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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Jennywinsb 3y 6 | J S Atkins — 14% R289 W41 P158 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 46 | 62 (1) | 48 (4) | 54 (2) | 53 (4) | 47 (5) | 52 (3) | 58 (2) | 37 (6) | 60 (3) | 60 (3) | 29 | 26 | 21 | 29 | 53 | 47 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Metric Marib 2y 16 | I Zivkovic — 14% R613 W85 P284 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 55 | 58 (2) | 33 (1) | 25 (4) | 51 (3) | 30 (6) | 34 (5) | 63 (1) | 54 (2) | 43 (5) | 48 (3) | 38 | 35 | 26 | 26 | 43 | 43 | 5 | 9/4JF | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Baybush Rushd 3y 3 | B Heaton — 16% R200 W31 P96 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 47 | 45 (4) | 59 (2) | 48 (3) | 32 (5) | 39 (5) | 48 (4) | 19 (5) | 32 (1) | 18 (6) | 26 (3) | 22 | 22 | 15 | 17 | 41 | 41 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Mingdrum Focusb 1y 26 | W M Lyons — 20% R1041 W207 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 54 | 38 (5) | 62 (2) | 27 (3) | 23 (5) | 23 (5) | 33 (1) | 22 (4) | 24 (3) | 22 (4) | 20 (5) | 1 | 22 | - | 14 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 9/4JF | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Aussie Fionnd 4y 15 | W M Lyons — 20% R1041 W207 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 51 | 42 (3) | 59 (2) | 43 (5) | 62 (1) | 53 (2) | 38 (5) | 51 (2) | 44 (4) | 52 (3) | 51 (3) | 25 | 28 | 37 | 38 | 50 | 43 | 4 | 10/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Leticias Prideb 4y 16 | W M Lyons — 20% R1041 W207 P559 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 45 | 62 (1) | 48 (3) | 51 (2) | 49 (2) | 49 (3) | 41 (5) | 63 (1) | 41 (5) | 54 (2) | 38 (5) | 32 | 26 | 33 | 41 | 51 | 47 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
Takes the second-best structural draw for A7 grade — trap 2 wins 19.2% from 250 runs here, one of the most productive boxes at this grade. She placed second last time out with a 58, her best recent run, and has an All-Rounder pace profile with an early pace of 53 and bend rating of 55 which are both above average for this field. Her form shows a peak of 58 in the most recent race and some volatility in prior runs but she arrives at a competitive level with the right pace profile for Kinsley's downhill circuit. The combination of the second-best statistical draw at A7 and an All-Rounder profile that suits the gradient makes her the most structurally sound selection in this field once the trap situation for Jennywins is factored in.
Won last time and joint composite leader — the main form danger, but Closer profile makes her dependent on the pace horses tiring.
Best dog on form but worst trap at A7 combined with Closer profile — structural evidence overrides the quality advantage here.
Best statistical draw at A7 and suitable pace profile — a legitimate alternative to the selection based on trap data alone.
Volatile form and below-average draw make him unreliable despite some eye-catching earlier performances.
Consistent form at mid-field level but below-average draw prevents him from being a serious selection.
T3 leads at 20.0%, T2 strong at 19.2%. T1 is the WORST trap at A7 — just 12.0% from 184 runs, a complete reversal from A6. Composite flat — model adds minimal value. Never pick T1 at A7.
T1:12.0%(184r) T2:19.2%(250r) T3:20.0%(295r) T4:15.2%(297r) T5:15.9%(315r) T6:17.4%(304r)
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 462m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Jennywins | 40 | 79 | Closer |
2Metric Mari | 53 | 44 | All-Rounder |
3Baybush Rush | 48 | 53 | All-Rounder |
4Mingdrum Focus | 57 | 33 | Fader |
5Aussie Fionn | 52 | 47 | All-Rounder |
6Leticias Pride | 45 | 63 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 462m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (462m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 268m | 462m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jennywins | — | 0.629 |
| 2 | Metric Mari | 0.625 | 0.634 |
| 3 | Baybush Rush | 0.631 | 0.634 |
| 4 | Mingdrum Focus | 0.633 | 0.633 |
| 5 | Aussie Fionn | — | 0.632 |
| 6 | Leticias Pride | — | 0.631 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.