Speed rank one in the field at 63 and composite rank one at 65.3 — both primary metrics point here. All-Rounder profile with balanced early pace at 50 and a solid bend rating at 51. The significant tension in this selection is the course-and-distance record: zero wins from ten attempts at Newcastle 480m. A win rate of 0% from double-figure appearances is a serious flag and earns a Tentative confidence rating rather than the Medium or Strong that the metric position might otherwise command. Yet at A8 grade, where the overall strike rates are compressed and the range of abilities is narrow, the fact that the metrics agree strongly is the best available signal. The form sequence P44, P64, P43, P51, P39 is inconsistent but the P64 last time was the best recent figure from this runner. Trap suitability of 23 and track suitability of 17 are both below average, which reinforces the C&D concern. This selection is made on metric grounds alone — both speed and composite agree — but with explicit recognition that the course record may be telling a different story.