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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Burrow Penguinb 5y 25 | W M Lyons — 20% R1041 W207 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 59 | 17 (6) | 18 (5) | 28 (2) | 70 (1) | 42 (5) | 52 (4) | 14 (6) | 48 (5) | 21 (4) | 38 (3) | 18 | 33 | 17 | 20 | 33 | 42 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ A Lucky Tomd 4y 24 | B Heaton — 16% R200 W31 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 30 | 38 (3) | 41 (5) | 26 (2) | 24 (3) | 18 (5) | 29 (6) | 41 (4) | 43 (4) | 72 (1) | 32 (5) | 30 | 21 | 5 | 13 | 35 | 40 | 4 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Mustang Lucad 5y 23 | J Robinson — 18% R298 W54 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 40 | 20 (4) | 31 (4) | 41 (4) | 43 (2) | 30 (1) | 24 (2) | 15 (6) | 26 (2) | 53 (2) | 16 (5) | 25 | 24 | 27 | 23 | 30 | 37 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Swift Perryd 1y 14 | J Robinson — 18% R298 W54 P166 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 70 (1) | 23 (3) | 23 (4) | 25 (6) | 36 (6) | 20 (5) | 29 (6) | 27 (2) | 25 (3) | 23 (4) | 14 | 22 | - | 21 | 34 | 38 | 1 | 2/1JF | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Blackbell Minib 3y 16 | I Zivkovic — 14% R613 W85 P284 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 60 | 38 (4) | 24 (3) | 41 (2) | 39 (2) | 31 (4) | 27 (5) | 34 (2) | 47 (6) | 39 (2) | - | 20 | 26 | 20 | 16 | 35 | 45 | 2 | 2/1JF | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Scotrath Kikib 5y 23 | W M Lyons — 20% R1041 W207 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 50 | 34 (5) | 57 (4) | 21 (4) | 22 (4) | 21 (4) | 15 (6) | 19 (5) | 18 (6) | 40 (4) | 30 (6) | 17 | 18 | 16 | 9 | 30 | 33 | 6 | 7/1 | - | |
Holds the top ranking on every pace metric in this field — composite, speed, bend, and early pace all point to her as the number one dog. Her early pace of 66 and bend rating of 60 mean she should handle Kinsley's downhill first bend well, getting into position quickly and using the gradient to her advantage as a Fader. Her form has been modest in recent runs, ranging from 24 to 41, but A8 is a volatile grade and the pace metrics are what matter most at Kinsley. Trap 5 is not an ideal draw at any Kinsley grade but wins 17.2% at A8 which is the middle of the pack — not a structural killer. With the composite, speed, bend, and early pace all aligning on the same dog from an acceptable draw, she has the best overall case in the field.
Recent win from a strong draw makes her the main danger, though the handicap context is difficult to evaluate.
Strong early pace but two consecutive poor runs and the worst draw undermine her chances.
Closer profile and weak draw make her hard to support at this track and grade.
Best statistical draw at A8 but declining form and Closer profile undermine the structural advantage.
Decent draw but form too volatile and no dominant metric to build a case around.
T3 and T4 are the best draws at A8 (19.0% and 18.7%). T1 and T2 are the weakest. Composite R1 wins 18.3% — near baseline, model adds limited value. A8 is a volatile transition grade.
T1:15.8%(228r) T2:15.5%(264r) T3:19.0%(216r) T4:18.7%(251r) T5:17.2%(261r) T6:17.3%(226r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Burrow Penguin | 65 | 31 | Fader |
2A Lucky Tom | 31 | 95 | Closer |
3Mustang Luca | 49 | 62 | Closer |
4Swift Perry | 47 | 60 | Closer |
5Blackbell Mini | 66 | 33 | Fader |
6Scotrath Kiki | 51 | 40 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Burrow Penguin | 0.644 | 0.642 |
| 2 | A Lucky Tom | 0.642 | 0.640 |
| 3 | Mustang Luca | 0.640 | 0.641 |
| 4 | Swift Perry | 0.634 | 0.642 |
| 5 | Blackbell Mini | 0.634 | 0.637 |
| 6 | Scotrath Kiki | 0.644 | 0.645 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.