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BARK AND DASH STAKES
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Orange Camillab 2y 14 | M E Westwood — 16% R257 W41 P139 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 49 | 33 (5) | 41 (2) | 44 (1) | 34 (3) | 39 (2) | 44 (2) | 32 (4) | 20 (6) | 22 (6) | 27 (6) | 41 | 40 | 31 | 31 | 36 | 41 | 5 | 10/11F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Velvet Kaelab 1y | D K Hurlock — 19% R893 W174 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | - | 38 | 2 | 14/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Fire Knotb 1y 25 | B Doyle — 13% R218 W29 P110 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 50 | 41 (3) | 26 (6) | 45 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | 5 | - | - | 37 | 27 | 1 | 9/4 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ El Regresod 3y 14 | M E Wiley — 19% R532 W102 P272 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 57 | 46 (1) | 24 (5) | 28 (4) | 33 (3) | 38 (2) | 30 (6) | 27 (5) | 51 (5) | 26 (1) | - | 33 | 18 | 27 | 28 | 34 | 47 | 3 | 10/3 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Cowboy Terryd 3y 8 | D K Hurlock — 19% R893 W174 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 45 | 45 (1) | 28 (4) | 58 (1) | 42 (4) | 52 (2) | 48 (2) | 38 (4) | 40 (4) | 43 (3) | 46 (3) | 25 | 20 | 12 | 36 | 44 | 43 | 4 | 8/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | El Regreso | 24.54 | 25.11 | 24.77 | 57 | +0.23 | ||
| 6 | Cowboy Terry | 24.74 | 25.18 | 24.90 | 50 | +0.16 | ||
| 1 | Orange Camilla | 24.77 | 25.12 | 25.26 | 46 | +0.49 | ||
| 4 | Fire Knot | 24.91 | 25.14 | 25.03 | 46 | +0.12 | Model pick, best draw | |
| 3 | Velvet Kaela | No recorded race form at all — only a recent stewards trial to go on. | — | No 400m form recorded — trial only, times not comparable | ||||
El Regreso has made all in his recent starts from a wide-ish draw and holds the fastest recorded time in this field, so he'll look to cross over early. Fire Knot has early pace of his own from the best-performing box in this contest, and Orange Camilla sticks to the rails from trap one. Velvet Kaela is the wildcard here with no recorded race form to go on. If El Regreso's speed gets him into an uncontested lead, he's the one to catch; if Fire Knot can match him for the first fifty yards from the favoured draw, the class drop could tell late.
Limited form to go on — only three recorded runs, all at tougher grades than today's, finishing third, sixth and third. Drops in company here after that experience at the sharper end, a genuine positive even on a small sample. He occupies the best-performing trap at this track, grade and trip by a clear margin, and has early pace of his own from the middle of the track. His trainer's record in these conditions is one of the weakest in this field, which is a real concern given how thin the rest of his profile is. Top of the ratings largely on the strength of the draw and the class drop rather than a settled body of form — the trainer record and small sample size mean this isn't a fully convincing case.
Won last time out after a run of moderate finishes, and he steps up in company after that success at a weaker level, a fair test of where he stands now. He holds the outright fastest recorded time in this field and has made all in his recent runs, tending to drift wide from the middle of the track when he goes for his lead. His trainer's record in these conditions is a touch better than the pick's, and while his own trap isn't the strongest draw here, his raw pace is the standout factor. The most dangerous runner in this race on the data — the fastest clock in the field and a slight trainer edge over the pick.
Arrives without a single recorded race, so a conventional assessment isn't possible here. There is a stewards-required trial from a week ago, finishing third from this same trap, which at least confirms she can be raced safely, but it offers little guide to her competitive ability against this field. Her trainer's record in these conditions is modest. The market will know considerably more than the form book on this one — worth watching for any significant move in the betting closer to the off. A speculative interest at best, with the trial the only guide available.
Won twice from his last five starts and steps up in grade after the most recent of those, a genuine test of his level. He tends to race wide and has shown he can fight for the lead late, doing so in his last outing. His trainer's record in these conditions is respectable, similar to the pick's. He's second-fastest in this field on the clock, not far off El Regreso. Respected by the ratings, with the recent wins and useful pace figures both supporting the case.
Consistent without winning recently, placed in four of her last five starts, a picture of reliability without the finishing touch. She sticks to the rails from the one box, a sound tactical line, though her trainer's record in these conditions is modest. She's the slowest of this field on the clock, her last outing some way off her own best time. Has it to do on the ratings, with the speed figures the clearest concern against her.
Key insight: The pick sits in trap four, the strongest draw at this track, grade and trip by a clear margin — a genuine structural tailwind for a dog with limited specific form otherwise.
Trap four strongest at 26%, trap two weakest at 17% — a significant spread
1,616 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Orange Camilla | 51 | 44 | All-Rounder |
3Velvet Kaela | — | — | No data |
4Fire Knot | 49 | 53 | All-Rounder |
5El Regreso | 52 | 47 | All-Rounder |
6Cowboy Terry | 44 | 70 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 400m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.