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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Wraysbury Bandb 4y 37 | J M Liles — 18% R417 W76 P217 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 100 | 31 (3) | 45 (3) | 39 (4) | 60 (1) | 41 (1) | 54 (2) | 37 (1) | 35 (6) | 39 (4) | 37 (1) | 28 | 34 | 25 | 46 | 42 | 31 | 3 | 5/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Fabulous Jeneverb 2y 46 | L G Tuffin — 26% R284 W74 P154 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 42 | 42 (5) | 44 (5) | 39 (5) | 53 (3) | 38 (6) | 64 (2) | 58 (3) | 72 (1) | 49 (5) | 45 (5) | 22 | 20 | - | 7 | 48 | 3 | 4 | 12/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Makeit Dolly b 2y 17 | F J Gray — 18% R344 W61 P182 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 100 | 46 (4) | 36 (5) | 61 (1) | 50 (2) | 45 (3) | 50 (3) | 53 (2) | 37 (1) | 31 (3) | 37 (2) | 42 | 41 | 29 | 20 | 46 | 34 | 2 | 2/1F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Kiskeam Lucyb 2y 6 | D D Porter — 17% R537 W92 P291 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 35 | 26 (5) | 36 (3) | 36 (2) | 30 (4) | 28 (5) | 41 (1) | 31 (4) | 53 (5) | 66 (2) | 62 (2) | 31 | 20 | 20 | 17 | 36 | 33 | 6 | 5/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Gurtnacrehy Ohiod 3y 5 | C Condon — 9% R35 W3 P17 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 50 | 38 (2) | 27 (6) | 29 (5) | 31 (4) | 30 (6) | 42 (1) | 27 (5) | 53 (5) | 55 (4) | 50 (4) | - | 37 | 31 | 22 | 35 | 34 | 1 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Coolavanny Steved 3y 4 | A Welch — 14% R308 W42 P151 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 35 (3) | 30 (3) | 29 (5) | 40 (1) | 36 (1) | 28 (2) | 27 (4) | 28 (3) | 30 (4) | 30 (4) | 28 | 25 | 15 | 26 | 32 | 31 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
The structural case here centres on three converging factors: the best draw at D2 270m Towcester (trap one, 20.2% win rate), the highest bend rating in the field at 100, and the best suitability mean at 33.2. Speed rank is tied first at 53, matching trap five. A third-place finish last time at D2 270m from trap one on this track shows the ability to compete at this grade and distance. The Railer profile suits trap one perfectly — hug the inside rail, hit the first bend ahead of the field, and the finish is academic from there if the pace is right. Average performance of 42 is solid for this grade. The combination of best draw, best bend rating, and best suitability makes this the clearest structural case in the race, even if the confidence does not extend beyond Tentative.
Danger — bend rating 100, strong track suitability, good draw. Very close to the pick on structural metrics.
Best raw performance but completely wrong profile — no sprint form, poor suitability. Cannot select.
Middling draw, below-average bend, modest performance. No strong case.
Proven D2 ability but poor draw and average bend rating. Speed does not compensate for structural disadvantage here.
Structural T6 elimination at 270m Towcester — 13.5% win rate insufficient. Cannot recommend.
T6 structurally worst at 13.5% — eliminated. T1 best draw at 20.2%. Bend rating critical at 270m — T1 Wraysbury Band bend 100 (best). Speed rank 1 wins 25.4% at sprint.
T1:20.2% T2:17.8% T3:19.6% T4:18.4% T5:15.2% T6:13.5%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 270m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Only runs at exactly 270m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (270m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 270m | 460m | 476m | 500m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wraysbury Band | 0.599 | 0.599 | — | — |
| 2 | Fabulous Jenever | — | — | — | 0.606 |
| 3 | Makeit Dolly | 0.603 | 0.594 | — | — |
| 4 | Kiskeam Lucy | 0.604 | — | 0.607 | — |
| 5 | Gurtnacrehy Ohio | 0.604 | — | — | 0.603 |
| 6 | Coolavanny Steve | 0.608 | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.