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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Black Lend 2y 25 | D B Whitton — 26% R313 W82 P197 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 22 (5) | 28 (3) | 25 (5) | 29 (3) | 34 (2) | 34 (1) | 32 (2) | 29 (2) | 28 (2) | 29 (3) | 49 | 40 | - | 44 | 31 | 37 | 4 | 5/2 | |
| 3 | ▶ Manic Mondayb 3y 16 | D F Carter — 15% R395 W58 P207 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 30 (2) | 24 (5) | 25 (5) | 32 (4) | 28 (2) | - | - | - | - | - | 62 | 70 | - | 70 | - | 30 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 4 | ▶ Headford Avab 2y 17 | J Pearson — 15% R205 W31 P103 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 48 | 36 (2) | 50 (5) | 23 (5) | 75 (1) | 33 (2) | 39 (1) | 21 (5) | 43 (5) | 33 (2) | 60 (3) | 36 | 38 | 6 | 38 | 42 | 40 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Moaning Countessb 4y 23 | D B Whitton — 26% R313 W82 P197 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | 44 | 23 (4) | 21 (5) | 28 (6) | 47 (4) | 27 (4) | 64 (5) | 92 (2) | 80 (2) | - | - | 42 | 60 | 18 | 47 | 53 | 51 | 1 | 5/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Tinas Libertyb 3y 19 | D K Hurlock — 19% R930 W176 P509 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 100 | 64 (2) | 67 (2) | 72 (1) | 49 (4) | 39 (3) | 66 (1) | 26 (4) | 26 (5) | 34 (5) | - | 60 | 57 | 51 | 72 | 30 | 44 | 2 | 10/11F | |
The class dog at P53 — 11 points clear of Headford Ava and 20+ ahead of the rest. D B Whitton (34%) is the standout trainer signal, hitting 26.92% at D3 238m. Form of 80→52→38→34→23 shows a declining trajectory which IS concerning — that 80 was her peak 5 runs ago and she's dropped progressively since. BUT even her recent 34-38 range is competitive with the P42 second-best dog, and at P53 average she's operating at a level this field can't match consistently. She's an All-Rounder (EP50, CS51 — perfectly balanced) and her track suit 60 is exceptional (second only to Manic Monday's trial-inflated numbers). The T5 dead draw (16.12% at D3) is the main concern — the track profile warns against T5 unless the dog has 'overwhelming early pace.' She doesn't have overwhelming pace, but she has overwhelming class. When the class gap is this wide, the dead draw becomes a headwind rather than a dealbreaker.
DANGER: The 74-perf peak is miles ahead of this field — if she produces it. But 74→39→43→33→51 form says you never know which version turns up. Classic frustrating danger pick.
DANGER: T6 (27.85%) + EP100/Bend100 = she WILL lead through bend 1. The question is whether CS0 catches up with her over 238m. At sprint distance the fade may not fully develop. A genuine each-way threat.
Whitton's second string — will run honestly from T1 rail but 22 points behind the Countess. Could grab third at best.
Best suit in the field by a mile (SM50) but zero competitive form (P0). The trial data is intriguing but not enough to trust at D3 grade. Too many unknowns.
T6 is massively dominant at D3 238m — 27.85% from 237 runs, nearly 10 points above the next best. T3 is the weakest trap here (13.15%), bucking the usual T3 sweet-spot trend at Harlow sprints. D B Whitton 26.92% and D R Jinks 28.57% lead the trainers.
T1:18.26% T2:19.59% T3:13.15% T4:18.73% T5:16.12% T6:27.85%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 238m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.