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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Grouchos Linksb 1y 23 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | - | 36 (4) | 39 (4) | 20 (5) | 31 (1) | 30 (1) | 45 (3) | 28 (5) | 54 (1) | 35 (4) | 41 (3) | 23 | 19 | 12 | 8 | 38 | 31 | 3 | 6/1 | |
| 2 | ▶ Ruffian Flossb 1y 25 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | - | 28 (5) | 58 (1) | 43 (3) | 58 (2) | 33 (1) | 28 (2) | 27 (2) | - | - | - | 61 | 51 | 18 | 50 | 27 | 36 | 1 | 1/1F | |
| 3 | ▶ Tommys Lightb 2y 16 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 36 (1) | 21 (5) | 30 (2) | 25 (4) | 36 (1) | 26 (2) | 30 (1) | 25 (2) | 26 (3) | 22 (3) | 59 | 40 | 32 | 44 | 25 | 33 | 2 | 6/5 | |
| 4 | ▶ Broken Missesb 3y 14 | S A Birks — 16% R217 W35 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 11 (5) | 20 (5) | 17 (5) | 26 (3) | 23 (4) | 18 (5) | 18 (5) | 18 (5) | 18 (5) | 30 (1) | 47 | 25 | 9 | 10 | 20 | 23 | 5 | 7/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Zena On Fire b 3y 15 | M Haythorne — 19% R83 W16 P40 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | - | 20 (5) | 16 (6) | 19 (5) | 19 (5) | 25 (3) | 21 (5) | 24 (3) | 19 (5) | 20 (5) | 21 (4) | 36 | 24 | 23 | 20 | 21 | 23 | 4 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Mustang Miled 3yN/R 7 | S Watson — 31% R414 W128 P292 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 84 | - | 91 (2) | 48 (1) | 44 (2) | 37 (4) | 38 (1) | 37 (3) | 40 (4) | 43 (2) | 35 (1) | - | 64 | 71 | - | 47 | 40 | 47 | - | - | |
Zena On Fire is the model's projected winner but it is hard to build a strong case based on recent form. Her last D4 outing produced a fifth-place finish in a slow 18.07 seconds, and her earlier D4 effort was also a fifth. She did place second in a trial two runs ago, which was her best recent effort. Drawn in a neutral position at trap 5, she needs to improve markedly on her open-race form to justify the projection. The one positive is that her trial form suggests there may be more to come, and the field is generally weak which gives her a chance by default.
Consistent D4 form, won from this box last time, and second-best structural draw — the obvious danger if the class dropper fails to fire.
D1 form, the fastest times in the field by a country mile, and the most dominant trap position — the analysis strongly suggests he is the one to beat despite the model's projection going elsewhere.
No recent sprint form and no draw advantage — hard to see how he gets involved against speedier types.
Showed promise when second last time but drawn in the weakest position and still very inexperienced — needs more time.
Strong draw but terrible recent form with three consecutive poor efforts — would need a dramatic reversal to feature.
T6 dominates at 35.2% and Mustang Mile — a class dropper from D1 — is drawn there. This is an overwhelming convergence of class and structure. The model's pick (Zena On Fire, T5) is drawn in a neutral position with far inferior form.
T1:17.8% T2:16.2% T3:27.5% T4:24.1% T5:20.0% T6:35.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.