| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Pauls Opiniond 2y 4 | D Jeans — 13% R244 W31 P110 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 19 | 32 (1) | 28 (2) | 22 (4) | 23 (5) | 33 (4) | 33 (5) | 23 (5) | 33 (5) | 43 (3) | 56 (1) | 17 | 32 | 16 | 41 | 30 | 25 | 1 | 9/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Getup Me Charvad 4y 15 | A Welch — 14% R315 W44 P155 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 57 | 32 (1) | 23 (6) | 27 (3) | 28 (3) | 20 (6) | 24 (6) | 30 (3) | 66 (4) | 35 (5) | 28 (5) | 49 | 6 | 2 | 17 | 29 | 29 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Dashing Tomd 3y 24 | P H Harnden — 17% R398 W67 P223 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 43 | 22 (6) | 53 (5) | 26 (6) | 48 (6) | 61 (4) | 68 (4) | 71 (2) | 63 (5) | 60 (6) | 61 (4) | 31 | 5 | - | - | 48 | 11 | 4 | 10/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Romeo Reignd 2y 9 | L G Tuffin — 26% R287 W74 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 20 (5) | 33 (4) | 35 (2) | 28 (4) | 22 (6) | 33 (3) | 28 (4) | 27 (4) | 25 (5) | 22 (5) | 17 | 25 | 14 | 13 | 28 | 27 | 6 | 6/4F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Makeit Spitfireb 3y 26 | F J Gray — 18% R351 W63 P186 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 60 | 22 (4) | 51 (4) | 76 (1) | 75 (1) | 55 (3) | 38 (6) | 71 (1) | 67 (1) | 30 (4) | 42 (1) | 25 | 43 | 40 | 34 | 52 | 36 | 5 | 9/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Twolegsofourd 2y 7 | J M Liles — 18% R422 W77 P219 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 32 (2) | 34 (3) | 31 (3) | 20 (6) | 25 (5) | 41 (1) | 31 (4) | 28 (2) | 32 (4) | - | 26 | 28 | 26 | 24 | 30 | 30 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
After the structural eliminations at traps five and six, Getup Me Charva is selected on the basis of tied effective speed rank at 52 — matching only Pauls Opinion in the viable field — from trap two (19.1% win rate at D3 270m). The performance rating of 29 is essentially level with Pauls Opinion, and both trail Dashing Tom significantly on form. The pace-biased argument for selecting at 270 metres points to the tied-fastest dogs after eliminations, and trap two is a workable draw. Tentative confidence reflects that Dashing Tom from the best draw with the best performance makes an equally strong case on different grounds, and this is ultimately a very fine call.
Danger — best draw and best performance by wide margin. Loses only on speed. Could easily be the winner.
Good draw and tied speed, but near-lowest performance among effective runners. Marginally weaker than the pick.
Weakest ability metrics in effective field combined with below-average draw. Cannot recommend.
Structural T5 elimination. Would likely be the selection from T1/T2/T3 — trapped in the wrong box today.
Structural T6 elimination. Speed rank 1 irrelevant — trap is the dominant factor at Towcester 270m.
T6 eliminated (12.3%), T5 eliminated (13.95%). Effective field T1-T4. T3 best draw at 20.8%. T2 Getup Me Charva: tied speed rank (52) after eliminations. T3 Dashing Tom: best perf (48) and best draw.
T1:20.5% T2:19.1% T3:20.8% T4:18.6% T5:13.95% T6:12.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 253m | 270m | 277m | 305m | 450m | 500m | 525m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pauls Opinion | 0.629 | 0.613 | — | — | 0.632 | — | — | — |
| 2 | Getup Me Charva | 0.615 | 0.610 | 0.616 | — | — | 0.622 | — | — |
| 3 | Dashing Tom | — | 0.612 | — | 0.611 | — | 0.602 | 0.564 | 0.557 |
| 4 | Romeo Reign | — | 0.613 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 5 | Makeit Spitfire | — | 0.607 | — | — | — | 0.601 | — | — |
| 6 | Twolegsofour | — | 0.608 | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.