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UNDER THE ROMFORD LIGHTS
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Conans Jadeb 2y 6 | P W Young — 17% R1258 W213 P679 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 22 | 32 (3) | 44 (2) | 51 (2) | 38 (4) | 43 (3) | 25 (6) | 37 (6) | 36 (5) | 53 (3) | 26 (5) | 28 | 26 | - | 36 | 41 | 39 | 5 | 8/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Dege Premierblued 4y 24 | D Mullins — 19% R358 W67 P221 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 54 | 36 | 32 (2) | 27 (6) | 44 (1) | 33 (2) | 57 (1) | 42 (4) | 41 (2) | 40 (2) | 35 (2) | 21 (5) | 32 | 31 | - | 45 | 37 | 44 | 3 | 5/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Bubbly Blackbirdd 3y 7 | P W Young — 17% R1258 W213 P679 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 54 | 43 (3) | 38 (3) | 38 (2) | 31 (3) | 37 (3) | 54 (4) | 34 (4) | 33 (4) | 38 (4) | 49 (3) | 16 | 27 | - | 13 | 38 | 44 | 2 | 6/4F | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Aghadown Mistb 3y 6 | G E Evans — 19% R277 W53 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 31 | 49 | 24 (5) | 44 (2) | 39 (2) | 33 (4) | 40 (3) | 43 (4) | 49 (2) | 23 (5) | 40 (3) | 35 (4) | 19 | 21 | - | 21 | 36 | 30 | 6 | 10/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Don Rodrigod 2y 5 | M E Wiley — 19% R532 W102 P272 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 42 | 64 | 26 (5) | 23 (6) | 40 (2) | 25 (5) | 24 (5) | 22 (6) | 45 (1) | 67 (4) | 50 (5) | 39 (2) | 23 | 22 | - | 22 | 32 | 39 | 4 | 5/2 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Notorious Sueb 2y 5 | D W Lee — 25% R233 W58 P140 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 55 | 51 | 38 (3) | 42 (2) | 29 (5) | 41 (2) | 30 (5) | 60 (5) | 34 (2) | 27 (5) | 29 (5) | 57 (1) | 28 | 26 | - | 28 | 38 | 48 | 1 | 7/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conans Jade | 24.86 | 25.33 | 25.12 | 46 | +0.26 | Highest avg perf | |
| 2 | Dege Premierblue | 24.69 | 25.08 | 25.06 | 54 | +0.37 | Best trap + C&D | |
| 3 | Bubbly Blackbird | 24.82 | 25.04 | 25.12 | 52 | +0.30 | Weak C&D record | |
| 4 | Aghadown Mist | 24.92 | 25.35 | 26.04 | 31 | +1.12 | Worst trap+slowest | |
| 5 | Don Rodrigo | 24.80 | 25.25 | 25.54 | 42 | +0.74 | Fades, weak trap | |
| 6 | Notorious Sue | 24.64 | 25.08 | 25.09 | 55 | +0.45 | Model pick |
Romford's tight 400-metre circuit generally rewards early pace and trap position — trap one wins around one in five overall — but tonight's A12 grade turns that formbook on its head: trap two has been a runaway leader in this grade, winning almost a quarter of the time from well over 200 runs, while trap four has been almost unwinnable at this level. This is a genuinely weak grade with modest performance figures across the board, so course-and-distance form and trap position carry real weight when the raw ratings are all bunched close together. Several of these dogs are fast-starting types who tend to weaken through the closing bends — the kind of profile this track regularly punishes — so the ones who can sustain their effort into the final bend have the edge.
Draws by far the best-performing trap in this grade — nearly a quarter of A12 winners here have come from trap two — and backs it up with the strongest course-and-distance record in the race, two wins and seven places from ten runs at this exact track and trip. The early pace is sharp but she has tended to lose ground in the closing stages of recent runs, which is a mark against her, though that matters less from a box that gives her the run of the race. On the numbers this is the strongest combination of trap and proven course form in the field.
Rated the model's top pick tonight and matches the fastest recorded times in the field, backed by the best trainer win rate among these six connections. Course-and-distance form is solid too — a win and four places from nine runs at this track and trip. Trap six has been a modest box in this grade rather than a standout, and her pace figures have been inconsistent race to race, but on raw speed and the model's own ranking she's the biggest threat to the selection.
Carries the highest average performance figure in this field and was runner-up last time out, continuing a fairly consistent run of form in the high-30s to low-40s. Draws trap one, a reasonably solid box in this grade though well short of the standout. Hasn't managed a win from seven course-and-distance runs at this track and trip, but three places show she's rarely far away. A workmanlike contender rather than a standout.
Modest recent form in the high-30s and only one place from nine course-and-distance runs at this track and trip — the weakest such record among the leading contenders. Trap three has been a reasonable box in this grade but nothing special. Hard to make a strong case for her tonight.
Draws by far the worst-performing trap in this grade — barely one in eight winners here have come from trap four — and the pace data shows an extreme early-fast, nothing-left profile that this track regularly catches out. Finished fifth last time out and the recent form has been consistently modest throughout. A tough watch from this box tonight.
The lowest average performance figure in the field and another fast-starting type who fades badly in the closing stages. Trap five has been a below-par box in this grade. One win from eight course-and-distance runs is the only real positive, but everything else here points against him tonight.
Key insight: Trap two has been dramatically stronger than any other box in this grade (24.7% from 239 runs) while trap four has been the weakest by some distance (12.7%) — one of the clearest trap splits at any Romford grade.
T1:19.6% T2:24.7% T3:19.9% T4:12.7% T5:14.9% T6:16.7%
1,409 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Conans Jade | 0 | 100 | Closer |
2Dege Premierblue | 100 | 17 | Fader |
3Bubbly Blackbird | 0 | 83 | Closer |
4Aghadown Mist | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Don Rodrigo | 100 | 0 | Fader |
6Notorious Sue | 0 | 100 | Closer |
Only runs at exactly 400m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (400m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 225m | 400m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Conans Jade | — | 0.634 | 0.649 |
| 2 | Dege Premierblue | — | 0.627 | — |
| 3 | Bubbly Blackbird | — | 0.626 | 0.637 |
| 4 | Aghadown Mist | — | 0.634 | — |
| 5 | Don Rodrigo | 0.629 | 0.631 | — |
| 6 | Notorious Sue | — | 0.627 | 0.641 |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.