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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Zenith Efendid 3y 5 | J J Fenwick — 19% R506 W95 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 37 | 54 (5) | 42 (6) | 61 (4) | 55 (6) | 47 (5) | 34 (6) | 63 (5) | 87 (1) | 56 (5) | 80 (3) | 1 | 9 | - | 6 | 55 | 42 | 2 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Solway Dreamb 2y 19 | D Little — 22% R108 W24 P68 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 51 | 53 (4) | 65 (3) | 78 (1) | 67 (2) | 65 (3) | 61 (3) | 73 (1) | 68 (2) | 42 (6) | 52 (3) | 49 | 41 | - | 40 | 63 | 50 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Droopys Getind 1y 12 | A Harrison — 20% R538 W107 P321 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 61 | 77 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 34 | 20 | - | 30 | 77 | 56 | 1 | 11/8F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ A Bit Of Meganb 1y 211 | S Ray — 15% R411 W62 P224 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 36 | 80 (1) | 79 (1) | 45 (5) | 79 (1) | 57 (3) | 58 (5) | 53 (3) | 66 (2) | 51 (4) | 52 (4) | 29 | 34 | 40 | 45 | 66 | 48 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Fabulous Kirab 2y 27 | J T Edgar — 17% R493 W85 P276 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 55 | 66 (2) | 68 (3) | 74 (1) | 56 (5) | 88 (1) | 65 (3) | 68 (2) | 76 (2) | 55 (3) | 67 (3) | 17 | 37 | 26 | 44 | 69 | 47 | 5 | 9/4 | - | |
Three wins from ten at this course and distance — a 30% course record that is the best proven record in the field, and at A3 where composite is unreliable, this is the foundation of the case. The two most recent performances of P80 and P79 are the best figures in the field and represent a genuine peak of ability, not a one-off. Closer profile with very low early pace at 30 — this dog will be last or near-last at the first bend and will use the entire length of Newcastle's long home straight to close. Distance suitability of 45 is the best in the field, consistent with the 30% course record. Speed rank three (50) is not a leading figure, but at A3 where composite is a poor predictor, the combination of proven 30% course record, two recent peaks of 80 and 79, and best distance suitability provides a more reliable basis for selection than metrics alone. The selection is made on form and track evidence rather than raw metric leadership.
DANGER: Every metric points here but only 1 career run makes this statistically unreliable. The top pick if the debut evidence holds, but proven form is preferred at this grade.
Worst suitability scores in the field across all dimensions. Not viable.
Best trap suitability, decent course record, but speed rank fourth and form declining. Place prospects are more realistic.
Best average performance and best trap position but speed rank last. At A3 speed matters most — difficult to recommend despite the positional advantage.
At A3 composite is a poor predictor at Newcastle. When the metric leader has only one career run, the statistical basis for those metrics is too thin to trust. Proven C&D record and recent peak form become the dominant selection factors.
T5 best at 25.0%, T6 worst at 19.5%. No T6 runner today.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Zenith Efendi | 33 | 82 | Closer |
2Solway Dream | 52 | 37 | All-Rounder |
3Droopys Getin | 61 | 21 | Fader |
4A Bit Of Megan | 30 | 87 | Closer |
5Fabulous Kira | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 480m | 525m | 640m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Zenith Efendi | 0.613 | 0.556 | — |
| 2 | Solway Dream | 0.615 | — | 0.629 |
| 3 | Droopys Getin | 0.609 | — | — |
| 4 | A Bit Of Megan | 0.615 | — | — |
| 5 | Fabulous Kira | 0.612 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.