| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Calgray Flyerd 3y 6 | S A Birks — 16% R217 W35 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | 41 | 49 (2) | 45 (4) | 45 (3) | 41 (4) | 48 (3) | 58 (1) | 48 (3) | 39 (4) | 15 (3) | 47 (2) | 29 | 28 | 28 | 21 | 39 | 34 | 4 | 6/5F | |
| 3 | ▶ Tommys Ruthb 1y 13 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 50 | 42 (3) | 58 (1) | 34 (4) | 57 (1) | 33 (3) | 27 (5) | 38 (4) | 46 (3) | 43 (2) | 47 (2) | 30 | 34 | 28 | 39 | 48 | 43 | 3 | 6/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Ballymac Nellieb 3y 16 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 53 | 34 (5) | 32 (5) | 41 (4) | 33 (5) | 33 (4) | 35 (4) | 40 (5) | 18 (2) | 57 (1) | 57 (1) | 46 | 35 | 25 | 56 | 38 | 41 | 2 | 5/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Task Maverickb 2y 6 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 45 | 51 | 40 (3) | 42 (3) | 44 (2) | 41 (2) | 32 (4) | 45 (3) | 36 (4) | 55 (1) | 36 (4) | 30 (5) | 27 | 24 | 28 | 24 | 39 | 34 | 5 | 8/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Grouchos Smasherb 1y 4 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 50 | 51 | 37 (4) | 60 (1) | 41 (4) | 52 (2) | 59 (1) | 57 (1) | 56 (1) | 39 (3) | 31 (4) | 32 (4) | 42 | 31 | 18 | 33 | 43 | 40 | 1 | 9/2 | |
Grouchos Smasher put in an eyecatching performance last time out, winning at B5 from this very box in 28.69 seconds despite being crowded in the run-in. He took the lead at the second bend and held on through pressure — the hallmark of a dog with both pace and determination. His form before that was modest, with a third and fourth, but the style of that last victory suggests he may have turned a corner. He races wide from the stripes, which is typical of trap 6 runners, but Doncaster's fair nature means the wider route is less punishing than it would be at a tighter circuit. Trainer Overton's overall win rate is modest at 14% but this dog looks to be improving.
Drawn in the strongest structural position by far, consistent recent form, and a closing style that suits the fair Doncaster track — a real danger.
Superb recent form and a confirmed front runner, but the weakest structural draw is a genuine concern — needs a clean break to overcome the positional disadvantage.
Good class but trapping and early trouble have been recurring issues — can place if she gets a clean run but hard to trust as a winner.
Capable on his day as the B5 win showed, but inconsistent and needs to lead — unlikely to get the run of the race from this draw.
Normal composite separation (12.1pp). Trap 3 is clearly dominant at 28.9% — nearly double expected rate. The pick is drawn in T6 which has a decent 22.1% rate.
T1:20.2% T2:22.8% T3:28.9% T4:17.3% T5:19.1% T6:22.1%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 450m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Calgray Flyer | 47 | 100 | Closer |
3Tommys Ruth | 5 | 100 | Closer |
4Ballymac Nellie | 59 | 0 | Fader |
5Task Maverick | 52 | 31 | All-Rounder |
6Grouchos Smasher | 50 | 50 | All-Rounder |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.