| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Swift Deliciousb 4y 15 | N J Deas — 17% R454 W76 P242 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 49 | 42 (3) | 45 (2) | 48 (2) | 71 (2) | 68 (2) | 58 (5) | 60 (4) | 43 (4) | 62 (4) | 60 (4) | 18 | 13 | 20 | 17 | 54 | 48 | 1 | 13/8JF | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Master Bullseyed 3y 28 | C A Grasso — 13% R31 W4 P16 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 70 | 53 | 50 (2) | 65 (3) | 90 (1) | 46 (2) | 31 (5) | 40 (5) | 32 (4) | 34 (5) | 36 (4) | - | 29 | 28 | 21 | 25 | 52 | 45 | 2 | 13/8JF | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Melbury Galaxyb 2y 6 | A Welch — 14% R308 W42 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 54 | 35 (4) | 38 (4) | 33 (5) | 33 (3) | 28 (6) | 37 (4) | 47 (3) | 45 (3) | 44 (3) | 46 (3) | 14 | 4 | - | 3 | 37 | 33 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Magical Cassieb 3y 6 | D Jeans — 13% R238 W31 P108 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 53 | 32 (5) | 44 (3) | 28 (6) | 24 (6) | 37 (4) | 56 (1) | 43 (4) | 32 (5) | 24 (6) | 28 (6) | 21 | 13 | 10 | 9 | 35 | 36 | 6 | 6/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Rowington Rused 2y 16 | D D Porter — 17% R537 W92 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 46 | 29 (6) | 28 (6) | 41 (5) | 37 (3) | 53 (1) | 36 (4) | 39 (3) | 32 (6) | 32 (4) | 39 (4) | 10 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 36 | 28 | 5 | 40/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Grafton Aurorab 2y 6 | H J Dimmock — 19% R174 W33 P95 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 49 | 30 (5) | 29 (5) | 32 (4) | 32 (5) | 39 (5) | 56 (1) | 56 (6) | 55 (6) | 52 (6) | 45 (2) | 16 | 15 | 14 | 14 | 38 | 38 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
At 500 metres, field speed is the dominant composite factor (65% weight), and Master Bullseye has an exceptional advantage here: a speed rating of 70 versus the next-best Swift Delicious at 59 — an 11-point gap. In a field where most dogs are rated between 40 and 51, that margin is substantial. Trap two at A8 500m wins 20.1%, the second-best draw. The average performance of 52 is second to Swift Delicious at 54, but the speed gap is meaningful enough to tip the selection. At 500-metre standard distance, the composite formula heavily weights field speed, and Master Bullseye wins that calculation decisively. The Speculative confidence reflects A8 being the least reliable grade — the field is weak and individual run quality is volatile — but the raw speed advantage is the clearest structural signal available.
Danger — best performance rating and second speed rank. Genuinely close to the pick on all metrics.
Weakest suitability in field (4), joint-lowest speed, below-average draw. No case for selection.
Best draw but weakest ability metrics. Speed deficit of 26 points cannot be overcome at 500m standard distance.
Lowest speed rating, near-worst draw, minimal suitability. Not a genuine contender on current data.
Third in speed and performance rankings, moderate suitability. Not enough to overcome speed deficit to pick.
A8 is lowest-reliability grade (21.2% R1 win rate vs D-grades 31.1%). Speed rank 1 wins 27.9% at 500m. Master Bullseye speed gap of 11 points over next-best is exceptional. Trap bias relatively even at A8 500m.
T1:19.8% T2:20.1% T3:18.2% T4:20.5% T5:18.0% T6:18.9%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Swift Delicious | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Master Bullseye | 0 | 100 | Closer |
3Melbury Galaxy | 100 | 0 | Fader |
4Magical Cassie | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Rowington Ruse | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Grafton Aurora | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 500m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (500m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 500m | 712m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swift Delicious | 0.611 | 0.632 |
| 2 | Master Bullseye | 0.614 | 0.626 |
| 3 | Melbury Galaxy | 0.616 | — |
| 4 | Magical Cassie | 0.617 | — |
| 5 | Rowington Ruse | 0.619 | 0.654 |
| 6 | Grafton Aurora | 0.615 | 0.634 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.