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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Manx Saskiab 4y 15 | S J L Lapidge — 18% R320 W56 P187 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 25 (4) | 22 (5) | 29 (4) | 27 (4) | 27 (4) | 33 (3) | 27 (4) | 25 (5) | 30 (4) | 28 (4) | 39 | 34 | 39 | 32 | 31 | 32 | 3 | 15/8 | |
| 2 | ▶ Grouchos Davyd 1y 4 | J M Windrass — 18% R28 W5 P23 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | - | 36 (3) | 70 (3) | 42 (1) | 75 (2) | 36 (2) | 34 (2) | 21 (5) | 33 (2) | 36 (1) | 35 (1) | 57 | 67 | 28 | 61 | 31 | 42 | 1 | 6/4F | |
| 3 | ▶ Goulane Aceb 4y 34 | S A Birks — 16% R217 W35 P124 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | - | 47 (2) | 60 (1) | 61 (4) | 67 (2) | 61 (2) | 26 (5) | 76 (1) | 29 (5) | 28 (3) | 37 (1) | 53 | 42 | 31 | 40 | 35 | 39 | 2 | 4/1 | |
| 5 | ▶ Flosses Pradab 2y 16 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 34 (2) | 31 (2) | 39 (1) | 28 (4) | 29 (4) | 27 (3) | 37 (5) | 30 (1) | 23 (3) | - | 56 | 35 | - | 31 | 27 | 32 | 4 | 9/2 | |
| 6 | ▶ Ruffian Roundyb 3y 4 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | - | 35 (2) | 41 (1) | 26 (5) | 35 (2) | 28 (5) | 29 (5) | 41 (1) | 26 (4) | 34 (2) | 29 (4) | 38 | 32 | 20 | 31 | 29 | 31 | 5 | 6/1 | |
Ruffian Roundy is the projected winner but it is fair to say her recent form gives cause for concern. Her last D2 outing from this box produced only a fourth-place finish despite breaking quickly, and the form line before that was a second at T3 level which is weaker company. She has placed from this box before, finishing second twice from the stripes at D2 level earlier in the year, and she does break smartly which matters at 275 metres. The pace is there on her day, but she needs things to fall right and the form trajectory has been on a downward curve.
Won well at D3, has raced at A2, and drawn in a strong-performing box — the principal danger with the best blend of class and draw.
Lightly raced at this grade but last time speed figure was the best in this field by some margin — genuine contender if she handles the class rise.
Structurally well drawn but form is poor and trapping has been slow — hard to back with confidence despite the rail advantage.
In decent enough form with a capable trainer, but the draw is against him and the inconsistency makes him hard to trust.
Low separation between top-ranked dogs (4.3pp gap R1 vs R3). Trap position is a stronger signal than composite ranking here. T1 and T5 are structurally favoured.
T1:26.0% T2:19.2% T3:23.5% T4:18.1% T5:24.2% T6:20.3%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.