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Arena Racing Company Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Ballymac Neemsb 4y 34 | J J Fenwick — 19% R506 W95 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 38 | 73 (3) | 73 (2) | 58 (3) | 83 (1) | 77 (2) | 44 (6) | 72 (2) | 50 (6) | 66 (4) | 59 (5) | 30 | 26 | 22 | 33 | 68 | 46 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Dunelm Le Feed 2y 34 | R J Buckton — 19% R212 W41 P116 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 50 | 68 (2) | 66 (3) | 47 (5) | 87 (1) | 87 (1) | 66 (4) | 60 (5) | 60 (4) | 65 (3) | 62 (1) | 30 | 38 | 33 | 37 | 67 | 46 | 3 | 7/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Fooled Againd 2y 6 | D Winder — 17% R138 W23 P63 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 56 | 88 (5) | 54 (1) | 75 (5) | 49 (2) | 34 (5) | 45 (4) | 68 (1) | 77 (2) | 56 (2) | - | 58 | 50 | 31 | 42 | 63 | 56 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Solway Silverb 2y 25 | D Little — 22% R108 W24 P68 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 55 | 55 (4) | 53 (4) | 67 (4) | 86 (1) | 77 (2) | 40 (2) | 45 (5) | 93 (1) | 78 (2) | 93 (1) | 2 | 42 | 42 | 38 | 65 | 47 | 1 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Crokers Lunab 3y 27 | J T Edgar — 17% R493 W85 P276 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 44 | 55 (5) | 87 (1) | 49 (4) | 64 (4) | 62 (4) | 19 (2) | 46 (6) | 71 (3) | 86 (1) | 86 (1) | 31 | 38 | 30 | 32 | 61 | 43 | 5 | 4/1 | - | |
Speed rank one (58), composite rank one (70.7), best last-race performance in the field (88) — all three of the primary metrics are led by this runner, and at A2 grade where speed dominates they are all pointing the same way. Fader profile means trap 3 will settle mid-field before unleashing late, which suits Newcastle's long run-in perfectly. The form is volatile — P88, P54, P75, P49, P34 — but the most recent run was the best of the bunch, and a last-race performance of 88 at A2 with trap suitability of 58 (best in field) and track suitability of 50 (best in field) makes for a compelling dossier. One win from eight at this course and distance is not outstanding, but the metric picture here is clear. When the speed leader, the composite leader, and the best recent figure are all the same dog at a grade where speed forecasts best, that is the pick.
DANGER: Best course record in the field (33%) despite statistical trap mis-match. The track says this dog belongs here.
Solid average form but not leading any key metric. Hard to make the case at A2 where recent peak and speed matter most.
Good course record and decent overall metrics. Third-best pick — could make the frame.
Decent course record but last in both speed and composite. Worst trap position at Newcastle. Difficult to recommend.
At A2, speed is the single strongest predictor at Newcastle. When speed R1 and composite R1 agree on the same runner who also posted the best last-race figure, that is a high-conviction signal even at volatile A2 grade.
T5 best at 25.0%, T6 worst at 19.5%. No T5 runner today.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Ballymac Neems | 37 | 77 | Closer |
2Dunelm Le Fee | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Fooled Again | 59 | 17 | Fader |
4Solway Silver | 53 | 48 | All-Rounder |
6Crokers Luna | 48 | 53 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ballymac Neems | — | 0.611 |
| 2 | Dunelm Le Fee | — | 0.608 |
| 3 | Fooled Again | 0.598 | 0.610 |
| 4 | Solway Silver | 0.589 | 0.607 |
| 6 | Crokers Luna | — | 0.610 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.