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@NewcastleDogs On Twitter Stakes
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Richies Richied 4y 24 | J J Fenwick — 19% R506 W95 P290 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 50 | 21 (6) | 31 (3) | 16 (5) | 52 (4) | 76 (1) | 62 (2) | 76 (1) | 46 (6) | 55 (5) | 38 (6) | 22 | 27 | 44 | 33 | 42 | 40 | 4 | 4/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Droopys Reneeb 1y 17 | A Harrison — 20% R538 W107 P321 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 58 | 73 (1) | 27 (5) | 37 (1) | 54 (4) | 71 (1) | 53 (4) | 70 (1) | 55 (2) | 44 (6) | 58 (3) | 38 | 33 | 3 | 42 | 53 | 48 | 2 | 5/2 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Sunfire Singb 2y 7 | C L Hardy — 18% R230 W41 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 47 | 48 (5) | 73 (1) | 57 (4) | 88 (2) | 64 (5) | 64 (2) | 54 (5) | 66 (2) | 65 (2) | 51 (5) | 27 | 30 | 22 | 30 | 63 | 49 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Solway Aussied 2y 26 | D Little — 22% R108 W24 P68 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 40 | 49 | 42 (4) | 28 (4) | 24 (3) | 49 (2) | 69 (2) | 31 (2) | 36 (1) | 59 (3) | 60 (3) | 77 (1) | 19 | 33 | 31 | 35 | 43 | 33 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Alnwick Riverd 3y 36 | A Harrison — 20% R538 W107 P321 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 28 | 43 (4) | 61 (4) | 56 (3) | 49 (4) | 50 (6) | 76 (1) | 77 (1) | 63 (2) | 62 (3) | 75 (1) | 30 | 29 | 27 | 22 | 58 | 38 | 5 | 9/4F | - | |
Speed leader in the field and carries a strong bend rating — the sharpest away in the early stages and likely to be prominent from the off. Just won at A5 grade last time out with a P73 performance — that is a higher grade than today's A4 contest, which means she steps down to an easier level. Three wins from eight at this course and distance is an excellent 37.5% strike rate and confirms this is very much her track and trip. The form has a volatile streak — P73 last time, P27 and P37 in the two before that — but the peaks are high enough and the recent win puts her in the best form of the field going into this race. Speed R1 at A4 Newcastle wins around one in five, and the strong course form stacks on top of that.
DANGER: Composite leader with peak P88, but Closer profile and modest course and distance record create uncertainty.
Poor recent form makes it very hard to recommend despite reasonable course and distance record.
Structurally well positioned in trap 5 but poor form and low ratings make it hard to recommend.
Good course and distance record undermined by worst trap position and lowest bend rating in the field.
At A4 Newcastle, composite and speed are near-identical predictors. Course and distance experience above 25% win rate is a differentiating factor in close calls.
T5 best at 25%, T6 worst at 19.5%. No strong grade quirk at A4.
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 480m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
2Richies Richie | 51 | 46 | All-Rounder |
3Droopys Renee | 51 | 50 | All-Rounder |
4Sunfire Sing | 0 | 100 | Closer |
5Solway Aussie | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Alnwick River | 32 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 480m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (480m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 290m | 480m | 590m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Richies Richie | 0.615 | 0.616 | — |
| 3 | Droopys Renee | 0.597 | 0.616 | — |
| 4 | Sunfire Sing | — | 0.615 | 0.631 |
| 5 | Solway Aussie | 0.603 | 0.621 | — |
| 6 | Alnwick River | — | 0.614 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.