| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Apple Jamd 4y 22 | J Robinson — 18% R298 W54 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 28 | 37 | 48 (4) | 41 (3) | 30 (6) | 48 (4) | 16 (6) | 15 (6) | 55 (1) | 33 (5) | 47 (2) | 41 (5) | 23 | 20 | - | 13 | 38 | 24 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Crystal Aurorab 2y 25 | T D Coote — 18% R573 W102 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 34 | 26 | 69 (1) | 45 (5) | 44 (6) | 16 (6) | 59 (2) | 39 (5) | 31 (5) | 38 (3) | 40 (4) | 42 (2) | 32 | 18 | - | 23 | 45 | 28 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Meenagh Medinab 3y 5 | I Zivkovic — 14% R613 W85 P284 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 61 | 52 (4) | 25 (3) | 36 (5) | 49 (5) | 41 (6) | 65 (1) | 72 (1) | 43 (4) | 43 (4) | 52 (4) | 18 | 23 | - | 21 | 46 | 47 | 1 | 11/4 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Alno Roseb 2y 15 | W M Lyons — 20% R1041 W207 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 23 | 25 (5) | 63 (1) | 44 (4) | 43 (1) | 57 (3) | 40 (1) | 41 (4) | 50 (5) | 18 (3) | - | 30 | 29 | - | 27 | 43 | 31 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Swift Womanb 3y 4 | W M Lyons — 20% R1041 W207 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 76 | 79 | 48 (5) | 75 (1) | 50 (4) | 60 (3) | 46 (4) | 63 (2) | 53 (4) | 75 (1) | 24 (5) | 74 (1) | - | 32 | - | 32 | 57 | 65 | 3 | 3/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Yeah Mickd 3y 17 | I Zivkovic — 14% R613 W85 P284 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 64 | 68 | 40 (6) | 45 (5) | 55 (3) | 67 (2) | 40 (6) | 67 (2) | 51 (5) | 54 (5) | 53 (5) | 56 (5) | - | 28 | - | 12 | 51 | 50 | 2 | 15/8F | - | |
Dominates every metric in this field by a significant margin — composite score of 65 puts her fifteen points clear of the second-ranked dog, and she leads on speed, bend, and early pace ratings as well. Her average of 57 is the highest in the race and she has posted a peak of 75 showing genuine high-quality ability. She runs as a Fader with an early pace of 77 and bend rating of 79, which are outstanding numbers for Kinsley's downhill circuit — she will explode from the boxes and reach the first bend ahead of the field. The sole concern is trap 5 which is the worst draw at Handicap grade, winning just 12.3% from 146 runs. However, the quality gap between this dog and the rest is large enough that it can justify overriding the structural trap concern — her average is eleven points above the next best runner and the pace advantage is even more pronounced. When a dog is simply in a different class to her rivals at this level, the normal trap rules can yield to the quality gap.
Second-best pace data in the field with a decent trap — the natural danger if the selection's trap proves too costly.
Volatile form and Closer profile with low speed make her a difficult selection at this track.
Best draw and recent win are appealing, but Closer profile with very low pace metrics work strongly against her at Kinsley.
Good pace data and decent draw but form inconsistency means she is not reliable enough to challenge the selection.
Second worst trap at HP combined with Closer profile and low pace data — multiple factors against her.
T2 dominates HP at 21.0% from 124 runs. T4 and T5 are the worst draws at 12.8% and 12.3%. Composite flat — model adds minimal value in Handicap races. Quality gap of 15 composite points between R1 and R2 is unusually large.
T1:16.8%(143r) T2:21.0%(124r) T3:19.1%(131r) T4:12.8%(133r) T5:12.3%(146r) T6:18.4%(158r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Apple Jam | 36 | 64 | Closer |
2Crystal Aurora | 30 | 72 | Closer |
3Meenagh Medina | 64 | 36 | Fader |
4Alno Rose | 32 | 87 | Closer |
5Swift Woman | 77 | 34 | Fader |
6Yeah Mick | 70 | 35 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Apple Jam | 0.652 | 0.643 |
| 2 | Crystal Aurora | 0.647 | 0.642 |
| 3 | Meenagh Medina | 0.632 | 0.632 |
| 4 | Alno Rose | 0.643 | 0.635 |
| 5 | Swift Woman | 0.626 | 0.623 |
| 6 | Yeah Mick | — | 0.626 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.