SUNDANCE SASHA CENTENARY RACE
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Sundance Sashab 3y 23 | D K Hurlock — 19% R893 W174 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 45 | 28 (5) | 39 (3) | 42 (2) | 30 (5) | 47 (1) | 39 (2) | 41 (2) | 29 (6) | 27 (5) | 32 (4) | 40 | 32 | 15 | 26 | 36 | 39 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Peteys Queenb 3y 14 | D Childs — 12% R258 W31 P127 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 46 | 46 (2) | 38 (3) | 37 (3) | 42 (3) | 42 (4) | 46 (4) | 26 (6) | 50 (2) | 40 (5) | 43 (4) | 29 | 34 | 7 | 15 | 41 | 44 | 1 | 7/4F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Blackrose Gusd 3y 7 | A Kelly-pilgrim — 15% R218 W33 P99 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 64 | 36 (4) | 45 (1) | 59 (1) | 38 (2) | 20 (6) | 43 (6) | 32 (1) | 18 (3) | - | - | 31 | 35 | 17 | 41 | 39 | 46 | 2 | 10/3 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Ashwood Linksb 2y 5 | M E Westwood — 16% R257 W41 P139 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 47 | 37 (3) | 42 (3) | 41 (3) | 41 (3) | 36 (5) | 37 (4) | 41 (4) | 45 (4) | 46 (4) | 49 (2) | 9 | 14 | - | 4 | 40 | 40 | 3 | 2/1 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Blue Shineb 3y 10 | P W Young — 17% R1258 W213 P679 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 67 | 44 (1) | 35 (3) | 30 (4) | 21 (6) | 28 (6) | 36 (4) | 31 (5) | 46 (2) | 50 (1) | 30 (5) | 31 | 24 | 17 | 25 | 35 | 46 | 5 | 7/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Peteys Queen | 24.59 | 24.93 | 24.82 | 55 | +0.23 | Model pick | |
| 4 | Ashwood Links | 24.66 | 24.89 | 25.11 | 51 | +0.45 | ||
| 6 | Blue Shine | 24.63 | 25.03 | 25.00 | 50 | +0.37 | ||
| 1 | Sundance Sasha | 24.52 | 24.98 | 25.25 | 49 | +0.73 | trial sharpener | |
| 3 | Blackrose Gus | 24.57 | 25.12 | 25.13 | 47 | +0.56 |
Blackrose Gus has early pace from the middle of the track and led for much of his last run, while Peteys Queen works from the rails into the middle too, so those two could set the fractions. Blue Shine tends to drift wide from trap six. Ashwood Links and Sundance Sasha are more patient, middle-and-rails types who need the pace to be there for them late. If Peteys Queen's superior gate speed carries her into the first exchanges, she has the clock to hold on even from the least productive box in this field.
Consistent without winning recently — placed in four of her last five starts but hasn't got her head in front, though she drops in grade today after racing tougher company, a genuine positive. She's the fastest in this field on the clock by a clear margin, which is the headline point in her favour. The two box she's drawn in has been the weakest draw at this track, grade and trip, winning at barely half the rate of the best box, and that's a real structural negative to overcome. Her trainer's record in these conditions is modest too. The ratings favour this one on raw pace and the class drop, though the poor draw and modest trainer record mean the case isn't completely watertight.
Placed twice from his last five with a win in there too, and he steps up in company after that success at the level below, so today asks more of him. He has early pace and led for much of his last outing before being run down late, showing he's not afraid to go forward. His trainer's record in these conditions is modest. He's the slowest of this field on the clock, some way behind the pace-setters, which is the clearest concern given how the leaders here are drawn. Has it to do on the ratings and the speed figures back up that assessment.
Won last time out but the form before that was mixed, including a couple of finishes near the back. He steps up in grade after that recent win, a fair test of his level. His trainer has the strongest record in these conditions of anyone in this race, over one in five. He holds the outright fastest recorded time in this field but tends to drift wide, which at a track with plenty of wide running costs ground. His own trap hasn't been especially productive either. The trainer angle and raw speed make a case, but the wide-running tendency is a genuine obstacle over this trip.
Remarkably consistent, placing in every one of his last five starts without quite winning one, a place-getter through and through. He occupies the best-performing trap at this track, grade and trip by a clear margin, a genuine structural plus. His trainer's record in these conditions is modest, and he's second-fastest in this field on the clock, not far off the pick. The best draw in the race combined with rock-solid consistency makes him a small watch, even without a recent win to point to. Could easily figure given the draw and the level of consistency on show.
Modest recent form with a win tucked into a run of lesser placings, no clear pattern. There's a trial signal to note though — a clocking well over half a second faster than her recent race average, a significant jump, albeit a few months old now. She sticks to the rails from the one box, a sound tactical line, and her trainer's record in these conditions is modest. She's toward the back of this field on the clock, her last outing well off her own best time. One for the notebook given the trial signal, but the recent running lines and modest speed figures are hard to overlook.
Key insight: Trap two, the pick's own box, has been the weakest draw at this track, grade and trip — winning at barely half the rate of trap four. Her raw speed advantage has to overcome a genuine structural negative.
Trap four strongest at 26%, trap two weakest at 17% — a significant spread
1,616 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Sundance Sasha | 46 | 58 | Closer |
2Peteys Queen | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Blackrose Gus | 67 | 0 | Fader |
4Ashwood Links | 46 | 66 | Closer |
6Blue Shine | 64 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 400m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.