| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Step Juniorb 3y 6 | W M Lyons — 20% R1041 W207 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 51 | 43 (6) | 42 (5) | 71 (1) | 45 (1) | 69 (4) | 53 (1) | 42 (3) | 41 (6) | 70 (6) | - | 40 | 31 | 8 | 33 | 52 | 39 | 4 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Crystal Zeusd 1y 1 | T D Coote — 18% R573 W102 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 41 | - | 32 (1) | 19 (6) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 1 | 25 | - | - | 26 | 31 | 5 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Russanda Lexib 4y 26 | M N May — 16% R264 W42 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 49 | 70 (1) | 50 (4) | 43 (5) | 65 (2) | 31 (3) | 30 (2) | 32 (2) | 25 (1) | 22 (4) | - | 3 | 20 | 8 | 31 | 47 | 39 | 1 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Follow Suitb 4y 24 | I Zivkovic — 14% R613 W85 P284 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 56 | 35 (6) | 55 (2) | 31 (4) | 26 (3) | 27 (6) | 38 (4) | 31 (1) | 26 (3) | 33 (5) | - | 23 | 23 | 14 | 14 | 35 | 35 | 6 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Twisted Logicb 3y 210 | W M Lyons — 20% R1041 W207 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 49 | 74 (1) | 66 (2) | 69 (2) | 34 (6) | 61 (1) | 65 (2) | 68 (2) | 59 (1) | 53 (2) | - | 30 | 34 | 35 | 58 | 63 | 48 | 2 | 9/4F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Hazelgrove Amanib 3y 4 | W M Lyons — 20% R1041 W207 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 51 | 59 (2) | 70 (1) | 54 (3) | 47 (3) | 45 (6) | 56 (2) | 46 (5) | 68 (1) | 42 (5) | 64 (1) | 28 | 27 | 22 | 41 | 56 | 45 | 3 | 8/1 | - | |
Won last time out at A6 grade — a higher grade than she faces today — with a performance of 70. Dropping into A5 after a win at A6 is an encouraging sign and gives her a class advantage over most of this field. She posts the joint-best speed rating in the field at 57 and her All-Rounder profile means she will be competitive early on Kinsley's downhill gradient. Most importantly, she takes the dominant draw for A5 grade — trap 3 wins 20.9% here from 358 runs. The combination of a recent win at a higher grade, the top speed rating in the field, and the best structural draw makes a compelling case that goes beyond what the composite model can offer on this circuit.
Best on ratings but Closer profile and structural trap disadvantage at Kinsley are the key risks — the form says she should win but the track says otherwise.
Worst trap at A5 with recent form below his best peak — structural disadvantage undermines his claims.
Only two career runs with no distance experience — essentially unassessable for a race at this level.
High early pace but recent form has been poor — hard to trust at current level.
Solid form and decent draw but not enough quality advantage to seriously challenge the better-placed runners.
T3 dominates A5 at 20.9% from 358 runs. T1 is worst at 14.6%. Composite R1 wins only 17.9% — flat across all ranks, model adds no value. Pace profile and draw must drive analysis.
T1:14.6%(281r) T2:18.0%(334r) T3:20.9%(358r) T4:16.5%(358r) T5:16.1%(385r) T6:17.7%(419r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Step Junior | 45 | 50 | All-Rounder |
2Crystal Zeus | — | — | No data |
3Russanda Lexi | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Follow Suit | 62 | 18 | Fader |
5Twisted Logic | 50 | 56 | Closer |
6Hazelgrove Amani | 53 | 40 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Step Junior | — | 0.630 |
| 2 | Crystal Zeus | 0.634 | — |
| 3 | Russanda Lexi | 0.629 | 0.624 |
| 4 | Follow Suit | 0.623 | 0.628 |
| 5 | Twisted Logic | — | 0.624 |
| 6 | Hazelgrove Amani | — | 0.626 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.