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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Drohobych Galaxyd 2y 26 | S J Rayner — 19% R170 W32 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 28 | 0 | 43 (1) | 36 (2) | 42 (6) | 90 (1) | 61 (3) | 79 (1) | 69 (2) | 68 (1) | - | - | 5 | 40 | 16 | - | 56 | 27 | 5 | 6/4F | - | |
| 2 | ▶ As Happy As Brynd 1y 34 | H J Dimmock — 19% R174 W33 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 38 | 48 | 54 (3) | 46 (3) | 34 (4) | 59 (1) | 50 (3) | 19 (6) | 22 (5) | - | - | - | 2 | 12 | - | - | 43 | 26 | 3 | 9/2 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Sonic Blitzen d 2y 8 | S J Rayner — 19% R170 W32 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 45 | 70 (1) | 71 (1) | 43 (5) | 41 (5) | 53 (3) | 63 (3) | 72 (1) | 56 (3) | 56 (2) | 67 (1) | 10 | 36 | 4 | 46 | 59 | 46 | 6 | 10/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Vinegarhill Blued 3y 5 | A Ioannou — 12% R89 W11 P52 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 53 | 49 (4) | 75 (1) | 56 (3) | 42 (4) | 71 (2) | 49 (5) | 68 (2) | 57 (3) | 73 (1) | 63 (3) | 27 | 29 | 30 | 32 | 59 | 50 | 1 | 7/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Fabulous Martinib 1y 8 | L G Tuffin — 26% R284 W74 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 70 | 73 (1) | 63 (2) | 59 (4) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 41 | 32 | 18 | 41 | 66 | 55 | 4 | 10/3 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Lucky Sevensd 4y 24 | R A Baker — 15% R53 W8 P27 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 63 | 49 | 45 (6) | 58 (5) | 59 (5) | 70 (2) | 55 (4) | 51 (3) | 39 (5) | 48 (5) | 56 (5) | 70 (5) | 24 | 10 | - | 9 | 55 | 47 | 2 | 3/1 | - | |
The pick on the strength of leading the field on performance (66), holding speed rank two (59), and carrying meaningful suitability (32). At 500 metres, where field speed drives 65% of the composite model, Lucky Sevens edges on pure pace (63 vs 59), but suitability of only 10 for Lucky Sevens versus 32 for Fabulous Martini represents a structural confidence gap that is hard to dismiss. A dog with suitability of 10 essentially has no proven form at this grade and distance — this is an experienced performer facing an unknown. Fabulous Martini ticks every box: second-fastest, best performer, good suitability, no structural concerns. Trap five at A4 500m wins 19.1% — not a concern. Medium confidence reflects the genuine pace threat from Lucky Sevens if it proves suited to the trip.
Danger — best trap, best form suitability among contenders, equal second performance. Alternative selection.
Best suitability but slowest in field by big margin. Speed deficit too large to overcome at 500m standard distance.
Near-worst speed, near-worst suitability, average performance. No case for selection in A4 company.
Solid profile but outranked on every metric by Fabulous Martini. Clear third choice in the race.
Speed rank 1 but suitability 10 makes this a structural unknown. Raw pace could win if suited, but proven form edges this.
T3 best trap at 500m (23.6%). Speed+composite agree at 500m = 35.8% combined signal. Lucky Sevens suit=10 (structural unknown despite speed rank 1). At standard distance, 0.65*fieldspeed + 0.25*suitability dominates.
T1:19.2% T2:18.8% T3:23.6% T4:19.5% T5:19.1% T6:18.4%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Drohobych Galaxy | 45 | 100 | Closer |
2As Happy As Bryn | 100 | 0 | Fader |
3Sonic Blitzen | 43 | 71 | Closer |
4Vinegarhill Blue | 54 | 29 | All-Rounder |
5Fabulous Martini | 76 | 0 | Fader |
6Lucky Sevens | 46 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 450m | 460m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Drohobych Galaxy | 0.592 | 0.606 | — | — |
| 2 | As Happy As Bryn | 0.627 | — | 0.600 | 0.604 |
| 3 | Sonic Blitzen | — | — | — | 0.601 |
| 4 | Vinegarhill Blue | — | — | — | 0.601 |
| 5 | Fabulous Martini | — | — | — | 0.598 |
| 6 | Lucky Sevens | — | 0.614 | — | 0.595 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.