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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 2 | ▶ Skilled Warriord 3y 14 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 28 | - | 43 (3) | 36 (4) | 39 (4) | 30 (5) | 32 (5) | 12 (5) | 30 (1) | 23 (3) | 10 (5) | 20 (3) | 34 | 32 | 20 | 35 | 20 | 25 | 5 | 16/1 | |
| 3 | ▶ Devon Luckyd 2y 36 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | - | 56 (1) | 45 (3) | 47 (2) | 36 (1) | 24 (3) | 26 (4) | 24 (1) | 31 (1) | 21 (4) | 27 (2) | 38 | 39 | 42 | 44 | 24 | 30 | 4 | 7/4 | |
| 4 | ▶ Grouchos Badgerd 1y 7 | R J Overton — 18% R320 W56 P190 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | - | 35 (2) | 28 (4) | 53 (5) | 52 (5) | 31 (2) | 37 (1) | 31 (1) | - | - | - | 41 | 35 | 30 | 35 | 31 | 33 | 1 | 6/5F | |
| 5 | ▶ Nellys Fairyb 3y 13 | D Calvert — 17% R545 W93 P315 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 53 | - | 25 (3) | 29 (2) | 20 (5) | 24 (3) | 21 (4) | 26 (2) | 26 (2) | 18 (5) | 18 (5) | 24 (3) | 51 | 43 | 30 | 24 | 23 | 29 | 2 | 6/1 | |
| 6 | ▶ Railteen Sarahb 4y 25 | C A Williams — 15% R362 W53 P183 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 48 | - | 21 (5) | 30 (1) | 22 (4) | 28 (2) | 24 (2) | 23 (3) | 26 (6) | 17 (3) | 25 (5) | - | 48 | 41 | 64 | 44 | 26 | 32 | 3 | 5/2 | |
Nellys Fairy is the model's projection but her form gives little reason for confidence. She placed second last time showing some early pace and having a clear run, but her two previous runs were both fifths with bumping and trouble noted. Her average performance is modest for even D4 level, and the pace figures in the low 50s and 60s are unremarkable. Drawn in a neutral position at trap 5, she does not have a structural edge to rely on. The one positive is that her second-place effort last time was her best recent run, and she may be improving. In a weak field, a dog coming into form has a chance.
Won from this box last time, structurally the second-best draw, and showed genuine pace — the principal danger.
Won all the way on debut from a strong structural draw — still an unknown quantity but the evidence from that victory was impressive.
Best structural draw on the card at 35.2%, recent win from this box, and consistent recent form — a genuine danger who could easily win.
Last run was unrepresentative but drawn in the weakest position — capable of better but faces a structural headwind.
T6 dominates at 35.2% and Railteen Sarah has a recent win from that box. T3 is very strong at 27.5% and Devon Lucky just won from T3. The pick (Nellys Fairy, T5) is in a neutral position.
T1:17.8% T2:16.2% T3:27.5% T4:24.1% T5:20.0% T6:35.2%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 275m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.