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FROM TRAPS TO TRIUMPH STAKES
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Orange Camillab 2y 15 | M E Westwood — 16% R257 W41 P139 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 52 | 47 | 33 (3) | 41 (2) | 44 (1) | 34 (3) | 39 (2) | 44 (2) | 32 (4) | 20 (6) | 22 (6) | 27 (6) | 42 | 41 | 30 | 36 | 37 | 46 | 3 | 7/2 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Public Reactiond 3y 11 | K M O'flaherty — 20% R340 W67 P185 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 58 | 50 | 50 (1) | 45 (2) | 38 (2) | 47 (1) | 32 (2) | 39 (3) | 38 (2) | 25 (6) | 40 (2) | 39 (3) | 32 | 31 | 28 | 46 | 40 | 51 | 1 | 15/8 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Noreason Jessb 2y 4 | T Batchelor — 17% R103 W17 P55 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 51 | 36 | 34 (5) | 49 (1) | 46 (1) | 40 (2) | 33 (4) | 34 (4) | 58 (1) | 53 (2) | 29 (5) | 28 (5) | 33 | 32 | 22 | 41 | 41 | 45 | 2 | 9/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Riverside Miland 2y 34 | G E Evans — 19% R277 W53 P144 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 46 | 52 | 37 (6) | 31 (4) | 35 (5) | 54 (5) | 46 (1) | 30 (2) | 47 (4) | - | - | - | 2 | 31 | 24 | 23 | 39 | 15 | 5 | 1/1F | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Pricey Emmab 2y 7 | D K Hurlock — 19% R893 W174 P493 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 49 | 54 | 21 (6) | 38 (2) | 35 (4) | 45 (1) | 23 (6) | 35 (4) | 42 (2) | 36 (4) | 30 (5) | 31 (5) | 28 | 23 | 20 | 31 | 36 | 44 | 4 | 14/1 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Orange Camilla | 24.72 | 25.06 | 24.77 | 52 | +0.05 | Good place rate | |
| 2 | Public Reaction | 24.62 | 24.87 | 24.70 | 58 | +0.08 | Fastest, 7 places/10 | |
| 3 | Noreason Jess | 24.73 | 24.97 | 24.95 | 51 | +0.22 | Best C&D record | |
| 4 | Riverside Milan | 24.58 | 25.11 | 25.27 | 46 | +0.69 | Best trap, long layoff | |
| 5 | Pricey Emma | 24.67 | 25.05 | 24.99 | 49 | +0.32 | Second-best trap |
Trap four has been a big source of winners in this A10 grade, running at close to 26% from around 300 runs, with trap five also strong — but trap two, the box of tonight's likely pace-setter, has actually been the weakest on raw trap data. That's the interesting tension in this race: Public Reaction is the fastest dog in the field by a distance and has been desperately unlucky not to win more, with seven places from her last ten course-and-distance runs here. The trap disadvantage is real, but the speed, placing record and trainer form look strong enough to outweigh it.
The fastest dog in this field by some distance, and the placing record backs it up emphatically — seven places from ten course-and-distance runs at this exact track and trip, even if the wins have been harder to come by. A versatile, sustainable pace type rather than a one-paced runner. Trainer K M O'Flaherty carries the best career win rate of any connections in this race at 30%. Trap two has been the weakest box in this grade on raw numbers, but the speed and placing record look strong enough to overcome that.
An excellent course-and-distance record — three wins and five places from ten runs at this exact track and trip, an 80% place rate. A genuine finisher who saves everything for the closing stages. Fifth last time out was a modest effort, but the underlying record here is hard to ignore. The clearest danger to the selection.
A modest average performance figure but a solid strike rate for places — five from ten course-and-distance runs at this track and trip, though only the one win among them. Runner-up last time out. Trap one is a reasonable box in this grade. Competitive without being the standout.
Draws by far the best-performing trap in this grade, winning over a quarter of the time from around 300 runs — the standout structural factor in this race. The concern is fitness: she hasn't raced since the start of April, well over three months ago, which is a significant layoff to overcome fresh tonight. Interesting on the draw alone, but the absence from racing is a real unknown.
Draws the second-strongest trap in this grade. Form has been modest, with the lowest average performance figure in the field, though she was runner-up last time out. One win and three places from ten course-and-distance runs at this track and trip. Competitive on the draw but needs more from the form to be a confident selection.
Key insight: Trap four has been the standout box in this grade (25.7% from 296 runs) with trap five also strong (22.5%), while trap two lags at 16.7% — a large structural spread for this grade.
T1:19.1% T2:16.7% T3:17.5% T4:25.7% T5:22.5% T6:17.1%
1,600 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 400m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Orange Camilla | 45 | 55 | Closer |
2Public Reaction | 52 | 50 | All-Rounder |
3Noreason Jess | 33 | 100 | Closer |
4Riverside Milan | 50 | 28 | All-Rounder |
5Pricey Emma | 50 | 39 | All-Rounder |
Only runs at exactly 400m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.