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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Miss Millionaireb 3y 16 | S C Oxley — 18% R153 W27 P92 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 49 | 41 (4) | 74 (1) | 66 (2) | 50 (3) | 60 (3) | 59 (3) | 58 (4) | 74 (1) | 62 (2) | 57 (3) | 54 | 49 | 37 | 41 | 56 | 53 | 3 | 7/4 | |
| 2 | ▶ Catunda Tysond 1y 6 | S Naylor — 15% R68 W10 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 54 | 60 (3) | 51 (4) | 72 (1) | 54 (2) | 56 (2) | 49 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 61 | - | 40 | 62 | 58 | 1 | 6/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Frantic Fridayb 2y 15 | T Bedford — 19% R99 W19 P53 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 44 | 52 (3) | 72 (1) | 55 (4) | 66 (1) | 48 (4) | 53 (3) | 51 (4) | 55 (2) | 45 (5) | 59 (2) | 32 | 29 | - | 42 | 55 | 48 | 4 | 6/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Troubled Waterb 4y 26 | S Naylor — 15% R68 W10 P44 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 51 | 50 (4) | 55 (3) | 41 (6) | 57 (4) | 53 (3) | 53 (4) | 50 (4) | 59 (3) | 58 (2) | - | 39 | 36 | 20 | 31 | 58 | 50 | 2 | 7/4 | |
Field-best AP of 62 is 4 points clear of the nearest rival — a genuine class edge in a 4-runner field. Trainer Naylor at 36% is a strong-tier signal, and when the best trainer in a field is above 30% the historical win rate jumps significantly. Track suitability of 61 is comfortably the best in the field. Form trajectory of 48→68→74 shows rapid improvement with the latest 74 being an excellent performance. The concern is the Fader profile (CS 23) at 500m — he'll lead early with EP 56 and bend 54 but is vulnerable to tiring in the closing stages. However, the class override rule applies: when a runner's AP is 4+ points above the field average with improving form, the Fader concern becomes a risk factor rather than a dealbreaker. Drawn T2 which is the worst trap at 16.6%, but in a 4-runner field with no T4/T5 to squeeze him, the draw disadvantage is minimised. Only 2 C&D runs but one was a win — limited but positive.
DANGER: Best C&D record at A5 level (3 wins from 10 runs), best speed, sustainable pace profile, and same strong trainer. The inconsistent form and poor T4 draw prevent him being the pick, but he's the most likely beneficiary if Catunda weakens.
The T1 draw is a plus but the declining form trajectory and low C&D win rate limit her. Likely to be involved but not win.
The C&D pedigree is there (30% WR from 10 runs) but the recent form collapse of three consecutive sub-50 perfs is too severe to look past. Would need a dramatic turnaround.
T1 dominates at 23.3% but only 4 runners. Catunda Tyson's AP 62 is 4pts clear of the field — class gap is the dominant signal in a small field.
T1:23.3% T2:16.6% T3:21.2% T4:15.8% T5:14.7% T6:19.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Miss Millionaire | 48 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Catunda Tyson | 56 | 23 | Fader |
3Frantic Friday | 43 | 63 | Closer |
4Troubled Water | 52 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.