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greyhoundtrader.com Stakes - Heat 4
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Class | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Rating | Comp | Pred | SP | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | |||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Venetian Mickd 2y 17 | K R Hutton — 27% R121 W33 P72 Trainer form — last 3 months | 58 | 42 | 94 (1) | 57 (6) | 74 (6) | 100 (1) | 86 (3) | 100 (1) | 100 (1) | 73 (4) | 75 (4) | 79 (2) | 6 | 33 | 59 | 14 | 82 | 54 | 1 | 6/4F | ||
| 2 | ▶ Salacres Awyrb 2y 14 | P H Harnden — 18% R387 W70 P220 Trainer form — last 3 months | 45 | 32 | 78 (2) | 67 (2) | 34 (3) | 30 (5) | 26 (6) | 42 (1) | 73 (2) | 58 (3) | 89 (1) | 51 (4) | 25 | 34 | - | 51 | 55 | 44 | 3 | 16/1 | ||
| 3 | ▶ Ballymac Odind 3y 5 | L B Pruhs — 14% R108 W15 P64 Trainer form — last 3 months | 56 | 52 | 62 (3) | 65 (5) | 66 (4) | 91 (1) | 58 (5) | 67 (4) | 60 (4) | 52 (5) | 63 (4) | 47 (3) | 32 | 35 | 39 | 24 | 65 | 52 | 2 | 2/1 | ||
| 4 | ▶ Zenith Quincyd 3y 25 | K Billingham-hine — 19% R576 W107 P325 Trainer form — last 3 months | 32 | 65 | 81 (1) | 60 (4) | 67 (3) | 59 (4) | 74 (2) | 82 (1) | 56 (4) | 74 (2) | 74 (3) | 55 (6) | 4 | 8 | - | 23 | 69 | 36 | 5 | 40/1 | ||
| 5 | ▶ Uncle Freddied 4y 27 | R P Rees — 23% R132 W30 P73 Trainer form — last 3 months | 47 | 85 | 79 (2) | 60 (5) | 66 (3) | 92 (1) | 81 (2) | 64 (5) | 75 (6) | 73 (2) | 69 (3) | - | 19 | 14 | 16 | 26 | 71 | 31 | 6 | 4/1 | ||
| 6 | ▶ Droopys Dettorid 2y 33 | M L Locke — 22% R286 W63 P167 Trainer form — last 3 months | 53 | 52 | 65 (4) | 91 (1) | 58 (4) | 91 (1) | 80 (2) | 61 (3) | 65 (3) | 70 (2) | 86 (3) | - | 39 | 10 | 12 | 9 | 74 | 46 | 4 | 10/3 | ||
This is a bold pick from the widest draw, but the reasoning is sound. This dog has the fastest early pace in the heat by a clear margin, with a pace profile that screams front-runner — he wants to lead and lead hard. His Central Park form is outstanding with two wins from three in OR company, and his previous Towcester run produced a creditable third in an OR race from trap 5 where he went very wide at the second bend but still finished strongly. The key is his raw gate speed. At Towcester in OR grade, the first dog to the bend wins the race, and despite the trap 6 draw his early pace is so superior to the rest of this field that he has a genuine chance of crossing to the rail and leading into the first turn. His adjusted time of 29.36 here was competitive and he ran a strong 29.45 adjusted in March from trap 5 despite going very wide. The Locke kennel has a strong record and knows this track well. In the most open heat of the three, the dog with the most decisive early speed gets the nod, even from a disadvantaged draw.
The draw is his saving grace but he was beaten last time at this distance and his closing style over longer trips may not translate to the sharp 500m here.
Course specialist with proven ability to lead here, but the trap 3 draw is a genuine negative and his inconsistency from the boxes is a recurring worry.
Capable at this distance as her placed A2 efforts show, but needs the pace to collapse ahead of her and may find this OR grade too hot.
Graded winner elsewhere stepping into OR company with limited Towcester form and the slowest adjusted times in the field — tough assignment.
Best first-bend figures in the field but earned elsewhere — needs to prove those translate to Towcester from a poor trap 5 draw on debut.
In OR grade at Towcester 500m, first-bend position is the dominant factor. Bend rank 1 wins at 34.5%, massively outperforming other metrics. Inside traps (T1/T2) combine for over 42% of wins. The most open heat of the three, making first-bend fortune even more critical.
T1:22.0% T2:20.3% T3:16.7% T4:19.8% T5:16.5% T6:17.6%
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 500m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Venetian Mick | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Salacres Awyr | 39 | 73 | Closer |
3Ballymac Odin | 61 | 27 | Fader |
4Zenith Quincy | 24 | 100 | Closer |
5Uncle Freddie | 80 | 0 | Fader |
6Droopys Dettori | 100 | 0 | Fader |
How consistent is each dog? Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.