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ARC Maiden Trophy
| Trap | Dog | Trainer | Rated | Spd | Bnd | Suitability | Form | Comp | Pred | SP | Bet | ||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 2LR | 3LR | 4LR | 5LR | 6LR | 7LR | 8LR | 9LR | 10LR | Trap | Track | Class | Dist | ||||||||||||
| 1 | ▶ Capel Fortunab 1yREP 11 | A B Gifkins — 0% R6 W0 P1 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 47 | 100 | 64 (5) | 66 (4) | 55 (6) | 56 (5) | - | - | - | - | - | - | 2 | - | - | - | 61 | 42 | 3 | 12/1 | - | |
| 2 | ▶ Front Layyahb 2yREP 33 | S Mavrias — 16% R217 W34 P107 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 0 | 0 | 26 (5) | 64 (1) | 18 (4) | 23 (5) | 23 (5) | 32 (2) | 27 (5) | 17 (2) | 21 (6) | 30 (2) | 39 | 9 | 10 | - | 36 | 11 | 4 | 40/1 | - | |
| 3 | ▶ Imokilly Armintab 1yREP 11 | N F Carter — 19% R257 W50 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | 23 (6) | 30 (3) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 26 | 31 | 5 | 20/1 | - | |
| 4 | ▶ Reagrove Jennyb 1yREP 7 | N F Carter — 19% R257 W50 P134 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 59 | 100 | 90 (1) | 78 (2) | 58 (5) | 85 (1) | 74 (2) | 52 (4) | 57 (5) | 89 (1) | 79 (1) | 77 (1) | 48 | 27 | - | 55 | 75 | 62 | 1 | 3/1 | - | |
| 5 | ▶ Zari Akid 1yREP 11 | A J Tarpley — 31% R13 W4 P6 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | 56 | 0 | 91 (1) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 91 | 49 | 2 | 6/4 | - | |
| 6 | ▶ Annadown Bockod 1yREP 1 | M L Locke — 26% R303 W78 P181 Trainer form — last 3 months | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | 3 | - | - | - | - | 25 | 6 | 5/4F | - | |
AI previews are produced independently of the model projection and may select a different pick.
| Trap | Dog | Best | Avg | Last | Speed | Off best | Notes | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Woodys Banga | 16.49 | 16.76 | 16.49 | 56 | 0.00 | 2 wins from 6 | |
| 2 | Robinsons Clan | 16.48 | 16.81 | 16.99 | 47 | +0.51 | 3 wins from 10 | |
| 3 | Bon Ton Roulet | 16.79 | 16.80 | 16.79 | 46 | 0.00 | 1 win from 2 | |
| 4 | Frankie Fourpaws | 16.52 | 16.70 | — | 51 | — | 2 wins from 9, best trap | |
| 5 | Stophers Trick | 16.72 | 16.90 | 16.72 | 46 | 0.00 | 3 wins from 9 | |
| 6 | Untold Kadena | 16.43 | 16.65 | 16.87 | 53 | +0.44 | Model pick |
Central Park's minimum trip is run on the same tight, difficult-to-negotiate first bend as the rest of the card, and getting across cleanly into that turn matters as much as anything. Trap 4 has been the standout box in this exact grade and trip, winning almost 22.5% from over 2,200 runs, with trap 6 close behind at 21.4% — trap 2 has been the one to avoid, managing under 13%. This is the top D-grade at Central Park and the class gap in this field is unusually wide: most of the runners have been racing around the low-to-mid thirties on the rating scale, but Untold Kadena drops in having recently campaigned at the top OR grade, where her scores have consistently sat in the sixties and seventies. That kind of gap can be enough to overcome most running-style concerns, even for a confirmed closer at a track that generally favours dogs who get there early.
Drops in class significantly tonight after a recent campaign at the top OR grade, where her rating average has sat in the high sixties — comfortably clear of anything else in this race, most of which have been racing in the low thirties. The fastest recorded time in this whole field by a distance is a further sign of the quality on offer. She races as a confirmed closer, which is normally a concern on a track where the first bend is so decisive, but she's drawn in trap 6, the second-best box at this grade and trip, which takes some of the sting out of that worry. When the class gap is this wide, the running style becomes a secondary concern.
Drawn in trap 4, comfortably the best-performing box at this course, distance and grade at almost 22.5%, and backs that up with nine runs at this exact trip for two wins and five places — a strong, proven record. His last start was a well-beaten sixth, but a run three starts back saw him hit a near-perfect rating, showing the ability is there when it clicks. The trap and course and distance form combine to make him a serious player.
Won last time out at the lower D2 grade over this trip and now steps up to face tougher opposition. Six runs at this course and distance with two wins and four places is a solid record, and he has the joint-fastest recorded time in the field. The step up in grade is the question, but the form and the clock both give him a squeak.
The most experienced dog in the race at this course and distance with ten runs, three wins and five places — a genuinely proven performer at this exact trip. Form has been remarkably consistent, cycling between the low thirties and low forties on the rating scale without ever dropping right away. Drawn in the weakest trap tonight though, which has managed under 13% at this grade and trip, so he'll need to overcome the draw.
Has the best first-bend figure of anyone in this field, which matters enormously on a track where the run to that turn is short and congested. Form has been up and down, but he touched a rating in the eighties five starts back, showing he has more in the tank than his recent modest efforts suggest. Races as a leader who can fade late, which is a workable profile at this minimum trip.
Won last time out at the lower D3 grade over this exact trip and now steps up to face better opposition. Nine runs at this course and distance for three wins and five places is an excellent record — a third of his starts here have ended in the winner's circle. The step up in grade is a query, but the course and distance form is hard to ignore.
Key insight: Speed rating is the strongest single guide at this course, distance and grade — the fastest dog in the field wins 25.1% of the time compared with 22.1% for the top-rated dog on the composite score.
T1:14.7% T2:12.8% T3:19.4% T4:22.5% T5:16.9% T6:21.4%
2,263 condition runs
Speed Progress · Adjusted times at 491m · Fastest at top
Pre-race stats that explain the top 3 finishers
Pace Profile
Avg early pace vs closing speed from last 5 runs
| Dog | Early | Close | Style |
|---|---|---|---|
1Capel Fortuna | 0 | 0 | Fader |
2Front Layyah | 83 | 100 | All-Rounder |
3Imokilly Arminta | — | — | No data |
4Reagrove Jenny | 100 | 0 | Fader |
5Zari Aki | 17 | 100 | Closer |
6Annadown Bocko | — | — | No data |
Only runs at exactly 491m — no cross-distance comparisons. Tight cluster = reliable, wide spread = volatile. Faster times on the left. Hover any dot for race details. Amber = troubled run.
Each dog's average pace per 10m at every distance they've run. Green = fastest, red = slowest — shows where each dog is naturally strongest. Today's distance (491m) is highlighted.
| Dog | 238m | 277m | 400m | 415m | 462m | 491m | 575m | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Capel Fortuna | — | — | 0.621 | — | — | 0.604 | 0.632 |
| 2 | Front Layyah | 0.668 | 0.614 | — | 0.661 | — | — | — |
| 3 | Imokilly Arminta | — | 0.617 | — | — | — | — | — |
| 4 | Reagrove Jenny | — | — | — | — | — | 0.604 | — |
| 5 | Zari Aki | — | — | — | — | 0.600 | — | — |
| 6 | Annadown Bocko | — | — | — | — | — | — | — |
Performance rating trend over last 10 races. Hover any dot for race details. Amber dots = troubled runs.
Trainer patterns, moves signals, and form streaks at this venue.