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| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ King Cobaind 2yREP 36 | G Andreas — 14% R250 W36 P120 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 37 | 48 | 50 (4) | 20 (6) | 22 (6) | 31 (2) | 23 (5) | 29 (3) | 23 (6) | 30 (2) | 21 (5) | 38 (6) | 16 | 13 | - | - | 44 | 28 | 5 | 6/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Relevanced 3yREP 7 | B D O'sullivan — 20% R497 W100 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 62 | 45 | 55 (3) | 67 (2) | 74 (1) | 55 (2) | 61 (3) | 62 (4) | 51 (4) | 63 (3) | 66 (2) | 73 (2) | 12 | 37 | 44 | 37 | 62 | 53 | 1 | 13/8F | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Rydons Rangerd 5yREP 16 | K A Schimmefennig — 11% R64 W7 P32 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 57 | 50 | 45 (6) | 47 (5) | 33 (6) | 66 (2) | 38 (6) | 67 (2) | 49 (5) | 76 (1) | 63 (2) | 62 (3) | 26 | 24 | 20 | 25 | 51 | 50 | 3 | 7/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Harlequin Windyb 4yREP 37 | B D O'sullivan — 20% R497 W100 P283 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 43 | 51 | 65 (1) | 33 (6) | 42 (6) | 42 (5) | 64 (3) | 46 (2) | 42 (4) | 35 (6) | 36 (5) | - | 28 | 16 | 6 | 21 | 47 | 35 | 6 | 11/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Peakys Dollb 3yREP 5 | S Mavrias — 16% R217 W34 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 66 | 50 | 53 (5) | 69 (2) | 51 (3) | 64 (2) | 45 (5) | 70 (1) | 47 (2) | 71 (5) | 48 (4) | 59 (4) | 21 | 19 | 22 | 27 | 58 | 54 | 2 | 7/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Barnfield Yvonneb 2yREP 17 | N F Carter — 19% R257 W50 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 44 | 59 | 37 (5) | 47 (5) | 53 (4) | 44 (5) | 25 (5) | 29 (3) | 32 (1) | 49 (5) | 69 (1) | 50 (4) | 23 | 19 | - | 16 | 48 | 39 | 4 | 9/2 | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | One More Tune | 40.35 | 40.83 | 40.51 | 67 | +0.16 | Model pick | |
| 2 | Beach Bar | Steps up from 491m to the marathon trip for the first time at this track — no prior form over 664m here to judge her stamina by. | — | No 664m CP form | ||||
| 3 | Bullseye Bill | 40.62 | 40.62 | 40.62 | 65 | 0.00 | 0 wins from 1 | |
| 4 | Speedy Uso | 40.82 | 41.22 | 41.81 | 32 | +0.99 | 0 wins from 4 | |
| 5 | Glenhead Tom | 40.93 | 41.29 | 41.38 | 36 | +0.45 | 0 wins from 3 | |
| 6 | Hardy Gringo | 41.03 | 41.03 | 41.03 | 45 | 0.00 | 0 wins from 1 | |
This is the marathon trip at Central Park, run over more than double the minimum distance, and stamina and a strong finishing kick matter far more than early speed out of the boxes. Trap data at this exact trip is thin — only 48 runs recorded — so treat the numbers as a lean rather than gospel, but trap 2 has produced the most winners while trap 1 has struggled. Over this kind of distance, dogs who race as closers get more time to work their way into contention than they would at a standard trip, while out-and-out early leaders who fade tend to get reeled in during the long run for home. One More Tune is the most consistent performer in the field and races as a patient closer, which suits the demands of the stay, while Hardy Gringo arrives on the back of a big win at the top grade but does his racing in front and could find the trip searching questions of him. Two others switch up sharply in trip tonight and carry obvious question marks as a result.
The most consistently well-rated dog in the field, with a run of scores in the seventies, eighties and even nineties across her last six starts, and she was only third at exactly this course and distance last time out. Races as a patient closer with no early speed at all, which is exactly the profile that thrives over this marathon trip once the pace up front starts to unwind. Six runs at this course and distance without a win is the one blemish, but two places show she's been competitive and simply needs a bit of luck in running to get her nose in front. The clear form pick on raw ability.
Won at the very top grade over 491m last time out, and his last six runs read as strongly as anything else in this field — he simply hasn't had a bad one recently. The concern is his running style: he leads and fades, which is the type of profile that traditionally struggles to last home over this marathon trip once the sustained pace takes its toll. If the class edge he's shown at a much higher level proves too much for this field regardless, he's the one most likely to spring a shock.
Drawn in the trap that has produced the most winners at this trip, but there's a real question mark hanging over her tonight. She steps up from 491m to this marathon distance for the very first time at this track, and she races as an early leader who typically weakens late — precisely the running style that tends to get worn down over the extra distance. The fastest recorded time in the field, but that was set at a shorter trip and doesn't answer the stamina question.
A strong recent run of form, including a fourth at exactly this course, distance and grade last time out, and among the faster recorded times in this field. Like Beach Bar he leads and tends to fade, which is a risk over this stamina test, but his form has been building nicely across his last few starts and he's shown he handles this specific trip before.
Almost all of his recent starts have come at the minimum sprint trip rather than this marathon distance, and the ratings from those races don't translate directly to a stamina test like tonight's. The slowest recorded time in this field by a distance and no wins from four runs at this course and distance. A pure closer by running style, which at least suits the trip in theory, but the overall picture points to a dog out of his depth here.
Won impressively at the top grade over 491m last time out, but that form doesn't automatically carry over to this much longer marathon trip. Three runs at this course and distance without ever hitting the frame is the concerning part, and he's down in the worst-performing trap at this trip. A talented dog on his day but the evidence here doesn't support more than an each-way interest.
Key insight: Small sample at this marathon trip, but the top-rated dog on the composite score has converted well — 28.6% from 21 runs — while raw speed rating alone has been a weaker guide at just 13.6%. Stamina and finishing effort matter more than early pace over this distance.
T1:11.1% T2:30.0% T3:25.0% T4:18.2% T5:0.0% T6:0.0%
48 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1King Cobain | 50 | 21 | All-Rounder |
2Relevance | 50 | 79 | Closer |
3Rydons Ranger | 57 | 14 | Fader |
4Harlequin Windy | 18 | 100 | Closer |
5Peakys Doll | 0 | 100 | Closer |
6Barnfield Yvonne | 65 | 0 | Fader |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 277m | 491m | 500m | 664m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | King Cobain | 0.618 | 0.624 | — | — |
| 2 | Relevance | — | 0.611 | — | — |
| 3 | Rydons Ranger | — | 0.616 | — | — |
| 4 | Harlequin Windy | — | 0.620 | 0.614 | — |
| 5 | Peakys Doll | — | 0.614 | — | 0.621 |
| 6 | Barnfield Yvonne | 0.612 | 0.619 | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.