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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Lavan Jetb 1y 4 | D Mullins — 19% R358 W67 P221 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 37 | 44 (4) | 46 (3) | 50 (4) | 53 (2) | 37 (5) | 64 (1) | - | - | - | - | 25 | 23 | 21 | 18 | 48 | 40 | 1 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Ricos Diamondd 2y 15 | M E Wiley — 19% R532 W102 P272 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 57 | 46 (4) | 43 (5) | 64 (1) | 43 (5) | 43 (5) | 64 (1) | 50 (2) | 55 (1) | 40 (2) | 32 (4) | 38 | 50 | 47 | 40 | 49 | 45 | 4 | 3/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Distant Annieb 3y 25 | D Childs — 12% R258 W31 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 35 | 52 (3) | 43 (5) | 56 (3) | 63 (1) | 50 (3) | 58 (4) | 69 (4) | 61 0 | 54 (4) | - | 23 | 22 | 20 | 18 | 55 | 38 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Silver Sandsb 3y 16 | P W Young — 17% R1258 W213 P679 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 54 | 53 (3) | 51 (2) | 41 (5) | 34 (5) | 56 (3) | 45 (6) | 31 (5) | 49 (6) | 77 (1) | 46 (5) | 29 | 31 | 10 | 15 | 48 | 44 | 3 | 15/8F | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Bowmers Kingd 2y 26 | P W Young — 17% R1258 W213 P679 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 51 | 43 (5) | 52 (3) | 58 (2) | 60 (2) | 52 (3) | 51 (4) | 69 (2) | 56 (3) | 64 (3) | 51 (5) | 24 | 29 | 16 | 19 | 54 | 41 | 2 | 2/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bowmers King | 24.31 | 24.64 | 24.96 | 55 | +0.65 | ||
| 4 | Silver Sands | 24.41 | 24.88 | 24.65 | 54 | +0.24 | ||
| 3 | Distant Annie | 24.49 | 24.71 | 24.74 | 54 | +0.25 | trial sharpener | |
| 2 | Ricos Diamond | 24.46 | 24.86 | 24.90 | 49 | +0.44 | ||
| 1 | Lavan Jet | 24.52 | 24.82 | 25.01 | 47 | +0.49 | Model pick |
Bowmers King has the fastest recorded time in this field and tends to race wide from trap six, while Ricos Diamond and Lavan Jet both sit up on the rails from traps two and one. Lavan Jet has been a slow starter in his most recent outing, which is a concern given he needs to be up with that rail battle rather than making ground from off the pace. Silver Sands and Distant Annie both work through the middle of the track. If the rail runners can cross over cleanly and avoid getting shuffled back early, the shape of this race could come down to whoever holds that inside line longest.
Consistent without winning recently, finishing in the frame a couple of times from his last five starts. He's been slow away in his most recent run, which over this trip leaves little time to recover, though he sticks to the rails once he's up and running. The one box shares the best win rate of any trap here, which is the clearest thing in his favour, and his trainer's record in these conditions is respectable. He's the slowest of this field on the clock, his last outing well behind his own best time, which is the biggest question mark against him. Top of the ratings but the data underneath raises questions — the slow-starting habit and modest clock times sit awkwardly against the best draw in the race.
Won last time out after a run of modest placings, and that win came at a tougher level than today's, so the class drop is a genuine positive. A 30% career winner from twenty starts is an exceptional strike rate to bring into a race like this. The two box shares the best win rate of any trap here at roughly one in five, and her trainer has the strongest record in these conditions of anyone in the field, clear of the rest including the pick. She isn't the fastest on the clock but sits mid-pack rather than at the back, and she races from the rails which suits the draw. The most dangerous runner in this race on the data — the class drop, the trainer form and the career strike rate all point the same way.
Dropping down after racing in tougher company recently, where the form was moderate rather than sharp. His trainer's record in these conditions is solid, around one in five, but the four box hasn't been especially productive at this track and grade. He races through the middle of the track and is among the quicker dogs here on the clock, not far off the fastest recorded time in the field. The class drop offers some encouragement but the recent form doesn't scream imminent improvement. Respected on the clock even if the ratings don't have him among the leading pair.
Modest recent form with a mix of minor placings rather than wins, though he's never finished outside the top half of the field either. He holds the fastest recorded time in this race by a clear margin, and his trainer has a decent record in these conditions. The trouble is the draw — the six box has been one of the weaker performers at this track, grade and trip, and he tends to drift wide when he goes for his pace, costing ground on the bends. The fastest dog in the race on the clock, but the outside draw is a real obstacle to using that speed.
Modest recent form on paper, but there's a trial signal to note — she clocked a time over four-tenths faster than her recent race average, suggesting more improvement in hand than the bare form line shows. She races through the middle of the track and matches the second-fastest recorded time in this field. Her trainer's record in these conditions is the weakest of this group, which is the clearest concern against her. The trial form is the case for backing an upgrade; the trainer record is the case against. One for the notebook rather than a confident play.
Key insight: Trap one and trap two share the best win rate here at roughly 22%, against just 15% from trap five — a genuine structural edge, and the pick occupies the very best of those boxes.
Trap one and trap two both around 22%, trap five weakest at 15% — a meaningful spread
1,855 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Lavan Jet | 34 | 100 | Closer |
2Ricos Diamond | 52 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Distant Annie | 84 | 0 | Fader |
4Silver Sands | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
6Bowmers King | 48 | 80 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 400m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (400m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 400m | 491m | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lavan Jet | 0.620 | — |
| 2 | Ricos Diamond | 0.621 | — |
| 3 | Distant Annie | 0.618 | 0.605 |
| 4 | Silver Sands | 0.622 | — |
| 6 | Bowmers King | 0.616 | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.