | 56 | 48 | 3 | 4/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Acomb Blossomb 3y 14 | K J Ferguson — 31% R45 W14 P36 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 56 | 60 (2) | 61 (5) | 66 (2) | 76 (1) | 71 (1) | 36 (1) | 30 (2) | 52 (4) | 55 (3) | 61 (2) | 30 | 30 | 21 | 21 | 57 | 47 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
Drawn in the best trap at Sheffield 500m (23.3% from 343 runs) with the highest track suitability in the field at 57. Excellent C&D record — 6 runs, 2 wins, 3 places (33% win rate, 50% place rate) — all recent at A4/A5 level. Dropping from A4 to A5 gives a class edge. Form is inconsistent (54→38→66→46→73) but the highs are genuine and the last run at 73 was strong. Fader profile (CS 35) is a concern at 500m but pace consistency of 78 is high — he holds his position better than the raw CS suggests. Trainer Oxley at 16% is below average but the structural advantages of T1 + C&D form + track suit 57 are compelling.
DANGER: Field-best AP (59) and extreme closing speed (CS 100) make her the most likely to benefit if the pace collapses. But the T2 dead draw at Sheffield and inconsistent form keep her as danger rather than pick.
Each-way prospect with the best C&D record (10 runs, 30% WR) but the class step up from A6 limits confidence. Should be involved in the finish but winning at A5 is a tougher ask.
Competitive runner with strong trainer and best bend rating, but doesn't have the structural T1 edge or the closing speed of T2 to be the pick. Likely to run well without winning.
T1 dominates at 23.3% from 343 runs. Only 4 runners — reduced field compresses margins. Composite R1 at 19.7% is modest so the model alone isn't strongly predictive.
T1:23.3% T2:16.6% T3:21.2% T4:15.8% T5:14.7% T6:19.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Swift Mega | 55 | 35 | Fader |
2Wholovesye | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Get Up Paddy | 46 | 65 | Closer |
6Acomb Blossom | 54 | 30 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 280m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swift Mega | — | 0.601 |
| 2 | Wholovesye | — | 0.602 |
| 3 | Get Up Paddy | — | 0.600 |
| 6 | Acomb Blossom | 0.590 | 0.598 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.