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Pick 4 Jackpot Starts Here
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Dirty Velvetb 3y 25 | L A Taylorson — 17% R234 W39 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 34 | 16 (6) | 43 (5) | 70 (1) | 43 (2) | 42 (3) | 39 (5) | 40 (3) | 40 (3) | 32 (5) | 42 (4) | 22 | 20 | 12 | 21 | 49 | 39 | 4 | 7/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Good Hermesd 3yN/R 37 | S Naylor — 15% R68 W10 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 99 | 64 | 36 (5) | 57 (5) | 45 (6) | 63 (3) | 71 (2) | 83 (1) | 38 (5) | 39 (4) | 44 (3) | 55 (3) | 28 | 46 | - | 44 | 60 | 53 | - | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Croagh Patrickd 3yN/R 15 | C Handford — 33% R18 W6 P13 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 97 | 77 | 47 (6) | 40 (4) | 35 (1) | 72 (2) | 44 (2) | 64 (6) | 62 (3) | 70 (2) | 53 (2) | - | 49 | 62 | - | 54 | 60 | 58 | - | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Janies Laneb 4y 45 | A R Upton — 20% R91 W18 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 45 | 32 (5) | 44 (5) | 41 (3) | 50 (2) | 22 (2) | 20 (6) | 19 (4) | 19 (4) | 22 (3) | 15 (5) | 26 | 25 | 15 | 17 | 51 | 41 | 3 | 3/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Colrose Flyerb 3y 18 | A R Upton — 20% R91 W18 P57 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 55 | 41 (4) | 37 (4) | 44 (3) | 49 (3) | 47 (2) | 50 (3) | 59 (1) | 71 (1) | 43 (5) | 48 (3) | 22 | 30 | - | 23 | 53 | 43 | 1 | 5/4F | |
| 6 | ▶ Signature Leed 4y 26 | L A Taylorson — 17% R234 W39 P133 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 26 | 47 (4) | 34 (6) | 52 (4) | 33 (4) | 32 (5) | 54 (3) | 20 (4) | 21 (4) | 50 (2) | 48 (4) | 24 | 26 | 26 | 25 | 51 | 42 | 2 | 6/1 | |
The dominant structural pick. T3 wins 31.0% from 58 runs at A8 500m — the best trap by a wide margin. AP 60 is joint field-best, EP 100 is maximum, speed 97 is second-best by a whisker, and bend 77 is field-best by 13 points — he'll be first to the first bend from T3 and clear. CS 0 at 500m is normally a dealbreaker but the class override applies emphatically: AP 60 is 8-9 points ahead of most rivals (field average ~52), and at A8 level, this gap is enormous. He'll fade from 1st to 1st. Track suitability 62 is field-best, distance suit 54 is field-best, trap suit 49 is near-best. C&D record of 7 runs, 2 wins (29%) is strong. Form is inconsistent (67→37→54→77→60) — the 37 is concerning but the 77 shows peak ability. Trainer at 19% is below average but the structural advantages overwhelm the trainer signal.
DANGER: Joint-best AP and elite early pace with a strong trainer. But T2's 23.6% vs T3's 31.0% and the 13-point bend deficit to Croagh Patrick make him the second-best Fader. Will push the pick but the bend advantage gives T3 the decisive edge.
The class gap is too wide. AP 49 can't close on AP 60 runners even with CS 95. Would need a miracle pace collapse.
Good trap draw but the class gap and worst-in-field speed make a win very unlikely. Would need both Faders to stop dead.
Extreme Closer who gives too much ground early. The class gap and form decline make a win very difficult to envision.
Worst trap draw and a meaningful AP deficit. The speed is there but the structural disadvantage from T6 at A8 500m is too much.
T3 dominates at 31.0%. Comp R1 at 30.3% is very strong — the model is highly predictive at A8. Two EP 100 Faders dominate but class override applies at 8+ AP points clear.
T1:20.3% T2:23.6% T3:31.0% T4:26.2% T5:19.3% T6:15.7%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Dirty Velvet | 33 | 95 | Closer |
2Good Hermes | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Croagh Patrick | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Janies Lane | 46 | 55 | Closer |
5Colrose Flyer | 54 | 45 | All-Rounder |
6Signature Lee | 24 | 96 | Closer |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.